CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: VIT (-2.5) vs Natus Vincere (+2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0fecff6fef18e76930aafd8f67a30f58262a42d54518d080f5f35cafb23bab90
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vitalityof Vitality, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $289,710
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $318,363
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $289,710 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 299 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Natus Vincere | 68c | 60,050$41,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,034.42 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Natus Vincere | 68c | 40,000$27,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,199.92 | 330 | 43.3%143 W · 187 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Vitality | 39c | 37,011$14,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,581.72 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Vitality | 33c | 30,034$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,033.98 | 164 | 43.9%72 W · 92 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Vitality | 32c | 20,831$6,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,165.25 | 471 | 47.3%223 W · 248 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Vitality | 31c | 16,500$5,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,385 | 500 | 54.4%272 W · 228 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6902…b4cabacked Vitality | 32c | 15,625$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,625 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Natus Vincere | 67c | 13,677$9,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,163.73 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Vitality | 32c | 12,877$4,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,756.69 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Natus Vincere | 68c | 12,000$8,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,160 | 361 | 52.6%190 W · 171 L | +13.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 11,111$7,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,666.59 | 333 | 43.8%146 W · 187 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a84…8606backed Vitality | 32c | 10,671$3,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,256.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 10,275$6,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,885.92 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Natus Vincere | 68c | 10,000$6,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,800 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 9,164$6,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,048.01 | 376 | 46.3%174 W · 202 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 7,893$4,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,172.58 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Natus Vincere | 67c | 6,500$4,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,354.98 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec6…698bbacked Natus Vincere | 31c | 6,447$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998.72 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb86f…da81backed Vitality | 32c | 6,026$1,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,097.64 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8d…a7a8backed Vitality | 32c | 5,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,400 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b63…4acdbacked Vitality | 32c | 4,819$1,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,276.6 | 139 | 52.5%73 W · 66 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Natus Vincere | 68c | 4,444$3,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,021.9 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d1…2c48backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 4,348$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83a0…eabbbacked Vitality | 32c | 4,083$1,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,776.64 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b3…b3a2backed Vitality | 31c | 4,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,759.99 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0636…c529backed Natus Vincere | 61c | 4,000$2,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,439.99 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -9.7wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa7df…5eeebacked Natus Vincere | 65c | 3,993$2,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,595.63 | 162 | 45.1%73 W · 89 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Natus Vincere | 69c | 3,701$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 535 | 45%241 W · 294 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed Vitality | 44c | 3,680$1,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,067.78 | 418 | 47.1%197 W · 221 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Natus Vincere | 48c | 3,537$1,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,693.13 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked Vitality | 32c | 3,125$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,125 | 260 | 45%117 W · 143 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0cc…ce77backed Vitality | 32c | 3,125$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,125 | 114 | 35.1%40 W · 74 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Natus Vincere | 68c | 3,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 467 | 49.7%232 W · 235 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4189backed Natus Vincere | 68c | 3,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 334 | 52.1%174 W · 160 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Vitality | 32c | 2,800$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,903.67 | 608 | 53.3%324 W · 284 L | +20.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Vitality | 32c | 2,571$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,748 | 196 | 43.4%85 W · 111 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Natus Vincere | 64c | 2,549$1,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,636.55 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x63ad…790cbacked Vitality | 32c | 2,482$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,687.76 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +10.0wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +23%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked Vitality | 32c | 2,228$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,514.7 | 359 | 47.9%172 W · 187 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9b…3de2backed Vitality | 32c | 2,043$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,389.02 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2d…52c4backed Vitality | 33c | 1,948$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,305.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +132.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Vitality | 31c | 1,792$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,236.54 | 316 | 42.1%133 W · 183 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb5…6fe9backed Vitality | 55c | 1,770$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.5 | 100 | 61%61 W · 39 L | +10.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6e…fa6fbacked Vitality | 32c | 1,639$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114.78 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6f…f0f0backed Vitality | 31c | 1,613$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.9 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x008b…c1cfbacked Vitality | 32c | 1,563$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.5 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Vitality | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 353 | 41.6%147 W · 206 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x48b8…4b69backed Vitality | 30c | 1,500$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.99 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc91…299cbacked Natus Vincere | 69c | 1,449$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…73fdbacked Natus Vincere | 69c | 1,439$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 256 | 55.1%141 W · 115 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…cfd7backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 1,428$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Vitality | 32c | 1,376$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.47 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x932c…8658backed Vitality | 36c | 1,300$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5e…8fd0backed Vitality | 33c | 1,212$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.12 | 224 | 44.2%99 W · 125 L | -16.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabd6…ca90backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 1,200$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 1,200$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806 | 608 | 48%292 W · 316 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f49…463abacked Natus Vincere | 68c | 1,200$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.99 | 179 | 45.3%81 W · 98 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Vitality | 32c | 1,111$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.48 | 402 | 53.7%216 W · 186 L | +25.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe0…a3fabacked Vitality | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed Vitality | 32c | 1,031$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.39 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaaf…051bbacked Vitality | 33c | 1,021$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.74 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 1,009$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63d4…a2f1backed Vitality | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 182 | 54.9%100 W · 82 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Natus Vincere | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b21…4b63backed Vitality | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Natus Vincere | 66c | 999.99$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa5…01b3backed Vitality | 32c | 940.63$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.63 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5e…67c5backed Vitality | 32c | 915.41$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.48 | 305 | 27.5%84 W · 221 L | -17.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Vitality | 33c | 895.45$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.45 | 635 | 41.9%266 W · 369 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10f9…9d91backed Natus Vincere | 68c | 852.94$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Natus Vincere | 68c | 800$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.41 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e39…3e17backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 799.99$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.99 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9b…6df8backed Vitality | 31c | 799.98$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.99 | 558 | 45.7%255 W · 303 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee4b…43dcbacked Vitality | 32c | 767.99$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.23 | 380 | 51.3%195 W · 185 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ea…59a1backed Vitality | 32c | 765.63$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.63 | 192 | 38%73 W · 119 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Vitality | 47c | 744.68$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.68 | 240 | 38.3%92 W · 148 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 730.79$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.25 | 602 | 48.7%293 W · 309 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ca…b467backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 700$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483 | 97 | 69.1%67 W · 30 L | +8.9wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0698…b91dbacked Vitality | 33c | 674.55$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.95 | 156 | 37.2%58 W · 98 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad2a…99a3backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 642.16$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.66 | 200 | 45.5%91 W · 109 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5e…1468backed Vitality | 31c | 610.57$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.3 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x65c5…2862backed Natus Vincere | 68c | 597.06$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | -7.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe289…c31abacked Natus Vincere | 68c | 588.24$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Vitality | 30c | 555.07$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.55 | 760 | 58%441 W · 319 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35c8…ce5cbacked Natus Vincere | 43c | 543.77$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.41 | 107 | 37.4%40 W · 67 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0887…bf3bbacked Vitality | 47c | 521.28$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.28 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Vitality | 32c | 521.06$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.32 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…c958backed Vitality | 34c | 517.65$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.65 | 279 | 50.2%140 W · 139 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…ec52backed Vitality | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 389 | 54.5%212 W · 177 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf29…da00backed Vitality | 32c | 500$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb70c…41d5backed Vitality | 31c | 500$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 342 | 35.4%121 W · 221 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 499.99$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.99 | 576 | 41.1%237 W · 339 L | -21.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae90…9a56backed Vitality | 32c | 499.99$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.99 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…701fbacked Natus Vincere | 67c | 499.99$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf437…ff9bbacked Vitality | 32c | 467.06$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.6 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x483a…01d6backed Vitality | 32c | 459.37$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.37 | 203 | 49.3%100 W · 103 L | -12.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52c5…5878backed Vitality | 33c | 450$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.5 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Vitality | 33c | 446.97$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.47 | 325 | 42.2%137 W · 188 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c4…93a7backed Vitality | 32c | 440$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.2 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed Natus Vincere | 71c | 428.67$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.89 | 499 | 41.7%208 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: VIT (-2.5) vs Natus Vincere (+2.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO5) - BLAST Rivals PlayoffsVitality won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 1 WinnerVitality won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 2 WinnerVitality won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 3 WinnerVitality won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- Map 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?Odd won
- Map 1: Odd/Even Total Rounds?Even won
- Map 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?Even won
- Map 3: Odd/Even Total Kills?Odd won
- Map 3: Odd/Even Total Rounds?Even won
- Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)Vitality won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.