Lol · resolved market
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xefd8369c5b9e817e8d6619557f2a4c85af025c9db245a470656aef8e69d0df70
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,909
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,495
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,909 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe55a…ecf7backed Under | 55c | 5,802$3,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,610.92 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4873…15babacked Over | 45c | 3,556$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Under | 56c | 2,058$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.31 | 890 | 50.6%450 W · 440 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90e7…ac8ebacked Over | 45c | 2,017$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903 | 144 | 42.4%61 W · 83 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Over | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 635 | 46.6%296 W · 339 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Under | 54c | 693.48$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a28…ff8cbacked Over | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 122 | 46.7%57 W · 65 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Over | 45c | 531.11$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239 | 592 | 48.3%286 W · 306 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x614e…a93bbacked Over | 43c | 337.84$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.76 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Over | 42c | 320.21$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.49 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Under | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 197 | 31%61 W · 136 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed Under | 77c | 173.51$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.01 | 377 | 54.1%204 W · 173 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56bf…0852backed Over | 43c | 162.79$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…734fbacked Over | 43c | 123.85$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.03 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Over | 43c | 112.33$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.15 | 438 | 39.7%174 W · 264 L | -24.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…1136backed Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 166 | 45.8%76 W · 90 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked Over | 44c | 91.7$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.35 | 447 | 45.2%202 W · 245 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 42c | 75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 417 | 49.2%205 W · 212 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf3…d220backed Under | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf3…ebe4backed Over | 41c | 69.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…645cbacked Under | 57c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 454 | 44.3%201 W · 253 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…33dabacked Under | 55c | 58$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 145 | 46.9%68 W · 77 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fa…ac8fbacked Under | 55c | 53.43$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.04 | 634 | 48.1%305 W · 329 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…3ca3backed Under | 55c | 48.16$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 311 | 50.2%156 W · 155 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0910…000ebacked Over | 45c | 44.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.18per pick | 37cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6c…fe45backed Under | 57c | 40.35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.35 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3546…1a58backed Over | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 161 | 30.4%49 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…dcb5backed Under | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed Over | 44c | 23.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 961 | 49.9%480 W · 481 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Under | 58c | 20.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.54 | 356 | 39.3%140 W · 216 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…5df1backed Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8f…fed8backed Under | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?this page
- First Blood in Game 2?Gen.G won
- Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports (+1.5)Gen.G won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend GroupGen.G won
- LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 WinnerGen.G won
- LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 WinnerGen.G won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.