CS2 · resolved market
Will Aurora win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x58f7f46941896f1217cff1b04b0823714cfcd8528735fbd1aa6b2fe7d6fde9df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $234,296
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $193,727
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $234,296 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 1c | 6,688$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.32 | 194 | 23.7%46 W · 148 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ad…d00bbacked Yes | 1c | 6,281$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.6 | 148 | 20.3%30 W · 118 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 5,786$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.55 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…b3bbbacked Yes | 1c | 4,309$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.03 | 291 | 27.5%80 W · 211 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 2c | 3,361$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.82 | 70 | 0%0 W · 70 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9249…d239backed Yes | 5c | 3,236$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.49 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 5cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc00c…bd0cbacked Yes | 3c | 3,132$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cf…5a6ebacked Yes | 2c | 3,070$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd725…a0b7backed Yes | 3c | 2,896$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a2…c590backed Yes | 2c | 2,663$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.09 | 143 | 32.2%46 W · 97 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 2c | 2,608$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.91 | 228 | 38.6%88 W · 140 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4e…b978backed Yes | 3c | 2,488$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.23 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2019…6cf6backed Yes | 3c | 2,443$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes | 2c | 2,227$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.65 | 62 | 24.2%15 W · 47 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd7…a3e3backed Yes | 3c | 2,202$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x804e…64fabacked Yes | 1c | 2,094$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b96…a8d1backed Yes | 1c | 1,916$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed Yes | 1c | 1,772$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.27 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35a8…9d2abacked Yes | 2c | 1,729$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…79d9backed Yes | 1c | 1,720$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,705$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.27 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…7e1cbacked Yes | 3c | 1,703$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x899a…230abacked Yes | 5c | 1,649$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 26cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbae3…6b12backed Yes | 1c | 1,641$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.27 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4d…5ba9backed Yes | 2c | 1,606$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb770…b37bbacked Yes | 2c | 1,606$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x696c…cddfbacked Yes | 1c | 1,552$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Yes | 2c | 1,532$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.27 | 608 | 38.2%232 W · 376 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcad5…887abacked Yes | 1c | 1,519$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab80…ffc0backed Yes | 7c | 1,444$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ab…8c2ebacked Yes | 4c | 1,362$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 2c | 1,322$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.41 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd5…a9fbbacked Yes | 6c | 1,319$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48b7…c208backed Yes | 1c | 1,213$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…c336backed Yes | 4c | 1,168$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.57 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cdd…6261backed Yes | 1c | 1,139$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 1c | 1,138$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf9…594fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,128$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd12…4fb7backed Yes | 1c | 1,081$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x472e…e7cdbacked Yes | 3c | 1,055$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23ed…aebcbacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Yes | 4c | 1,000$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6aab…39d8backed Yes | 2c | 952$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…3587backed Yes | 2c | 932$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1100…9242backed Yes | 3c | 913$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa240…bf81backed Yes | 2c | 889$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93f5…1477backed Yes | 2c | 887$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdba1…c658backed Yes | 2c | 859$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9706…1d75backed Yes | 2c | 824$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0071…3d98backed Yes | 2c | 823$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3521…104dbacked Yes | 3c | 783$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4228…f351backed Yes | 2c | 778$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 3c | 745.78$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -83.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 5c | 742.01$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.66 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65e6…2460backed Yes | 2c | 699$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94e6…6ac6backed Yes | 2c | 682$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd2…1f27backed Yes | 4c | 678.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 544 | 39.7%216 W · 328 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb47d…3b31backed Yes | 2c | 643$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9e…0790backed Yes | 2c | 643$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a47…76dcbacked Yes | 3c | 634.13$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc900…7266backed Yes | 3c | 537$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba3…6c19backed Yes | 4c | 499.36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…1941backed Yes | 4c | 492.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -74%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23f8…7678backed Yes | 3c | 488$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7337…1fafbacked Yes | 3c | 486.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 190 | 22.6%43 W · 147 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83f5…a37fbacked Yes | 2c | 466$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3233…ef73backed Yes | 3c | 438$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd49…b383backed Yes | 5c | 417.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Yes | 6c | 393.81$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.02 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5f…91fdbacked Yes | 5c | 370$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa92e…1160backed Yes | 4c | 360.34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 207 | 32.4%67 W · 140 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x883b…82c6backed Yes | 4c | 350.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Yes | 6c | 339.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 123 | 28.5%35 W · 88 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c65…9a3dbacked Yes | 5c | 248.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacc5…09bdbacked Yes | 6c | 225.34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aurora win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026? this page
- Will 9z win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026? No won
- Will B8 win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026? No won
- Will FaZe win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026? No won
- Will Furia win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026? No won
- Will Mouz win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026? No won
- Will NRG win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026? No won
- Will Natus Vincere win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026? No won
- Will Ninjas in Pyjamas win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026? No won
- Will Parivision win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026? No won
- Will Team Falcons win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026? No won
- Will Team Liquid win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026? No won
- Will Team Spirit win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026? No won
- Will The MongolZ win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026? No won
- Will Tyloo win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026? No won
- Will Vitality win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026? Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.