NBA · resolved market
Spread: Warriors (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90740ef9700e2dd22950c12a6fb1002c4baddd4f4d199ce779b1207fd132d9b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Warriors, Bucks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,816
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,434
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,816 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Warriors | 54c | 12,281$6,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,673.7 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Warriors | 53c | 10,789$5,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,098.83 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd34d…307dbacked Bucks | 47c | 8,936$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Bucks | 47c | 8,158$3,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,794.11 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Warriors | 53c | 6,768$3,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,181.14 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Warriors | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,939.99 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Bucks | 50c | 5,021$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Bucks | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Bucks | 47c | 3,817$1,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,794.2 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Bucks | 47c | 3,574$1,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,665.14 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Bucks | 47c | 3,329$1,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,559.29 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Bucks | 4c | 3,125$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 390 | 18.2%71 W · 319 L | +27.6wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Bucks | 48c | 661$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.71 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Bucks | 45c | 564.71$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.32 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0940…3640backed Bucks | 48c | 559.44$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcc…4324backed Bucks | 45c | 500$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Warriors | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.7 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Warriors | 52c | 466.74$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.03 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Bucks | 47c | 426$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.22 | 406 | 48%195 W · 211 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Bucks | 11c | 397.16$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.78 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Bucks | 48c | 387$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.76 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Bucks | 49c | 381.63$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 304 | 52.6%160 W · 144 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d5…7153backed Warriors | 55c | 354.55$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.55 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Bucks | 48c | 300.98$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.47 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed Bucks | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 95 | 15.8%15 W · 80 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Warriors | 52c | 285.94$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.03 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Bucks | 10c | 278.03$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.73 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Warriors | 53c | 263.36$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.78 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Bucks | 29c | 250$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.42 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…669fbacked Bucks | 9c | 250$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 132 | 28.8%38 W · 94 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bucks | 32c | 241.53$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.99 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Warriors | 55c | 226.88$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.88 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Bucks | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Bucks | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Bucks | 46c | 200$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.8 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Bucks | 27c | 191.27$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.84 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Warriors | 67c | 182$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.77 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Warriors | 74c | 172.41$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.84 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Warriors | 62c | 145.28$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.51 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Warriors | 52c | 142.81$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.55 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Warriors | 70c | 133.39$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Bucks | 9c | 133.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3645…2c9abacked Bucks | 47c | 114.89$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1c…dc02backed Bucks | 10c | 110$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Bucks | 47c | 108.25$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.82 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed Bucks | 47c | 106.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.29 | 157 | 59.9%94 W · 63 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…bfcabacked Bucks | 19c | 104.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 127 | 27.6%35 W · 92 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Warriors | 53c | 103.77$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.77 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Bucks | 49c | 102.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 522 | 42.7%223 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Bucks | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 373 | 57.4%214 W · 159 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd448…f700backed Bucks | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 109 | 53.2%58 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x839b…16b8backed Bucks | 49c | 97.08$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.57 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a39…031abacked Warriors | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99af…fedcbacked Warriors | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Bucks | 44c | 91.88$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.43 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Warriors | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Bucks | 48c | 86$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.12 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | +19.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa024…4929backed Warriors | 54c | 72$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.12 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Bucks | 47c | 63.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.57 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Bucks | 48c | 57.6$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.65 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Warriors | 55c | 56.36$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.36 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd0dd…1417backed Warriors | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf891…d3b6backed Bucks | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Warriors | 52c | 46.22$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.19 | 311 | 44.4%138 W · 173 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…1000backed Bucks | 46c | 46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Warriors | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 455 | 42.4%193 W · 262 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3320…7ee7backed Bucks | 48c | 39.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x117d…6542backed Warriors | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ab…c3acbacked Warriors | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Bucks | 48c | 37.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 522 | 46.6%243 W · 279 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…0924backed Warriors | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Bucks | 40c | 36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Warriors | 76c | 35.86$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 397 | 36.3%144 W · 253 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaa…cd5fbacked Warriors | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc33…9636backed Warriors | 56c | 35.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.7 | 192 | 42.7%82 W · 110 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3f…7fecbacked Bucks | 48c | 30.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Warriors | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf47…4d00backed Bucks | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Bucks | 45c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 379 | 49.3%187 W · 192 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc8…b4dabacked Warriors | 57c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -49%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x207b…df20backed Warriors | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e8…3a5dbacked Bucks | 47c | 22.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 548 | 54.2%297 W · 251 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Warriors | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Warriors (-5.5)this page
- Bucks vs. WarriorsWarriors won
- Bucks vs. Warriors: 1H MoneylineWarriors won
- Bucks vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Warriors: O/U 227.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Warriors: O/U 228.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Warriors: O/U 229.5Over won
- Bucks vs. Warriors: O/U 230.5Over won
- Spread: Warriors (-6.5)Warriors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.