Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: DK (-2.5) vs DRX (+2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb1dd0c9d4c6f962db6aa4240e57ce39f8a9da5eedb83bcd57db00da6b1598e4e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- DRXof Dplus KIA, DRX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,839
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,391
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,839 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2307…3934backed DRX | 63c | 12,364$7,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,574.52 | 543 | 53.8%292 W · 251 L | +32.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x516a…a2edbacked Dplus KIA | 37c | 7,071$2,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,616.42 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -5.5wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d4…e1d2backed Dplus KIA | 2c | 5,416$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Dplus KIA | 0c | 3,979$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Dplus KIA | 35c | 3,228$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.86 | 559 | 55.8%312 W · 247 L | +50.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed DRX | 62c | 2,838$1,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064.32 | 440 | 47.5%209 W · 231 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4e…b690backed Dplus KIA | 37c | 1,900$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703 | 825 | 54.8%452 W · 373 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8c…0e0cbacked DRX | 65c | 1,709$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.99 | 126 | 53.2%67 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…67adbacked Dplus KIA | 37c | 1,620$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.4 | 281 | 50.5%142 W · 139 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Dplus KIA | 37c | 1,303$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.84 | 821 | 61%501 W · 320 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0775…b0c5backed DRX | 69c | 1,165$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.41 | 255 | 47.8%122 W · 133 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…d07fbacked Dplus KIA | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 959 | 51.3%492 W · 467 L | +42.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5b…2b2dbacked DRX | 65c | 919.42$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.8 | 261 | 55.9%146 W · 115 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb80d…0ac1backed Dplus KIA | 39c | 899.99$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351 | 505 | 47.7%241 W · 264 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d2…1b03backed DRX | 61c | 867.43$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.3 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…a816backed Dplus KIA | 37c | 852.43$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.4 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed Dplus KIA | 37c | 777$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.49 | 1,463 | 61.4%899 W · 564 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed DRX | 62c | 660.04$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.49 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Dplus KIA | 37c | 540.51$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 488 | 52%254 W · 234 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd3…fefabacked Dplus KIA | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…6de5backed DRX | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe49d…c3dbbacked Dplus KIA | 35c | 204.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.75 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Dplus KIA | 37c | 202.7$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 808 | 32.9%266 W · 542 L | -43.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea15…ba9ebacked Dplus KIA | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 201 | 40.8%82 W · 119 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3230…782dbacked DRX | 67c | 182.06$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.3 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4a…2215backed Dplus KIA | 33c | 175.04$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.76 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe2…607bbacked Dplus KIA | 37c | 162.16$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed Dplus KIA | 35c | 159.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.99 | 1,110 | 49%544 W · 566 L | +42.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff16…804ebacked DRX | 66c | 152.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.22 | 138 | 49.3%68 W · 70 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79c9…b2f1backed Dplus KIA | 35c | 149.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 135 | 31.9%43 W · 92 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f9…eb15backed DRX | 65c | 142.15$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.75 | 150 | 50%75 W · 75 L | +8.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Dplus KIA | 34c | 105.73$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.95 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Dplus KIA | 37c | 105.41$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Dplus KIA | 40c | 101$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.19 | 135 | 25.2%34 W · 101 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa179…8645backed Dplus KIA | 36c | 97.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 170 | 38.2%65 W · 105 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…a520backed Dplus KIA | 37c | 93.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.73 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d20…ca2abacked DRX | 65c | 90.32$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.61 | 139 | 35.3%49 W · 90 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked Dplus KIA | 37c | 90.03$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.31 | 1,024 | 45%461 W · 563 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb24f…c638backed Dplus KIA | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…f39ebacked Dplus KIA | 40c | 80$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…3d4cbacked Dplus KIA | 39c | 76.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0267…dc5abacked DRX | 34c | 75.85$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.06 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.29per pick | 30cpaid | +110.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc553…5928backed DRX | 63c | 75$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.75 | 417 | 43.9%183 W · 234 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Dplus KIA | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 202 | 39.6%80 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Dplus KIA | 34c | 39.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5252…a7cdbacked DRX | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 644 | 35.4%228 W · 416 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9653…30afbacked DRX | 66c | 30.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.31 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: DK (-2.5) vs DRX (+2.5)this page
- First Blood in Game 4?Dplus KIA won
- First Blood in Game 5?DRX won
- Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs DRX (+1.5)DRX won
- Game Handicap: DRX (-2.5) vs Dplus KIA (+2.5)Dplus KIA won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Over won
- LoL: Dplus KIA vs DRX (BO5) - LCK Cup PlayoffsDplus KIA won
- LoL: Dplus KIA vs DRX - Game 1 WinnerDRX won
- LoL: Dplus KIA vs DRX - Game 2 WinnerDplus KIA won
- LoL: Dplus KIA vs DRX - Game 3 WinnerDRX won
- LoL: Dplus KIA vs DRX - Game 4 WinnerDplus KIA won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 1?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.