CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf856b6366ffa21c1bdd0ab6e87311547b3de78cf66b9adbb751ddde527b0a279
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vitalityof Natus Vincere, Vitality
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $741,705
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $870,317
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $741,705 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 512 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Vitality | 37c | 27,331$10,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,084.74 | 3,256 | 50.3%1,637 W · 1,619 L | +97.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Vitality | 29c | 27,251$7,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,306.4 | 123 | 53.7%66 W · 57 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…c98bbacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 24,953$12,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,565.79 | 410 | 40%164 W · 246 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Vitality | 67c | 21,060$14,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,902.34 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8c…6323backed Natus Vincere | 33c | 20,913$6,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,800.79 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Vitality | 66c | 18,201$12,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,170.98 | 537 | 46.2%248 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Natus Vincere | 30c | 16,659$4,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,997.66 | 333 | 43.8%146 W · 187 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed Natus Vincere | 17c | 13,830$2,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,408.28 | 324 | 25.3%82 W · 242 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bae…885abacked Vitality | 70c | 13,500$9,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,100 | 276 | 58%160 W · 116 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Natus Vincere | 29c | 12,403$3,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,596.98 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked Vitality | 9c | 11,716$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,715.97 | 260 | 45%117 W · 143 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Vitality | 53c | 11,549$6,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,391.45 | 446 | 57.2%255 W · 191 L | -20.6wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Natus Vincere | 51c | 11,002$5,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,648.54 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a96…4e13backed Vitality | 34c | 10,531$3,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,913.9 | 223 | 58.7%131 W · 92 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52e0…4746backed Vitality | 71c | 10,102$7,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,951.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…284ebacked Natus Vincere | 34c | 10,047$3,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,427.31 | 209 | 35.4%74 W · 135 L | -21.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Natus Vincere | 30c | 10,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Vitality | 8c | 10,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,199.98 | 500 | 54.4%272 W · 228 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Natus Vincere | 49c | 10,000$4,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,859.33 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Natus Vincere | 29c | 10,000$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,899.98 | 330 | 43.3%143 W · 187 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4d…8525backed Vitality | 39c | 9,496$3,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,773.81 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Natus Vincere | 32c | 9,388$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 92 | 32.6%30 W · 62 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 8,999$4,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,597.04 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked Vitality | 68c | 8,476$5,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,712.35 | 212 | 51.4%109 W · 103 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Vitality | 31c | 8,135$2,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,577.65 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 8,079$4,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,839.8 | 870 | 47.9%417 W · 453 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Natus Vincere | 62c | 8,071$5,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,008.54 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa40a…fa62backed Vitality | 56c | 7,621$4,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,364.74 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Natus Vincere | 31c | 7,600$2,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,356 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6902…b4cabacked Vitality | 71c | 7,084$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,083.65 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5a…63f9backed Natus Vincere | 30c | 6,604$1,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,981.19 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Natus Vincere | 30c | 5,913$1,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,773.81 | 424 | 40.3%171 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Natus Vincere | 74c | 5,659$4,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,190.06 | 388 | 68.3%265 W · 123 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd537…0f7cbacked Vitality | 67c | 5,218$3,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,715.4 | 334 | 57.8%193 W · 141 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…66ebbacked Vitality | 70c | 5,071$3,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,521.43 | 284 | 43.7%124 W · 160 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe687…9eebbacked Natus Vincere | 57c | 5,069$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Vitality | 61c | 5,006$3,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,956.52 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7193…ae51backed Vitality | 71c | 5,000$3,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450 | 298 | 58.4%174 W · 124 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Vitality | 65c | 5,000$3,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,750 | 757 | 58.3%441 W · 316 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Vitality | 64c | 4,500$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 450 | 58.9%265 W · 185 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x482d…ba5ebacked Vitality | 47c | 4,264$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,263.58 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc99…ce7ebacked Natus Vincere | 42c | 4,041$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 189 | 33.9%64 W · 125 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Natus Vincere | 46c | 3,929$1,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,810.4 | 178 | 49.4%88 W · 90 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb9…9dd0backed Vitality | 53c | 3,874$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,824.18 | 41 | 73.2%30 W · 11 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Natus Vincere | 35c | 3,654$1,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,266.47 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Natus Vincere | 57c | 3,421$1,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,944.91 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x456a…6a90backed Natus Vincere | 61c | 3,191$1,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,953.36 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +23%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8120…54c9backed Vitality | 16c | 2,876$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,414 | 208 | 38%79 W · 129 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Natus Vincere | 52c | 2,843$1,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,467.51 | 1,768 | 59.2%1,047 W · 721 L | +105.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…6de3backed Vitality | 70c | 2,736$1,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.8 | 426 | 51.6%220 W · 206 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x310d…d698backed Vitality | 55c | 2,726$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,226.42 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97ea…3363backed Vitality | 32c | 2,592$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,757.16 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Natus Vincere | 29c | 2,470$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.59 | 327 | 32.4%106 W · 221 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x846c…0366backed Vitality | 45c | 2,466$1,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,354.4 | 189 | 63.5%120 W · 69 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2d…dd1ebacked Natus Vincere | 53c | 2,448$1,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,304.08 | 399 | 70.7%282 W · 117 L | +38.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8c14…d8fbbacked Vitality | 32c | 2,438$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,651.23 | 173 | 57.2%99 W · 74 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Natus Vincere | 33c | 2,402$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.66 | 402 | 53.7%216 W · 186 L | +25.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Vitality | 39c | 2,365$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,451.36 | 171 | 31%53 W · 118 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Natus Vincere | 60c | 2,267$1,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360.65 | 528 | 37.1%196 W · 332 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Natus Vincere | 30c | 2,242$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 751 | 45.4%341 W · 410 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…85d4backed Vitality | 16c | 2,070$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,741.8 | 368 | 37.5%138 W · 230 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9386…fdfebacked Vitality | 71c | 2,000$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -40%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x18e4…e2bbbacked Vitality | 33c | 2,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,339.98 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | +14.2wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…6e77backed Vitality | 70c | 2,000$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.99 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked Natus Vincere | 33c | 1,957$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.96 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Vitality | 72c | 1,955$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.02 | 736 | 58.2%428 W · 308 L | -22.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Vitality | 48c | 1,883$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.45 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Natus Vincere | 30c | 1,837$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.59 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked Vitality | 70c | 1,709$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.55 | 359 | 47.9%172 W · 187 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Vitality | 34c | 1,670$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.37 | 2,603 | 52.6%1,370 W · 1,233 L | +97.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Natus Vincere | 28c | 1,607$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.89 | 2,057 | 41.5%853 W · 1,204 L | -50.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe078…0de5backed Vitality | 17c | 1,606$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,336.06 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 1,574$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.35 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Natus Vincere | 31c | 1,538$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.24 | 352 | 42.9%151 W · 201 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Vitality | 67c | 1,533$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506 | 249 | 35.7%89 W · 160 L | -14.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Vitality | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fdd…e1fdbacked Natus Vincere | 69c | 1,449$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 42 | 76.2%32 W · 10 L | +6.6wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…aa6abacked Vitality | 22c | 1,438$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120.14 | 275 | 48%132 W · 143 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8eaf…1a93backed Vitality | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,328.57 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8375…ba1dbacked Vitality | 70c | 1,393$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.86 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…bdffbacked Vitality | 36c | 1,381$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +176.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Vitality | 51c | 1,351$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.1 | 316 | 42.1%133 W · 183 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12bc…bf2fbacked Natus Vincere | 60c | 1,347$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.29 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0785…81c3backed Vitality | 69c | 1,325$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.75 | 159 | 70.4%112 W · 47 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27cf…979abacked Natus Vincere | 71c | 1,262$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.55 | 117 | 40.2%47 W · 70 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Vitality | 28c | 1,261$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.45 | 5,262 | 31.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L | -381.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Vitality | 48c | 1,259$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.44 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6f…f0f0backed Vitality | 24c | 1,253$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.5 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa0…e20fbacked Vitality | 29c | 1,219$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.35 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Vitality | 23c | 1,204$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.24 | 500 | 50.6%253 W · 247 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e69…7f76backed Vitality | 42c | 1,200$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.99 | 323 | 46.1%149 W · 174 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec0…5ff3backed Vitality | 30c | 1,186$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.61 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…1811backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 1,168$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.8 | 298 | 31.5%94 W · 204 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked Natus Vincere | 35c | 1,150$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.06 | 409 | 50.6%207 W · 202 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…ad11backed Natus Vincere | 70c | 1,101$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.82 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a2…feedbacked Vitality | 7c | 1,100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023 | 121 | 32.2%39 W · 82 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Vitality | 27c | 1,097$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.8 | 431 | 37.8%163 W · 268 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Natus Vincere | 31c | 1,082$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.3 | 633 | 41.9%265 W · 368 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x932c…8658backed Vitality | 9c | 1,018$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.58 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Vitality | 28c | 1,017$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.07 | 463 | 45.6%211 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO5) - BLAST Rivals PlayoffsVitality won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 2 WinnerVitality won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 3 WinnerVitality won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- Map 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?Odd won
- Map 1: Odd/Even Total Rounds?Even won
- Map 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?Even won
- Map 3: Odd/Even Total Kills?Odd won
- Map 3: Odd/Even Total Rounds?Even won
- Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)Vitality won
- Map Handicap: VIT (-2.5) vs Natus Vincere (+2.5)Vitality won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.