Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x145a6906c4b40510dfeca62210829c5d2066f43a75de531701477b01113845b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nongshim Red Forceof Nongshim Red Force, HANJIN BRION
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,885
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,841
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,885 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Nongshim Red Force | 28c | 3,312$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,385.84 | 225 | 47.6%107 W · 118 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0072…88b6backed HANJIN BRION | 75c | 2,632$1,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,969.88 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbadb…31a7backed Nongshim Red Force | 27c | 999.98$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.98 | 176 | 42%74 W · 102 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked HANJIN BRION | 72c | 889.9$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.73 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f88…c6e8backed HANJIN BRION | 51c | 802.01$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.6 | 121 | 28.9%35 W · 86 L | -8.6wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Nongshim Red Force | 27c | 486$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.31 | 464 | 50.6%235 W · 229 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5519…f7e1backed HANJIN BRION | 59c | 400$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.55 | 162 | 61.1%99 W · 63 L | +11.9wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30c3…1331backed HANJIN BRION | 73c | 277.5$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.58 | 185 | 53%98 W · 87 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed Nongshim Red Force | 28c | 244.89$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.64 | 266 | 41%109 W · 157 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Nongshim Red Force | 53c | 231.85$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.25 | 343 | 51.3%176 W · 167 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6374…6408backed HANJIN BRION | 39c | 220$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.8 | 186 | 38.7%72 W · 114 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…31e6backed Nongshim Red Force | 26c | 220$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.8 | 267 | 43.8%117 W · 150 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed HANJIN BRION | 73c | 208.54$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.23 | 1,399 | 44.9%628 W · 771 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8feb…63fcbacked Nongshim Red Force | 38c | 200$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 215 | 48.4%104 W · 111 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Nongshim Red Force | 49c | 196.59$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.67 | 1,004 | 54.5%547 W · 457 L | +49.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…9bb3backed HANJIN BRION | 49c | 182$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.18 | 208 | 42.3%88 W · 120 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked Nongshim Red Force | 51c | 182$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.18 | 225 | 65.3%147 W · 78 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed HANJIN BRION | 48c | 168.89$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.07 | 400 | 55.8%223 W · 177 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed HANJIN BRION | 73c | 165.25$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.63 | 184 | 50.5%93 W · 91 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Nongshim Red Force | 59c | 135.49$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.93 | 706 | 41.5%293 W · 413 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Nongshim Red Force | 53c | 134.01$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.42 | 527 | 50.5%266 W · 261 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23b5…97e1backed HANJIN BRION | 49c | 134$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.66 | 269 | 39%105 W · 164 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Nongshim Red Force | 73c | 125.78$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.74 | 1,181 | 66%780 W · 401 L | +70.1wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb70c…34cabacked HANJIN BRION | 74c | 121.78$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 157 | 73.2%115 W · 42 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5777…f1a7backed Nongshim Red Force | 26c | 99.98$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.99 | 261 | 49%128 W · 133 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked HANJIN BRION | 56c | 87.5$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.37 | 421 | 37.5%158 W · 263 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4223…42c7backed Nongshim Red Force | 52c | 78$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.18 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5db…b42dbacked HANJIN BRION | 75c | 74.67$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 118 | 59.3%70 W · 48 L | -11.2wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed HANJIN BRION | 54c | 70$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 236 | 36.4%86 W · 150 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a6…2a95backed HANJIN BRION | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 61cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked HANJIN BRION | 73c | 62.46$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.67 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b06…d80dbacked HANJIN BRION | 69c | 49.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.29 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked Nongshim Red Force | 27c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 1,049 | 44.6%468 W · 581 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca5f…41f5backed Nongshim Red Force | 53c | 37.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 213 | 54.9%117 W · 96 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70a0…2dc3backed Nongshim Red Force | 37c | 27.03$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.03 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked HANJIN BRION | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 343 | 57.1%196 W · 147 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc800…4117backed HANJIN BRION | 48c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 160 | 32.5%52 W · 108 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…5df1backed HANJIN BRION | 73c | 22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked HANJIN BRION | 52c | 19.07$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 192 | 38.5%74 W · 118 L | -13.8wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)this page
- First Blood in Game 2?HANJIN BRION won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise GroupNongshim Red Force won
- LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 WinnerNongshim Red Force won
- LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 WinnerNongshim Red Force won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.