Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d6a88c757781afb228befe0e89cd784b39e22cb0fb0c414f5c5e9e8eccb4b76
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,924
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,368
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,924 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 52c | 787.01$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.23 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…2d49backed Under | 50c | 700.78$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.39 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ac…6b83backed Over | 49c | 503.54$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.07 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 50c | 501.6$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.64 | 1,113 | 39%434 W · 679 L | -44.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked Under | 57c | 461.25$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.46 | 222 | 65.3%145 W · 77 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ba…3ca5backed Over | 50c | 402$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…9bb3backed Over | 46c | 392$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.58 | 208 | 42.3%88 W · 120 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Under | 50c | 311$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.61 | 527 | 50.5%266 W · 261 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Over | 51c | 271.02$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.29 | 697 | 41.5%289 W · 408 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Under | 51c | 262.47$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.61 | 624 | 51.4%321 W · 303 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed Over | 49c | 244.9$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 264 | 40.9%108 W · 156 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23b5…97e1backed Over | 49c | 160$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.4 | 257 | 40.1%103 W · 154 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8038…9547backed Over | 45c | 98.9$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.34 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 51c | 95.57$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.83 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf3…d220backed Over | 47c | 84.36$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Under | 56c | 65.18$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.68 | 978 | 54.4%532 W · 446 L | +48.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Under | 51c | 52.14$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.66 | 341 | 51.6%176 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked Under | 53c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 109 | 50.5%55 W · 54 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 52c | 49.56$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.7 | 1,310 | 49.2%644 W · 666 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e76…dd6bbacked Under | 52c | 43.33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…d199backed Over | 50c | 40.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 47c | 26.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 69c | 25.75$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.96 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 45c | 25.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…5df1backed Under | 51c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb0…16e6backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- First Blood in Game 2?HANJIN BRION won
- Game Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)Nongshim Red Force won
- LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise GroupNongshim Red Force won
- LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 WinnerNongshim Red Force won
- LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 WinnerNongshim Red Force won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.