NBA · resolved market
Bucks vs. Warriors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x39252945fba970fb27df27cb8ef056bb24babd8e842b673dfedcb9e792db66c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Bucks, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,556,493
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,615,528
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,556,493 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 705 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Warriors | 70c | 168,782$118,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,203.19 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…f43ebacked Bucks | 26c | 90,138$23,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,638.21 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Bucks | 19c | 84,733$16,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,325.77 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Warriors | 68c | 75,035$51,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,799.67 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Bucks | 1c | 46,555$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.42 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba35…92bdbacked Bucks | 0c | 41,030$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.9 | 259 | 30.5%79 W · 180 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Warriors | 68c | 37,421$25,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,855.42 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Warriors | 67c | 36,386$24,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,007.37 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Bucks | 18c | 34,666$6,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,318.51 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Bucks | 10c | 32,827$3,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,240.64 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Bucks | 0c | 29,410$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.78 | 266 | 37.2%99 W · 167 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Bucks | 30c | 25,000$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4c…e850backed Bucks | 1c | 25,000$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Bucks | 18c | 24,764$4,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,556 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Warriors | 68c | 21,754$14,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,028.7 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Warriors | 77c | 20,655$15,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,821.76 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Warriors | 67c | 20,090$13,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,629.57 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedc8…cca9backed Bucks | 32c | 20,005$6,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,401.59 | 205 | 51.2%105 W · 100 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…8f6abacked Warriors | 68c | 20,005$13,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,360.27 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa28f…d25ebacked Bucks | 2c | 18,882$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.57 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 20cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Bucks | 0c | 18,135$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.93 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Bucks | 3c | 16,535$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.04 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Warriors | 68c | 14,925$10,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,826.29 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Bucks | 33c | 14,000$4,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,620 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Bucks | 11c | 13,898$1,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,567.54 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Bucks | 34c | 12,567$4,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,229.14 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Bucks | 33c | 12,000$3,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,960 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Bucks | 29c | 11,561$3,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,408 | 384 | 34.9%134 W · 250 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Bucks | 2c | 10,956$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.69 | 279 | 17.9%50 W · 229 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdac…f7e2backed Bucks | 28c | 10,800$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 191 | 36.1%69 W · 122 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Bucks | 9c | 10,755$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.01 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12fd…90c0backed Bucks | 32c | 10,150$3,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,247.94 | 284 | 39.8%113 W · 171 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Warriors | 68c | 9,150$6,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,928 | 74 | 68.9%51 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07c…11a0backed Bucks | 32c | 9,125$2,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,920 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Bucks | 33c | 8,256$2,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,723.99 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…3081backed Bucks | 31c | 8,000$2,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,480 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bucks | 23c | 7,686$1,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,749.43 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Bucks | 33c | 7,605$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Warriors | 68c | 7,468$5,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,389.85 | 346 | 54%187 W · 159 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde6d…0926backed Warriors | 76c | 7,310$5,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,753.59 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Bucks | 1c | 7,242$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.97 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Bucks | 14c | 6,970$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.74 | 397 | 44.3%176 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Bucks | 26c | 6,727$1,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,742.44 | 237 | 47.7%113 W · 124 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7517…0353backed Bucks | 27c | 6,726$1,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,841.52 | 278 | 65.8%183 W · 95 L | +25.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Warriors | 69c | 6,529$4,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,023.92 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Bucks | 15c | 6,517$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.77 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Bucks | 5c | 6,368$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.99 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1286…b60cbacked Bucks | 32c | 6,188$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Bucks | 33c | 6,079$2,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,005.37 | 215 | 38.1%82 W · 133 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d0…9391backed Bucks | 32c | 5,958$1,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,929.25 | 272 | 47.1%128 W · 144 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Bucks | 18c | 5,939$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064.96 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6615…6fc3backed Bucks | 2c | 5,856$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Bucks | 38c | 5,812$2,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,214.29 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Warriors | 67c | 5,723$3,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,899.14 | 367 | 41.4%152 W · 215 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Bucks | 40c | 5,328$2,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,130.97 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Bucks | 1c | 5,189$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.13 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Bucks | 32c | 5,100$1,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,652.5 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Bucks | 1c | 5,020$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.11 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60e2…f378backed Bucks | 33c | 4,700$1,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,551 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +36%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Bucks | 10c | 4,700$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.89 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Bucks | 0c | 4,307$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Bucks | 1c | 4,111$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.33 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Bucks | 13c | 4,023$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.15 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x713d…53a9backed Bucks | 27c | 4,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 181 | 51.4%93 W · 88 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56be…57eebacked Bucks | 39c | 3,861$1,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,505.4 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Bucks | 25c | 3,467$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.89 | 469 | 40.3%189 W · 280 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Warriors | 69c | 3,300$2,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023 | 240 | 48.3%116 W · 124 L | -13.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e0…8913backed Warriors | 68c | 3,088$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.24 | 59 | 71.2%42 W · 17 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed Warriors | 64c | 3,078$1,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107.91 | 393 | 49.1%193 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Bucks | 39c | 3,038$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,194.8 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -6.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Bucks | 30c | 3,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 270 | 51.5%139 W · 131 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42f7…5b3ebacked Bucks | 35c | 3,000$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Bucks | 31c | 3,000$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930 | 315 | 38.1%120 W · 195 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4137…586cbacked Warriors | 66c | 3,000$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.96 | 470 | 43.8%206 W · 264 L | -22.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Bucks | 31c | 2,930$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.09 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28f0…ceabbacked Warriors | 67c | 2,918$1,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.93 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Bucks | 32c | 2,854$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.37 | 399 | 58.4%233 W · 166 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Warriors | 66c | 2,846$1,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.79 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Bucks | 3c | 2,800$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1656…6c04backed Bucks | 21c | 2,753$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.09 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Bucks | 33c | 2,727$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 489 | 38.7%189 W · 300 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56fe…74dbbacked Bucks | 33c | 2,702$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.64 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58d4…08d2backed Warriors | 67c | 2,670$1,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.1 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef1a…d048backed Bucks | 32c | 2,656$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.87 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e1…f855backed Bucks | 32c | 2,606$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.59 | 287 | 42.9%123 W · 164 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d99…5591backed Warriors | 78c | 2,600$2,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Warriors | 68c | 2,576$1,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.83 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9403…cd0ebacked Bucks | 3c | 2,519$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Bucks | 33c | 2,500$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825 | 386 | 49.7%192 W · 194 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x719b…80f2backed Bucks | 20c | 2,500$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6cb…7b9bbacked Warriors | 75c | 2,415$1,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.81 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0588…8f18backed Bucks | 19c | 2,400$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Warriors | 68c | 2,350$1,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ff…d0d0backed Bucks | 32c | 2,344$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Bucks | 2c | 2,276$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.87 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9161…622ebacked Bucks | 2c | 2,250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Warriors | 68c | 2,100$1,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662 | 352 | 51.1%180 W · 172 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Bucks | 3c | 2,078$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 216 | 5.6%12 W · 204 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -61%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed Bucks | 30c | 2,077$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Bucks | 34c | 2,059$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 466 | 32.6%152 W · 314 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bucks vs. Warriorsthis page
- Bucks vs. Warriors: 1H MoneylineWarriors won
- Bucks vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Warriors: O/U 227.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Warriors: O/U 228.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Warriors: O/U 229.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Warriors: O/U 230.5Over won
- Spread: Warriors (-5.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-6.5)Warriors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.