Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0dd1a0535c6ebe558b951a0ce963c657e71716fb99ce2b7979404c50ca252645
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,574
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,555
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,574 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0775…b0c5backed Over | 68c | 12,656$8,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,060.61 | 255 | 47.8%122 W · 133 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Under | 32c | 11,602$3,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,712.64 | 148 | 39.2%58 W · 90 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8568…bc38backed Under | 22c | 3,315$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.48 | 62 | 16.1%10 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d36…68fdbacked Over | 69c | 2,120$1,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.57 | 257 | 51%131 W · 126 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Under | 34c | 1,969$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.41 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…0782backed Over | 67c | 1,500$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 1,327 | 53.3%707 W · 620 L | +37.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e01…2c8abacked Under | 35c | 1,000$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.6 | 148 | 40.5%60 W · 88 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabd6…ca90backed Over | 67c | 999$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.67 | 207 | 64.3%133 W · 74 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed Over | 65c | 780$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273 | 140 | 38.6%54 W · 86 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Under | 33c | 718.39$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.07 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd142…5c9ebacked Over | 68c | 264.71$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.71 | 259 | 42.1%109 W · 150 L | -12.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x873d…97b5backed Under | 30c | 172.65$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.16 | 289 | 24.6%71 W · 218 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 70c | 153.49$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.49 | 365 | 67.4%246 W · 119 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…39a0backed Under | 32c | 102.65$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.85 | 1,229 | 45.1%554 W · 675 L | +48.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbee7…dc3abacked Over | 68c | 101.4$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.45 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6728…3ba0backed Over | 64c | 99.99$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -25%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Under | 34c | 95.16$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.53 | 135 | 25.2%34 W · 101 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Under | 28c | 93$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.04 | 431 | 48%207 W · 224 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb4…8830backed Over | 26c | 78.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.19 | 124 | 37.9%47 W · 77 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 170 | 39.4%67 W · 103 L | -13.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e23…761dbacked Under | 27c | 68.49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 205 | 37.6%77 W · 128 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cba…3ec4backed Under | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,545 | 43.7%675 W · 870 L | -18.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97a6…159ebacked Under | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 94 | 24.5%23 W · 71 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02d7…0c39backed Under | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 169 | 34.3%58 W · 111 L | +18.6wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 75c | 48.61$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0224…292abacked Under | 77c | 28$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 257 | 44.7%115 W · 142 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Under | 70c | 14.76$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 4.5this page
- First Blood in Game 4?Dplus KIA won
- First Blood in Game 5?DRX won
- Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs DRX (+1.5)DRX won
- Game Handicap: DK (-2.5) vs DRX (+2.5)DRX won
- Game Handicap: DRX (-2.5) vs Dplus KIA (+2.5)Dplus KIA won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- LoL: Dplus KIA vs DRX (BO5) - LCK Cup PlayoffsDplus KIA won
- LoL: Dplus KIA vs DRX - Game 1 WinnerDRX won
- LoL: Dplus KIA vs DRX - Game 2 WinnerDplus KIA won
- LoL: Dplus KIA vs DRX - Game 3 WinnerDRX won
- LoL: Dplus KIA vs DRX - Game 4 WinnerDplus KIA won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 1?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.