Lol · resolved market
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x919b0e02e709a6fb0ad1c0731afcab1816fb0ea5acf38af7ba71785b4b6d7f56
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,826
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,016
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,826 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Under | 46c | 10,000$4,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,349.99 | 1,502 | 50.3%756 W · 746 L | +71.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 48c | 6,326$3,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,289.59 | 1,213 | 43.4%527 W · 686 L | -15.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1047…9036backed Over | 55c | 5,245$2,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,884.75 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x920a…29e0backed Over | 52c | 3,650$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,899.76 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3449…4030backed Over | 53c | 2,816$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 215 | 40%86 W · 129 L | -12.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Under | 48c | 2,228$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.79 | 1,522 | 54.7%832 W · 690 L | +37.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 48c | 2,114$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.76 | 2,178 | 53.4%1,164 W · 1,014 L | +61.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed Over | 52c | 1,683$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.16 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b25…288cbacked Over | 52c | 1,649$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5e…1468backed Over | 52c | 1,615$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.84 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Over | 52c | 1,520$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.56 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Under | 45c | 1,300$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.99 | 903 | 50.8%459 W · 444 L | +17.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8847…fc98backed Over | 52c | 1,234$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.76 | 88 | 35.2%31 W · 57 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Under | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.66 | 100 | 63%63 W · 37 L | +10.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa28d…83bfbacked Over | 52c | 807.59$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…1816backed Over | 57c | 647.32$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.86 | 197 | 52.8%104 W · 93 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63ad…790cbacked Over | 52c | 563$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.76 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1242…9077backed Over | 52c | 548.58$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.26 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa57e…ed54backed Over | 52c | 519.23$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed Under | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 1,117 | 48.8%545 W · 572 L | +40.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86ca…bc47backed Over | 54c | 445.45$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed Over | 52c | 413.46$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 564 | 32.1%181 W · 383 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6691…5a83backed Over | 52c | 345.58$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.7 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a66…fa83backed Over | 52c | 304.85$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +301.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…1136backed Under | 42c | 254.08$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.83 | 166 | 45.8%76 W · 90 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Under | 40c | 224.07$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.44 | 1,399 | 44.9%628 W · 771 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 48c | 211.41$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.93 | 1,182 | 44.8%530 W · 652 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ced…0feebacked Over | 59c | 199.26$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 776 | 54.8%425 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…734fbacked Over | 58c | 188.71$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.45 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 48c | 160$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 1,343 | 49%658 W · 685 L | -26.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79b5…df9bbacked Under | 46c | 116.52$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.92 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Under | 46c | 101.02$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.55 | 170 | 42.9%73 W · 97 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 351 | 49.3%173 W · 178 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf3…d220backed Under | 44c | 91.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.5 | 164 | 53%87 W · 77 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed Over | 51c | 84.42$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.1 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 46c | 84$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.36 | 452 | 44.5%201 W · 251 L | -30.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 59c | 78.85$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.52 | 1,616 | 43.8%708 W · 908 L | -74.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Over | 52c | 75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 256 | 40.6%104 W · 152 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…645cbacked Under | 47c | 69.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.1 | 454 | 44.3%201 W · 253 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481a…e61abacked Over | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed Over | 54c | 50.95$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.51 | 967 | 49.8%482 W · 485 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Over | 57c | 49.16$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.02 | 168 | 41.7%70 W · 98 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Under | 47c | 31.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.54 | 363 | 38.8%141 W · 222 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…dcb5backed Over | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 36 | 13.9%5 W · 31 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7302…d7f4backed Over | 52c | 21.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7b…afa2backed Over | 60c | 17.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?this page
- First Blood in Game 2?Gen.G won
- Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports (+1.5)Gen.G won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend GroupGen.G won
- LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 WinnerGen.G won
- LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 WinnerGen.G won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.