Lol · resolved market
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x192b7304a812bad1fa6561e320e8fb19d2db09831d00798fc8e2e7d3cac4e1ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,327
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,783
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,327 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe55a…ecf7backed Over | 54c | 25,500$13,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,829.95 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0224…292abacked Under | 46c | 11,076$5,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,980.82 | 252 | 44.4%112 W · 140 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda6…84c5backed Under | 45c | 3,050$1,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,662.5 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Over | 55c | 2,422$1,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,332.05 | 1,482 | 50%741 W · 741 L | +65.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…1136backed Under | 46c | 2,074$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125.2 | 166 | 45.8%76 W · 90 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed Under | 47c | 1,994$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.49 | 280 | 35%98 W · 182 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa245…2152backed Under | 45c | 1,607$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.01 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e12…e867backed Under | 46c | 1,370$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.99 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x191b…5b67backed Under | 45c | 1,126$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.19 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1242…9077backed Under | 46c | 1,005$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.65 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0160…1224backed Under | 45c | 889.45$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.45 | 236 | 39.8%94 W · 142 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Under | 46c | 775.22$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.62 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Under | 45c | 621.62$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.89 | 1,381 | 45.1%623 W · 758 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf5f…555ebacked Under | 46c | 580.43$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.43 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed Under | 46c | 510.87$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.87 | 564 | 32.1%181 W · 383 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 2,820 | 41.4%1,167 W · 1,653 L | -14.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed Over | 54c | 499.98$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.99 | 1,110 | 49%544 W · 566 L | +42.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbafa…02e0backed Under | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 796 | 50.6%403 W · 393 L | +47.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Over | 54c | 230.71$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.58 | 2,152 | 53.3%1,147 W · 1,005 L | +58.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd2…648cbacked Under | 46c | 220$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.8 | 949 | 48.5%460 W · 489 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed Over | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed Under | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 961 | 49.9%480 W · 481 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d3…bab9backed Under | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked Under | 45c | 193.11$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.06 | 445 | 44.9%200 W · 245 L | -14.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ec…f7a9backed Under | 46c | 147$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +118.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ea…6791backed Under | 45c | 140.89$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.49 | 226 | 44.2%100 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…645cbacked Over | 56c | 119.98$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.59 | 454 | 44.3%201 W · 253 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79b5…df9bbacked Under | 45c | 116.51$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.08 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…38babacked Over | 45c | 102.81$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1,441 | 43.4%625 W · 816 L | +105.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbeca…a1b7backed Over | 55c | 91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf3…d220backed Under | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…27d9backed Over | 55c | 60.56$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.31 | 396 | 52%206 W · 190 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…f060backed Over | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | -9.8wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Under | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 626 | 49.8%312 W · 314 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdccf…faeabacked Under | 45c | 38.43$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.17 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56a3…4a96backed Under | 45c | 34.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.02 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Under | 43c | 30.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.44 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c0…70babacked Over | 48c | 28.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Under | 45c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 44c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 1,239 | 37.3%462 W · 777 L | -39.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06ad…6b2fbacked Under | 54c | 24.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.57 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac71…f74cbacked Under | 54c | 21.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.95 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 58cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?this page
- First Blood in Game 2?HANJIN BRION won
- Game Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)Nongshim Red Force won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise GroupNongshim Red Force won
- LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 WinnerNongshim Red Force won
- LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 WinnerNongshim Red Force won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.