Tennis · resolved market
Will Jessica Pegula win the 2026 women's singles tournament at the Miami Open?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe920b53ef7e9e34758c384c86b7708a2fe0db14e02b7c6721ec04c83a74d8dc1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,435
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,435 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 10 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4b3…a093backed Yes | 73c | 7,601$5,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,547.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c88…1433backed No | 27c | 7,500$2,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,475 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23ed…aebcbacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Yes | 6c | 727.72$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e02…b178backed Yes | 10c | 681.69$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.34 | 334 | 9.6%32 W · 302 L | -16.7wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 11c | 521.55$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.1 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9712…0c47backed Yes | 8c | 224.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0706…6ffebacked Yes | 11c | 200.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 9c | 110.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1c…5ee1backed No | 28c | 101$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jessica Pegula win the 2026 women's singles tournament at the Miami Open?this page
- Will Amanda Anisimova win the 2026 women's singles tournament at the Miami Open?No won
- Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 women's singles tournament at the Miami Open?Yes won
- Will Coco Gauff win the 2026 women's singles tournament at the Miami Open?No won
- Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 women's singles tournament at the Miami Open?No won
- Will Jaqueline Cristian win the 2026 women's singles tournament at the Miami Open?No won
- Will Karolina Muchova win the 2026 women's singles tournament at the Miami Open?No won
- Will Victoria Mboko win the 2026 women's singles tournament at the Miami Open?No won
- Will Xinyu Wang win the 2026 women's singles tournament at the Miami Open?No won
- Will Zeynep Sonmez win the 2026 women's singles tournament at the Miami Open?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.