CS2 · resolved market
Will Team Falcons win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x16fbdd5aa747b5552b8e99e341645d7e36ec212feef1a0a23211a178602de036
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $90,781
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,910
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,781 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7645…3117backed Yes | 8c | 15,891$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280.22 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x098b…1fa5backed Yes | 11c | 9,887$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.08 | 124 | 41.1%51 W · 73 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 10c | 6,122$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.38 | 359 | 40.4%145 W · 214 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf62a…aecfbacked Yes | 9c | 3,875$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.71 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 19cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed Yes | 5c | 2,092$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Yes | 11c | 2,026$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.69 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee57…bf1ebacked Yes | 12c | 1,888$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.97 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbae3…6b12backed Yes | 9c | 1,865$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.81 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 11c | 1,757$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.87 | 228 | 38.6%88 W · 140 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Yes | 14c | 1,700$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0359…fda7backed Yes | 13c | 1,638$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.35 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…d71cbacked Yes | 10c | 1,500$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.61 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca5c…f572backed Yes | 15c | 1,432$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x899a…230abacked Yes | 10c | 1,324$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.67 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 26cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 8c | 1,278$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.84 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5147…a0b7backed Yes | 11c | 1,189$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 117 | 32.5%38 W · 79 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc694…1171backed Yes | 9c | 1,093$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.51 | 476 | 41.6%198 W · 278 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 5c | 1,012$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.48 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 8cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21fb…fd64backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 5c | 968.19$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.64 | 194 | 23.7%46 W · 148 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 7c | 774.39$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.97 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f49…463abacked Yes | 13c | 760.64$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.38 | 179 | 45.3%81 W · 98 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a89…a4d6backed Yes | 12c | 706.1$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.73 | 238 | 42.4%101 W · 137 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c7…3848backed Yes | 11c | 622.18$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba1…cf36backed Yes | 10c | 599.98$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.63 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Yes | 6c | 549.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Yes | 12c | 499.98$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a47…76dcbacked Yes | 11c | 458.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd4…b3a8backed Yes | 10c | 398.56$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.76 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4e…b978backed Yes | 9c | 382.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.81 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2228…d2b0backed Yes | 9c | 379$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.03 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84b5…0f44backed Yes | 14c | 358.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 30cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd49…b383backed Yes | 7c | 347.8$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.64 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22e5…9bedbacked Yes | 11c | 337.63$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6950…cd78backed Yes | 9c | 325.22$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…540cbacked Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d1…f540backed Yes | 11c | 300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 178 | 49.4%88 W · 90 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 10c | 288.23$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.82 | 317 | 35.6%113 W · 204 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39dd…2cecbacked Yes | 12c | 267.92$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.23 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1a…bf0abacked Yes | 9c | 250$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8cd…e77cbacked Yes | 12c | 235.34$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76c0…4731backed Yes | 9c | 235.23$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.79 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 259 | 41.3%107 W · 152 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 172 | 46.5%80 W · 92 L | -16.9wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fb…2e4ebacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0164…9ed6backed Yes | 6c | 199.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8d…acfebacked Yes | 8c | 190.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba3…6c19backed Yes | 16c | 185.23$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.51 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa35e…0440backed Yes | 12c | 171.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 107 | 43.9%47 W · 60 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59d1…3e1fbacked Yes | 12c | 170$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce62…51a0backed Yes | 8c | 169.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e42…5856backed Yes | 12c | 169.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 89 | 29.2%26 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb391…49e7backed Yes | 12c | 165.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…9f19backed Yes | 12c | 163.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 113 | 50.4%57 W · 56 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…1941backed Yes | 12c | 162.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -74%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…d199backed Yes | 10c | 157.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 9c | 138.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Yes | 12c | 134.15$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.57 | 123 | 28.5%35 W · 88 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01e2…0ae9backed Yes | 10c | 130.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked Yes | 10c | 110.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…3515backed Yes | 15c | 101.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb10f…aa56backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a15…38babacked Yes | 11c | 97.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x266c…4470backed Yes | 12c | 84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +93.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Team Falcons win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026? this page
- Will 9z win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026? No won
- Will Aurora win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026? No won
- Will B8 win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026? No won
- Will FaZe win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026? No won
- Will Furia win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026? No won
- Will Mouz win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026? No won
- Will NRG win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026? No won
- Will Natus Vincere win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026? No won
- Will Ninjas in Pyjamas win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026? No won
- Will Parivision win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026? No won
- Will Team Liquid win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026? No won
- Will Team Spirit win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026? No won
- Will The MongolZ win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026? No won
- Will Tyloo win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026? No won
- Will Vitality win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026? Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.