Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x88dbd342e31cbb365a1006e63920ed28c7d57d4c8a29399f583aa7f431f9d715
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,410
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,045
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,410 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Under | 34c | 2,471$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.17 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25a9…7076backed Over | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 168 | 44.6%75 W · 93 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked Under | 39c | 1,324$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.36 | 163 | 25.2%41 W · 122 L | -15.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d29…6da9backed Over | 66c | 757.75$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.75 | 327 | 52.9%173 W · 154 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Under | 37c | 430.94$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.45 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Under | 39c | 386.12$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.57 | 185 | 49.7%92 W · 93 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Under | 39c | 360$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.4 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…c20dbacked Under | 39c | 257.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 293 | 35.2%103 W · 190 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Over | 63c | 238.08$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.09 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed Under | 36c | 226.56$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.56 | 140 | 38.6%54 W · 86 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1816…2ee6backed Over | 66c | 213.78$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.52 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | -20.4wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Over | 62c | 162.99$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.94 | 166 | 39.2%65 W · 101 L | -14.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd71…33e2backed Over | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0af…5490backed Over | 63c | 87.3$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.3 | 122 | 42.6%52 W · 70 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over | 64c | 70.31$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.31 | 493 | 46.5%229 W · 264 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Over | 80c | 70$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 428 | 40.2%172 W · 256 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x701c…d6d1backed Under | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x657b…ed51backed Over | 63c | 52.38$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Under | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe575…a95ebacked Over | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc4a…8be5backed Under | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7994…c8c3backed Over | 66c | 40.32$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.88 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f6a…a9f8backed Over | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a4…d83bbacked Over | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 3.5this page
- First Blood in Game 4?Dplus KIA won
- First Blood in Game 5?DRX won
- Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs DRX (+1.5)DRX won
- Game Handicap: DK (-2.5) vs DRX (+2.5)DRX won
- Game Handicap: DRX (-2.5) vs Dplus KIA (+2.5)Dplus KIA won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Over won
- LoL: Dplus KIA vs DRX (BO5) - LCK Cup PlayoffsDplus KIA won
- LoL: Dplus KIA vs DRX - Game 1 WinnerDRX won
- LoL: Dplus KIA vs DRX - Game 2 WinnerDplus KIA won
- LoL: Dplus KIA vs DRX - Game 3 WinnerDRX won
- LoL: Dplus KIA vs DRX - Game 4 WinnerDplus KIA won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 1?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.