TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x23ed…aebc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
198
Categories scored
29
Categories below 50
23

Best Category: Us Politics, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Us Politics at 59 out of 100; worst Movies at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT340%0 W · 34 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be at least 1650 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.46
Will there be at least 1625 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.64
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 50-51°F on March 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.1
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.02
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on March 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.93
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 78°F or higher on March 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.91
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on March 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.14
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 71°F or below on March 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.94
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on March 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.58
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on March 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.54
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on March 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.21
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on March 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.66
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C on March 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.63
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on March 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.72
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on March 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.72
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on March 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.38
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on March 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.72
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C or higher on March 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.56
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on March 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.35
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on March 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.09
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on March 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.38
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 9°C on March 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.68
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on March 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.51
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 59°F or below on March 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.12
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C or higher on March 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.89
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT320%0 W · 32 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,000 (HIGH) in March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.65
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.76
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $320 end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.68
Will NVIDIA dip to $152 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.46
Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of March 23 above $160?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.38
Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of March 23 above $158?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.12
Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of March 23 above $157?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.65
Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of March 23 above $155?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.38
Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of March 23 above $156?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.38
Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of March 23 above $154?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.39
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of March 23 above $175?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.58
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of March 23 above $380?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.39
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of March 23 above $370?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.48
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of March 23 above $400?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.64
Will Meta (META) finish week of March 23 above $580?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.64
Will Meta (META) finish week of March 23 above $550?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.93
Will Meta (META) finish week of March 23 above $610?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.48
Will Meta (META) finish week of March 23 above $600?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.48
Will Meta (META) finish week of March 23 above $590?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.64
Will Google (GOOGL) close at $290-$295 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 23 – Mar 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.32
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of March 23 above $300?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.48
Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of March 23 above $215?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.48
Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of March 23 above $380?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.48
Will Apple (AAPL) close at $240-$245 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 23 – Mar 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.48
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $390 on March 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.48
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT1811.1%2 W · 16 L-3.0wins-0.17per pick28cpaid-76.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Movies — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will A24 announce a new project at SDCC 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.7
Will Taylor Swift appear on Hall H stage at SDCC 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.78
Will Studio Ghibli announce a new project at SDCC 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.7
Will a trailer for Avengers: Doomsday premiere at SDCC 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.5
Will a trailer for God of War Laufey premiere at SDCC 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$54
Will Apple TV announce a new project at SDCC 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$66.3
Will Marvel Studios announce a new project at SDCC 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.5
Will Robert Downey Jr. appear on Hall H stage at SDCC 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.78
Will a trailer for The Lord of the Rings: The Rings of Power Season 3 premiere at SDCC 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.4
Will "They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 6m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.97
Will "They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 8m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.27
Will "Project Hail Mary" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 54m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.76
Will "War Machine" be the top US Netflix movie this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.09
Will "Nobody 2" be the top US Netflix movie this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.65
Will "Peaky Blinders: The Immortal Man" be the top US Netflix movie this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.09
Will "Unicorn Academy: Secrets Revealed" be the top US Netflix show this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will "Ready or Not 2: Here I Come" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 8.5m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.38
All 18 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT1618.8%3 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-68.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.4
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.4
Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.66
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$11.84
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.8
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.09
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.11
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 29, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+36.8%+$37.18
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.83
Will Trump say "Think about" during meeting with Netanyahu?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20
US strike on Syria by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$2,271Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$2,270.95
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+58.2%+$58.17
Will Trump say "Phase Two" during Egypt summit?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
All 16 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT140%0 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will John Healey be the next Defence Secretary of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.67
Will Kim Tae-heum win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.12
Will Ricardo Belmont finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.83
Will Rafael Belaúnde Llosa finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.09
Will Jorge Nieto finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.29
Will Esther Soria Gonzales win the 2026 Cochabamba gubernatorial election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will 'Arirang' - BTS debut week album sales be between 900k and 950k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.66
Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the March meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will the Bank of Mexico announce an increase at the March meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Starmer say "Iran" 3+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.49
Will the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election by 10–15%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Angélica Sosa win the 2026 Santa Cruz de la Sierra mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Enrique Leaño win the 2026 Sucre mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Horacio Poppe win the 2026 Sucre mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 14 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT130%0 W · 13 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will White House post 100-119 posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.44
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.72
Will White House post 80-99 posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.02
Will White House post 180-199 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.68
Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.82
Will Khamenei post 20-39 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.02
Will Ted Cruz post 100-119 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.54
Will White House post 140-159 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.4
Will NYC Mayor post 0-19 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.68
Will Ted Cruz post 80-99 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.26
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Ted Cruz post 60-79 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.6
Will White House post 160-179 posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 13 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.34per pick29cpaid+402.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the DHS shutdown last 70 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+3,003.4%+$740.79
Will the number of US flights delayed on March 26 be between 4,000 and 4,500?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.82
Will between 6000-6500 US flights be delayed on March 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.27
Will Trump send the national guard to Los Angeles by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+55.7%+$55.73
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+244.8%+$244.83
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+110.9%+$66.56
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+107.4%+$88.24
All 8 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+20.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2025, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-43.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick25cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-44.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-11.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa vs. Arsenal end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+42.9%+$42.86
Will Bournemouth vs. Everton end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$200
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.37
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.85
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+317.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Miami Florida make the College Football Playoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+317.8%+$317.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will China lift rare earths export ban by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+33.3%+$16.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will one person dissent the October Fed decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tigres de la UANL vs. CF Cruz Azul: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shake Shack (SHAK) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Betis vs. Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
India T20 Series: India vs South Africa (Game 2)backed India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.