NBA · resolved market
Spread: Warriors (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x17375bb67194287cd710641e537c649ad08a2540e0c67f8ad945cdb03869a2ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Warriors, Bucks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,070,861
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,071,152
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,070,861 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 195 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Warriors | 51c | 656,027$334,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321,458.17 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Bucks | 49c | 500,000$245,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245,000 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Bucks | 49c | 308,595$151,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151,211.68 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Warriors | 51c | 215,869$109,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105,945.67 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Warriors | 49c | 69,504$34,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,442.4 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Bucks | 51c | 43,376$22,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,121.76 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Warriors | 50c | 20,320$10,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,160 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Bucks | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Warriors | 49c | 16,468$8,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,359.93 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…3081backed Bucks | 49c | 16,000$7,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,840 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Bucks | 49c | 15,000$7,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,350 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Warriors | 49c | 11,901$5,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,029.78 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd34d…307dbacked Bucks | 51c | 11,373$5,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,800 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Bucks | 50c | 11,240$5,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,619.8 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8836…7b5cbacked Bucks | 51c | 10,588$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,400 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Bucks | 45c | 9,289$4,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,186.58 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…a35abacked Warriors | 55c | 9,082$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,081.97 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…a816backed Bucks | 50c | 8,081$4,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,070 | 173 | 44.5%77 W · 96 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb889…a430backed Warriors | 48c | 8,053$3,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,187.56 | 92 | 63%58 W · 34 L | +9.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Bucks | 50c | 6,592$3,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,296.2 | 297 | 48.1%143 W · 154 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Bucks | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Bucks | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…1b96backed Bucks | 52c | 4,495$2,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,337.4 | 240 | 51.3%123 W · 117 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b4…a278backed Bucks | 53c | 4,231$2,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,230.98 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Bucks | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 156 | 53.8%84 W · 72 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cce…5c2fbacked Bucks | 51c | 3,790$1,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,933 | 162 | 54.3%88 W · 74 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Bucks | 49c | 3,500$1,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,715 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Bucks | 50c | 3,103$1,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,558.82 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Warriors | 50c | 2,949$1,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,475.39 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Bucks | 51c | 2,765$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 434 | 53.2%231 W · 203 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Bucks | 49c | 2,697$1,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,332.64 | 228 | 45.2%103 W · 125 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Bucks | 49c | 2,040$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.6 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -11.1wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Warriors | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 362 | 48.9%177 W · 185 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb525…bdc7backed Bucks | 52c | 1,891$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.22 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefa5…3d34backed Bucks | 40c | 1,680$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.99 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Warriors | 50c | 1,547$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.25 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe00f…c254backed Bucks | 51c | 1,526$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.34 | 191 | 47.1%90 W · 101 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Bucks | 51c | 1,275$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Bucks | 51c | 1,274$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.95 | 101 | 38.6%39 W · 62 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Warriors | 53c | 1,262$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.25 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…6ad7backed Bucks | 51c | 1,245$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…86b2backed Bucks | 51c | 1,197$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…ea4abacked Bucks | 51c | 1,136$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.2 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +4.4wins | +0.25per pick | 48cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa70d…f721backed Bucks | 40c | 1,108$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.67 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68d2…92c8backed Warriors | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.05 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6a…04ebbacked Bucks | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 354 | 47.7%169 W · 185 L | -10.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d78…7b8dbacked Bucks | 37c | 999.97$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.99 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd5…26ccbacked Bucks | 51c | 999.93$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.97 | 516 | 51%263 W · 253 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Bucks | 50c | 991.33$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -9.4wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -20%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…e89abacked Bucks | 51c | 980.49$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Warriors | 47c | 917.45$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.25 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Warriors | 48c | 831$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.12 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6cb…7b9bbacked Warriors | 54c | 740.74$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.74 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Bucks | 50c | 650$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Bucks | 46c | 649.98$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.99 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…95d8backed Bucks | 50c | 639.22$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 153 | 55.6%85 W · 68 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Warriors | 56c | 611.65$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.4 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…67adbacked Bucks | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Bucks | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Bucks | 51c | 554.78$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.94 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e9…5112backed Bucks | 52c | 534.41$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.94 | 217 | 49.3%107 W · 110 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Warriors | 49c | 527.23$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.2 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Bucks | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde18…83bcbacked Bucks | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2249…3005backed Bucks | 60c | 379.05$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.81 | 89 | 70.8%63 W · 26 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff8…aa3abacked Warriors | 49c | 332.99$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.83 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e51…9531backed Bucks | 52c | 327.34$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 367 | 51.5%189 W · 178 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Warriors | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Bucks | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…3e58backed Warriors | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 235 | 39.1%92 W · 143 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Bucks | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 289 | 29.4%85 W · 204 L | -13.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Bucks | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3645…2c9abacked Bucks | 51c | 282.35$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae53…d80bbacked Warriors | 45c | 274.81$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.82 | 409 | 52.1%213 W · 196 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Bucks | 50c | 248$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc43d…8928backed Bucks | 51c | 223.53$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +4.0wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Bucks | 51c | 215.78$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 217 | 53%115 W · 102 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Bucks | 14c | 214.3$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.74 | 306 | 16.7%51 W · 255 L | -36.5wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9117…9e5abacked Warriors | 47c | 212.44$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Warriors | 47c | 209.82$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.91 | 745 | 47.2%352 W · 393 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Bucks | 51c | 204.08$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.08 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Bucks | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Warriors | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Bucks | 53c | 200$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 358 | 51.7%185 W · 173 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…f4dabacked Bucks | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 433 | 52.2%226 W · 207 L | +19.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed Bucks | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -7.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x843a…2687backed Warriors | 50c | 198$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed Bucks | 51c | 196.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 631 | 42%265 W · 366 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4c…37a3backed Bucks | 58c | 174.85$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb53c…c76ebacked Bucks | 44c | 170.95$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.91 | 487 | 40.7%198 W · 289 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…0742backed Warriors | 49c | 163.37$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.37 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Bucks | 53c | 161.11$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.39 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf02…38b9backed Bucks | 52c | 153.85$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb545…6e0abacked Bucks | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 175 | 27.4%48 W · 127 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Bucks | 41c | 150$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 129 | 47.3%61 W · 68 L | +12.3wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…5590backed Bucks | 50c | 145.6$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.8 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f53…518dbacked Bucks | 52c | 143.16$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fd…55d3backed Bucks | 52c | 142.02$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x418c…c41cbacked Warriors | 49c | 141.33$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.08 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6050…5ac4backed Warriors | 49c | 135.39$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Warriors (-6.5)this page
- Bucks vs. WarriorsWarriors won
- Bucks vs. Warriors: 1H MoneylineWarriors won
- Bucks vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Warriors: O/U 227.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Warriors: O/U 228.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Warriors: O/U 229.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Warriors: O/U 230.5Over won
- Spread: Warriors (-5.5)Warriors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.