CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 3 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf477952f5003ec4fbcc82ee67897a511e11df3d5bcddbc40a1f3b23ffdda8e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vitalityof Natus Vincere, Vitality
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $395,446
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $414,735
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $395,446 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 326 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6df6…8458backed Natus Vincere | 0c | 30,662$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.93 | 324 | 25.3%82 W · 242 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Natus Vincere | 30c | 30,416$9,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,053.54 | 760 | 58%441 W · 319 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff6e…18ecbacked Vitality | 74c | 19,600$14,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,160.34 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.45per pick | 65cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Natus Vincere | 28c | 16,473$4,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,612.38 | 333 | 43.8%146 W · 187 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Natus Vincere | 27c | 15,884$4,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,288.66 | 176 | 43.2%76 W · 100 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked Vitality | 70c | 15,000$10,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,500 | 212 | 51.4%109 W · 103 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Natus Vincere | 0c | 12,761$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.74 | 573 | 22.3%128 W · 445 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…c98bbacked Natus Vincere | 29c | 11,784$3,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,462.67 | 410 | 40%164 W · 246 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…284ebacked Natus Vincere | 31c | 11,655$3,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,637.81 | 209 | 35.4%74 W · 135 L | -21.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3bae…885abacked Vitality | 70c | 11,000$7,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,300 | 276 | 58%160 W · 116 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9368…80a3backed Vitality | 70c | 10,000$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c93…33d5backed Natus Vincere | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 484 | 37.6%182 W · 302 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked Natus Vincere | 20c | 9,850$1,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,969.99 | 214 | 24.8%53 W · 161 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Natus Vincere | 26c | 8,898$2,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,314.52 | 461 | 49.9%230 W · 231 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Natus Vincere | 26c | 8,210$2,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,134.58 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Natus Vincere | 30c | 7,504$2,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,246.8 | 170 | 62.9%107 W · 63 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6902…b4cabacked Vitality | 73c | 6,849$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,849.32 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc05…013abacked Vitality | 72c | 6,500$4,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,820 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde8f…2c72backed Vitality | 76c | 6,262$4,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,495.39 | 280 | 56.4%158 W · 122 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Vitality | 70c | 6,064$4,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799.19 | 648 | 52%337 W · 311 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3751…7dfdbacked Natus Vincere | 8c | 5,643$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x930e…38cfbacked Natus Vincere | 1c | 4,720$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 215 | 22.3%48 W · 167 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77f6…dbd1backed Natus Vincere | 30c | 4,161$1,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.31 | 172 | 40.7%70 W · 102 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…66ebbacked Vitality | 74c | 3,959$2,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.46 | 284 | 43.7%124 W · 160 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba06…8024backed Vitality | 72c | 3,601$2,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.22 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…8c18backed Natus Vincere | 5c | 3,300$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173 | 84 | 16.7%14 W · 70 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Natus Vincere | 29c | 3,279$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947 | 528 | 37.1%196 W · 332 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe7…ddf5backed Vitality | 76c | 3,118$2,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.42 | 341 | 56.6%193 W · 148 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Vitality | 80c | 3,092$2,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.36 | 500 | 54.4%272 W · 228 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Vitality | 69c | 2,944$2,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.92 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…e171backed Vitality | 71c | 2,805$1,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.85 | 174 | 60.3%105 W · 69 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…6de3backed Vitality | 72c | 2,803$2,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.84 | 426 | 51.6%220 W · 206 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Natus Vincere | 30c | 2,800$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked Natus Vincere | 1c | 2,500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 696 | 24%167 W · 529 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Vitality | 70c | 2,310$1,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.91 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +8.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Natus Vincere | 0c | 2,286$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 388 | 68.3%265 W · 123 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Natus Vincere | 27c | 2,102$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.46 | 537 | 46.2%248 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3621…2d2dbacked Natus Vincere | 1c | 2,100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 90 | 40%36 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Natus Vincere | 28c | 2,098$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.89 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x695d…60d5backed Natus Vincere | 22c | 2,030$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfae6…ab69backed Natus Vincere | 30c | 2,003$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0636…c529backed Natus Vincere | 27c | 2,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -9.7wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…f573backed Natus Vincere | 30c | 1,799$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb9…9dd0backed Vitality | 73c | 1,712$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.33 | 41 | 73.2%30 W · 11 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9649…ebd1backed Natus Vincere | 12c | 1,707$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.33 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Natus Vincere | 24c | 1,620$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.18 | 327 | 32.4%106 W · 221 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Natus Vincere | 21c | 1,603$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.29 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x137f…968dbacked Natus Vincere | 2c | 1,537$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c70…1d71backed Vitality | 73c | 1,500$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.99 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6f…f0f0backed Vitality | 76c | 1,453$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.26 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb3…8689backed Vitality | 71c | 1,430$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…b78abacked Vitality | 73c | 1,400$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…ab7dbacked Natus Vincere | 2c | 1,400$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cc…c8ddbacked Natus Vincere | 1c | 1,300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 92 | 16.3%15 W · 77 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Vitality | 77c | 1,300$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.46 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Natus Vincere | 27c | 1,294$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.71 | 970 | 40.7%395 W · 575 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b14…039bbacked Vitality | 76c | 1,289$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.18 | 118 | 71.2%84 W · 34 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…f4adbacked Natus Vincere | 25c | 1,210$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 190 | 47.9%91 W · 99 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0785…81c3backed Vitality | 71c | 1,127$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.76 | 159 | 70.4%112 W · 47 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Vitality | 74c | 1,105$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.81 | 412 | 60.9%251 W · 161 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Natus Vincere | 27c | 1,100$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 576 | 41.1%237 W · 339 L | -21.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2662…3f84backed Vitality | 65c | 1,100$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.99 | 209 | 58.9%123 W · 86 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d03…100ebacked Vitality | 73c | 1,085$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.72 | 410 | 69.3%284 W · 126 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5a…63f9backed Natus Vincere | 28c | 1,084$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.64 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb845…ca23backed Natus Vincere | 19c | 1,062$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed Natus Vincere | 30c | 1,050$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 117 | 40.2%47 W · 70 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x846c…0366backed Vitality | 74c | 1,037$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.31 | 189 | 63.5%120 W · 69 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Natus Vincere | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a96…4e13backed Vitality | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 223 | 58.7%131 W · 92 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x449c…eaf5backed Natus Vincere | 26c | 980.75$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.99 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc36…e9debacked Natus Vincere | 3c | 938.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f79…abbbbacked Natus Vincere | 4c | 916.88$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.75 | 70 | 18.6%13 W · 57 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Vitality | 72c | 902.78$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.78 | 736 | 58.2%428 W · 308 L | -22.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x666d…03d1backed Natus Vincere | 12c | 880.21$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44d3…e454backed Natus Vincere | 29c | 875.21$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.81 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Natus Vincere | 30c | 838.43$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.53 | 352 | 42.9%151 W · 201 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a5…26a1backed Vitality | 74c | 810.81$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.44 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe440…dbbcbacked Natus Vincere | 14c | 799.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Vitality | 73c | 779.45$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.45 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6324…95b9backed Natus Vincere | 28c | 757.36$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e4…9026backed Natus Vincere | 30c | 733.33$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddad…bce1backed Vitality | 70c | 719.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.29 | 222 | 52.7%117 W · 105 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Natus Vincere | 32c | 716.89$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.31 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Natus Vincere | 28c | 706.85$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.92 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf29…da00backed Vitality | 80c | 680$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…5fa2backed Natus Vincere | 28c | 671.96$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.15 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad8f…6b52backed Natus Vincere | 28c | 610$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.8 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a8…48c0backed Vitality | 74c | 600$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Vitality | 74c | 586$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.36 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Natus Vincere | 14c | 584.99$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.9 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked Natus Vincere | 2c | 575$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ea…3363backed Vitality | 70c | 570$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…c161backed Vitality | 72c | 555.56$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.56 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c48…eba9backed Vitality | 72c | 555.54$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.55 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…31d6backed Natus Vincere | 18c | 547.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 278 | 31.7%88 W · 190 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65c5…2862backed Vitality | 73c | 504.11$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.11 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | -7.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Natus Vincere | 32c | 500.33$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.11 | 870 | 47.9%417 W · 453 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb12b…5a89backed Vitality | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 61 | 68.9%42 W · 19 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked Vitality | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 409 | 50.6%207 W · 202 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9227…7cedbacked Natus Vincere | 28c | 499.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 3 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO5) - BLAST Rivals PlayoffsVitality won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 1 WinnerVitality won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 2 WinnerVitality won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- Map 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?Odd won
- Map 1: Odd/Even Total Rounds?Even won
- Map 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?Even won
- Map 3: Odd/Even Total Kills?Odd won
- Map 3: Odd/Even Total Rounds?Even won
- Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)Vitality won
- Map Handicap: VIT (-2.5) vs Natus Vincere (+2.5)Vitality won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.