TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Dplus KIA vs DRX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Dplus KIAof Dplus KIA, DRX
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,618,241
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,831,226

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,618,241 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 999 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc257…358ebacked DRX18c150,000$27,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,499.944544.4%20 W · 25 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+24.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0775…b0c5backed DRX36c128,555$46,299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46,299.0925547.8%122 W · 133 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d13…c3dcbacked DRX1c85,656$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed DRX29c78,345$22,557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,5571,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed Dplus KIA70c72,169$50,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,638.864155.7%357 W · 284 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd812…2558backed DRX52c65,526$34,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,317.4521137%78 W · 133 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fa8…a519backed DRX0c54,330$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.33955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed DRX35c45,569$15,751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,750.8825446.1%117 W · 137 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6adc…bebabacked Dplus KIA48c41,500$19,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,579.985639.3%22 W · 34 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+25.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x78df…7d18backed DRX17c40,000$6,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,799.9720%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked DRX32c34,169$10,957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,957.4255955.8%312 W · 247 L+50.8wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+20.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe308…25cdbacked DRX19c31,100$5,909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,908.9966437.2%247 W · 417 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5b3…4155backed DRX18c30,018$5,353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,352.7630243%130 W · 172 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb555…0c4bbacked Dplus KIA63c26,268$16,589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,679.188056.3%45 W · 35 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Dplus KIA55c25,432$14,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,343.357751.9%40 W · 37 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde0c…a715backed Dplus KIA79c24,854$19,696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,158.6125269.8%176 W · 76 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+5.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf801…901cbacked DRX53c22,525$11,938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,938.275042%21 W · 29 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+18.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked Dplus KIA71c22,420$16,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,392.726541.5%27 W · 38 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5286…0d47backed DRX21c21,647$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,499.9627637.3%103 W · 173 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48fe…b2b6backed DRX17c20,000$3,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,40015148.3%73 W · 78 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed Dplus KIA60c19,320$11,658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,661.486453.1%34 W · 30 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed DRX30c19,180$5,803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,803.2214839.2%58 W · 90 L-10.8wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2e18…1c85backed DRX10c18,648$1,948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,948.37330%0 W · 33 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Dplus KIA61c17,371$10,638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,732.2251852.7%273 W · 245 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Dplus KIA80c16,903$13,509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,393.4911750.4%59 W · 58 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0ac…fd51backed DRX36c15,651$5,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,5903644.4%16 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed DRX35c15,456$5,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,434.663,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd614…1fa3backed DRX29c14,973$4,357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,357.3814425%36 W · 108 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-24.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb615…5baebacked DRX46c14,782$6,790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,790.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3482…1c8bbacked DRX16c14,000$2,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,239.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed Dplus KIA71c13,645$9,691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,953.6754353.8%292 W · 251 L+32.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Dplus KIA56c13,308$7,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,845.1726144.1%115 W · 146 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked DRX33c12,888$4,262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,262.381,25937.6%473 W · 786 L+34.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2e4…bc51backed DRX45c11,066$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0008648.8%42 W · 44 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3212…634ebacked DRX25c10,437$2,562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,561.5221536.7%79 W · 136 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Dplus KIA70c10,390$7,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,108.23764.9%24 W · 13 L+3.9wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+28.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfdaa…8420backed DRX33c10,233$3,335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,335.42812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.23per pick35cpaid-77.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed DRX17c10,000$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7003661.1%22 W · 14 L+4.3wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+33.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8165…f688backed Dplus KIA80c10,000$8,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00014753.7%79 W · 68 L+0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x437c…f458backed DRX29c10,000$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,90026246.6%122 W · 140 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Dplus KIA65c10,000$6,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,499.986241.9%26 W · 36 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked DRX16c10,000$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,599.997852.6%41 W · 37 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8292…f774backed DRX17c10,000$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,699.9916238.9%63 W · 99 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed DRX19c10,000$1,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,879.9816454.9%90 W · 74 L+14.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+22.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8d36…68fdbacked Dplus KIA63c9,277$5,823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,453.9925751%131 W · 126 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1355…6591backed DRX22c9,050$1,991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,990.972326.1%6 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick27cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked DRX40c8,864$3,546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,546.421,15842.6%493 W · 665 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94a5…9838backed Dplus KIA75c8,805$6,563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,242.086454.7%35 W · 29 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed Dplus KIA80c8,667$6,934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,733.4748742.3%206 W · 281 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2560…0b02backed Dplus KIA77c8,652$6,655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,997.2539749.1%195 W · 202 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7072…abccbacked Dplus KIA71c8,600$6,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4575959.3%35 W · 24 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd995…2b51backed DRX30c8,532$2,595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,59519122.5%43 W · 148 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick20cpaid-22.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked DRX21c8,287$1,774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,773.561,59234%541 W · 1,051 L-79.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-32.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xba0c…f837backed Dplus KIA55c8,237$4,514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,723.3521857.8%126 W · 92 L+18.6wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+16%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x04bd…39a0backed DRX30c8,152$2,459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,459.341,22945.1%554 W · 675 L+48.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd7db…ee3ebacked DRX19c8,000$1,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4803925.6%10 W · 29 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-25.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc19b…a935backed DRX16c8,000$1,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,28021937.9%83 W · 136 L-0.6wins0.00per pick38cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x500f…94bfbacked DRX54c7,717$4,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,148.9218961.4%116 W · 73 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Dplus KIA52c7,126$3,687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,439.641,59842.4%677 W · 921 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd54…b245backed Dplus KIA48c7,100$3,433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,666.9820035%70 W · 130 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick40cpaid+3.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4440…959abacked DRX21c7,012$1,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,497.749142.9%39 W · 52 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked DRX19c6,842$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30017537.1%65 W · 110 L+0.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid+9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf399…0129backed Dplus KIA48c6,834$3,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,553.822065%13 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+27.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked DRX36c6,619$2,391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,391.1653640.3%216 W · 320 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbd2…f8a0backed Dplus KIA61c6,100$3,701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,399.338560%51 W · 34 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+5.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x13d6…926ebacked DRX18c6,000$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,05010631.1%33 W · 73 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8568…bc38backed DRX40c5,779$2,307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3076216.1%10 W · 52 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-34.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x82f9…6910backed Dplus KIA72c5,575$4,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,533.67374%54 W · 19 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick68cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeea6…135fbacked DRX20c5,450$1,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,100.5753139.9%212 W · 319 L+18.7wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x791f…060ebacked DRX3c5,325$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.2526224.8%65 W · 197 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2935…96f7backed DRX31c5,000$1,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,570684.4%3 W · 65 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-61%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed DRX19c5,000$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94046033.9%156 W · 304 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+22%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x98c6…3d1ebacked DRX27c4,963$1,361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,36115246.1%70 W · 82 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed DRX34c4,900$1,659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,659.0548440.5%196 W · 288 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d73…044bbacked DRX23c4,779$1,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,116.6712646.8%59 W · 67 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Dplus KIA51c4,650$2,388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,261.512143%52 W · 69 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa794…1361backed DRX20c4,502$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900.3910624.5%26 W · 80 L+0.5wins0.00per pick24cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7234…1d85backed Dplus KIA66c4,500$2,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,53014637.7%55 W · 91 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid+10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3186…e9cabacked Dplus KIA74c4,494$3,337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,157.341,53662.6%961 W · 575 L+157.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6df9…e49ebacked DRX53c4,382$2,322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,322.467045.7%32 W · 38 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bf2…7706backed DRX23c4,350$997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997.173946.2%18 W · 21 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa89c…398fbacked DRX19c4,318$828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$827.742429.2%7 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick29cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58ce…e206backed DRX21c4,300$903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90322452.2%117 W · 107 L+14.6wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+10.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4b9f…e125backed Dplus KIA66c4,202$2,773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,428.616541.5%27 W · 38 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b64…eaf4backed Dplus KIA74c4,098$3,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,047.316241.4%67 W · 95 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf974…ec30backed DRX23c4,040$925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925.1910049%49 W · 51 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed DRX33c4,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,32013344.4%59 W · 74 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f5c…a5debacked DRX27c3,985$1,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,058.672010%2 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick18cpaid-65.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Dplus KIA56c3,982$2,239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,743.2869756.5%394 W · 303 L+26.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed Dplus KIA65c3,966$2,577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,389.0682352.7%434 W · 389 L+41.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x385f…a21fbacked Dplus KIA76c3,964$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$964.081957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed DRX20c3,889$781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780.8144047.5%209 W · 231 L+11.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed DRX40c3,784$1,502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,501.8327346.9%128 W · 145 L-14.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Dplus KIA61c3,780$2,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,474.92,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Dplus KIA55c3,721$2,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,664.021,00342.5%426 W · 577 L-24.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked DRX18c3,711$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$685.371,44713.3%192 W · 1,255 L-109.5wins-0.08per pick21cpaid-35.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7771…009fbacked DRX36c3,709$1,336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,336.111,00748.2%485 W · 522 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5eab…d552backed Dplus KIA51c3,658$1,883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,775.4638624.4%94 W · 292 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick24cpaid+23.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6f9…bff5backed Dplus KIA55c3,539$1,939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,600.713355.6%74 W · 59 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc65…96c8backed DRX18c3,494$629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62921939.3%86 W · 133 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.