TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs DRX (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
DRXof Dplus KIA, DRX
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$90,492
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$106,979

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,492 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa117…a311backed Dplus KIA69c28,115$19,446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,445.914953.1%26 W · 23 L-5.2wins-0.11per pick64cpaid-20.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed DRX41c20,448$8,329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,118.951,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed DRX29c15,056$4,356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,7001,03547.2%489 W · 546 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf801…901cbacked DRX51c11,950$6,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,855.615042%21 W · 29 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+18.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0775…b0c5backed Dplus KIA48c9,081$4,366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,366.2225547.8%122 W · 133 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Dplus KIA38c3,851$1,463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,463.2776953.4%411 W · 358 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed Dplus KIA67c2,639$1,782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,781.571,46361.4%899 W · 564 L-19.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed Dplus KIA61c2,505$1,528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,527.8882352.7%434 W · 389 L+41.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f4e…b690backed Dplus KIA35c2,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.9982554.8%452 W · 373 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe85d…95d8backed Dplus KIA70c1,847$1,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2895757.9%33 W · 24 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e5b…2b2dbacked DRX52c1,703$879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$824.5626155.9%146 W · 115 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d29…6da9backed Dplus KIA70c1,487$1,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,041.132752.9%173 W · 154 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb19f…dd0ebacked Dplus KIA38c1,316$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003672.2%26 W · 10 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked DRX61c1,132$686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.6878050%390 W · 390 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1090…3ad3backed DRX51c1,020$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.9111243.8%49 W · 63 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7234…1d85backed Dplus KIA39c927.24$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.7814637.7%55 W · 91 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid+10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Dplus KIA4c912.99$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.7789810.7%96 W · 802 L+2.6wins0.00per pick10cpaid-36.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed DRX52c669.8$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.5412937.2%48 W · 81 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2133…7903backed Dplus KIA45c646$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.2129143.3%126 W · 165 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4425…12efbacked DRX55c605.27$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.3716540.6%67 W · 98 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed DRX32c555.78$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.492,36232%755 W · 1,607 L+42.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ec4…6529backed DRX32c469.19$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.0513136.6%48 W · 83 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a2b…3377backed Dplus KIA70c409$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.33754.1%20 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x534b…983fbacked Dplus KIA62c400$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24942835%150 W · 278 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8568…bc38backed Dplus KIA26c400$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1046216.1%10 W · 52 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-34.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked DRX31c400$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2761,60948.4%779 W · 830 L+24.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc8b…d3d6backed DRX36c359.65$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.884654.3%25 W · 21 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf002…275ebacked DRX49c299.99$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1535742.1%24 W · 33 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x93f4…ea90backed Dplus KIA65c289.8$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.371,11049%544 W · 566 L+42.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4e1abacked DRX35c285.71$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.7116325.2%41 W · 122 L-15.8wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-34.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3230…782dbacked DRX65c277.77$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.221850%9 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-26.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcdad…9eaebacked DRX34c251.72$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.5212333.3%41 W · 82 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed DRX32c250$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17085746.3%397 W · 460 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x63a4…2923backed DRX53c216.96$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.96728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-48.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f9b…bc2fbacked Dplus KIA70c200.43$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.352062.3%324 W · 196 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b38…4d61backed Dplus KIA50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10027248.9%133 W · 139 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked Dplus KIA68c173.95$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.4582161%501 W · 320 L+1.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fe2…607bbacked DRX64c160$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.65058%29 W · 21 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x79c9…b2f1backed Dplus KIA70c157.56$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.1713531.9%43 W · 92 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed DRX33c150$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.510240.2%41 W · 61 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd011…ac5dbacked Dplus KIA67c149.64$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10025648.4%124 W · 132 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Dplus KIA69c144.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10080832.9%266 W · 542 L-43.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5db0…73f1backed Dplus KIA70c142.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004660.9%28 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3a6…dc57backed Dplus KIA70c142.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2e9…a86ebacked DRX71c131.81$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.8526448.5%128 W · 136 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93f1…b99dbacked DRX34c131.76$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.766847.1%32 W · 36 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+13.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed DRX34c127.68$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.2744128.1%124 W · 317 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Dplus KIA69c115.94$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8030255.6%168 W · 134 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4946…89d0backed Dplus KIA66c113.62$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.992166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed DRX55c109.2$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.217039.4%67 W · 103 L-13.5wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-17.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe02f…3d4cbacked Dplus KIA60c108.49$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6510652.8%56 W · 50 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-13.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c2f…9765backed Dplus KIA70c100$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704641.3%19 W · 27 L-6.0wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-27.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2b15…fa73backed Dplus KIA51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513759.5%22 W · 15 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b95…b23ebacked Dplus KIA69c98.12$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.71,02445%461 W · 563 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6741…e0f9backed Dplus KIA70c93.66$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.564454.5%24 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Dplus KIA67c79.56$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5349346.5%229 W · 264 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed DRX32c78.13$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.1350455%277 W · 227 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb79…70f0backed Dplus KIA39c76.92$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307343.8%32 W · 41 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-16.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8688…a520backed Dplus KIA50c74.78$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.3916251.9%84 W · 78 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5b3…4155backed Dplus KIA70c72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.430243%130 W · 172 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e54…511ebacked DRX30c70$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4940741.5%169 W · 238 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5252…a7cdbacked Dplus KIA67c59.7$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4064435.4%228 W · 416 L-28.0wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-22.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf16…65a6backed Dplus KIA71c56.34$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4019055.3%105 W · 85 L-11.6wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7676…ada4backed DRX65c51.83$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.1422350.2%112 W · 111 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c73…88d7backed Dplus KIA40c51.59$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.85333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd62d…02ccbacked Dplus KIA67c50$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.553955.1%297 W · 242 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4176…216abacked Dplus KIA69c50$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.51553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick63cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xabfb…12e5backed Dplus KIA34c49.25$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.937728.6%22 W · 55 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick24cpaid-14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6c9…975ebacked DRX46c48.41$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2613525.2%34 W · 101 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked DRX62c36.25$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8721457.5%123 W · 91 L+13.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8491…0622backed DRX72c31.12$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.816100%6 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+55.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcb6b…604ebacked Dplus KIA49c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.764146.5%298 W · 343 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked DRX61c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.75538.2%21 W · 34 L-5.8wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-30.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed DRX59c29.02$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.011,59946.8%748 W · 851 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0044…cb2cbacked DRX58c27.09$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.437935.4%28 W · 51 L+6.5wins+0.08per pick27cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4884…f519backed Dplus KIA70c21.14$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.82458.3%14 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaabd…54fcbacked DRX50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick65cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.