Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f66b40291643fe13f23d5ebafa61ea6aeff1d6cfef591e9e91274a8b2c2159d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,007
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,266
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,007 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 50c | 8,384$4,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,191.89 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Over | 50c | 2,335$1,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,167.5 | 460 | 50.7%233 W · 227 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5055…b09bbacked Over | 50c | 1,989$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.38 | 137 | 35%48 W · 89 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Over | 50c | 1,847$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.5 | 1,092 | 52.4%572 W · 520 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb15…8393backed Over | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 150 | 33.3%50 W · 100 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Under | 50c | 1,101$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.76 | 697 | 41.5%289 W · 408 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…2d49backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 50c | 975.98$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.57 | 2,497 | 39.9%996 W · 1,501 L | -75.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec57…0e41backed Over | 50c | 975.33$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.67 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ac…6b83backed Over | 51c | 522.71$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.67 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Under | 53c | 468.3$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.94 | 972 | 54.3%528 W · 444 L | +46.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35c8…ce5cbacked Under | 51c | 423.11$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.57 | 488 | 44.3%216 W · 272 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8838…b9febacked Over | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f80…ce62backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59d5…d7a3backed Over | 45c | 390$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.5 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Under | 40c | 325.39$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.79 | 341 | 51.6%176 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4e…8f3ebacked Over | 50c | 308$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Under | 51c | 272.07$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.32 | 621 | 51.4%319 W · 302 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed Over | 50c | 240$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 264 | 40.9%108 W · 156 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 50c | 238.11$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.21 | 1,587 | 43.8%695 W · 892 L | -73.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 50c | 203.8$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.8 | 1,096 | 38.9%426 W · 670 L | -47.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 205 | 51.7%106 W · 99 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 445 | 38.2%170 W · 275 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3daf…19ebbacked Over | 50c | 199.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 153 | 35.3%54 W · 99 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 34c | 198.54$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.9 | 357 | 44.5%159 W · 198 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 49c | 174$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.26 | 541 | 34.8%188 W · 353 L | -16.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 49c | 166$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.66 | 2,187 | 33.3%729 W · 1,458 L | -71.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked Under | 77c | 126.52$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.29 | 221 | 65.6%145 W · 76 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23b5…97e1backed Over | 65c | 120$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 254 | 40.2%102 W · 152 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb65e…431abacked Over | 50c | 110.94$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.47 | 148 | 41.2%61 W · 87 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Under | 50c | 104.65$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.36 | 629 | 42.4%267 W · 362 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.13 | 1,239 | 37.3%462 W · 777 L | -39.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 42c | 89.98$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.92 | 1,605 | 17.5%281 W · 1,324 L | -244.2wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8038…9547backed Over | 49c | 89.89$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.44 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde67…bab9backed Over | 49c | 88.24$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.24 | 148 | 52%77 W · 71 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked Under | 51c | 88.24$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.24 | 109 | 50.5%55 W · 54 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf3…d220backed Over | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 48c | 81.28$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.21 | 2,923 | 44.5%1,300 W · 1,623 L | -91.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Over | 66c | 73.94$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.03 | 527 | 50.5%266 W · 261 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 51c | 71.83$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…d199backed Over | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…228ebacked Over | 50c | 60.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.43 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 49c | 56.24$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.78 | 1,459 | 43.3%632 W · 827 L | -33.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Under | 39c | 55.64$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.94 | 348 | 49.1%171 W · 177 L | +11.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Over | 50c | 51.28$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.64 | 1,356 | 51.1%693 W · 663 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x098d…6cc2backed Over | 50c | 50.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa764…bbd5backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Under | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 464 | 52.4%243 W · 221 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 1,023 | 45.1%461 W · 562 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f9…3c15backed Over | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Over | 52c | 49.02$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.7 | 343 | 40.5%139 W · 204 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 61c | 45.58$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.59 | 1,952 | 30.6%597 W · 1,355 L | -166.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Over | 41c | 44.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 580 | 42.4%246 W · 334 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb98…c6c5backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 202 | 39.6%80 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Under | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 554 | 28.7%159 W · 395 L | -30.8wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20aa…b3dcbacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c55…e0f8backed Over | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97a6…159ebacked Over | 50c | 21.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 93 | 24.7%23 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Under | 50c | 21.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.87 | 379 | 48.3%183 W · 196 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 2,672 | 35.7%954 W · 1,718 L | -153.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…02ccbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 539 | 55.1%297 W · 242 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf417…b1bebacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1483…48fabacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -8.7wins | -0.18per pick | 65cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f3…b3eebacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45e0…cc64backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -4.8wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -45%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xca5f…41f5backed Over | 70c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 207 | 55.6%115 W · 92 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- First Blood in Game 2?Gen.G won
- Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports (+1.5)Gen.G won
- LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend GroupGen.G won
- LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 WinnerGen.G won
- LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 WinnerGen.G won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.