TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 women's singles tournament at the Miami Open?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$65,983
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$75,966

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,983 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2707…0afabacked Yes38c10,000$3,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,170.232920.7%6 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-37.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x476d…9dadbacked Yes44c5,598$2,463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,135.1862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.23per pick40cpaid+35%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed No44c4,972$2,208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,207.978226.8%22 W · 60 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-47.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9712…0c47backed Yes44c4,812$2,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,700.748344.6%37 W · 46 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd914…0d9abacked No59c3,042$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,799.71933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-48.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No15c2,234$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.257,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb64…5e23backed No60c2,198$1,319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,318.575427.8%15 W · 39 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-52.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x168a…da29backed No63c1,873$1,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,188.868854.5%48 W · 40 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No57c1,651$939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$939.318640.7%35 W · 51 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked No39c1,103$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.3824634.1%84 W · 162 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes42c1,042$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605.171,09035.9%391 W · 699 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No66c820.14$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.54032.5%13 W · 27 L-4.8wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-28%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked No11c800$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8819411.9%23 W · 171 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb046…857cbacked No66c700$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4622119%4 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick22cpaid+92%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa070…1af3backed No59c700$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4132055%11 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed No35c688.48$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.175748.6%368 W · 389 L+16.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked No61c658.39$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4009556.8%54 W · 41 L+0.3wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked No58c560$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.847552.4%249 W · 226 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fa8…c667backed Yes73c553.67$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.52333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-54.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe25c…ae63backed No27c500$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13552750.3%265 W · 262 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb15c…c161backed Yes41c486.1$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.0110340.8%42 W · 61 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8575…87febacked No18c476.37$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.41450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-30%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee4b…be76backed No6c439.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes48c376.13$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.12475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+23.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed No29c370$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.4811230.4%34 W · 78 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-30.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe328…bbb3backed No26c364.49$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf86…601fbacked Yes73c342.47$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.4710134.7%35 W · 66 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9a8f…5259backed No58c329.61$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19118957.1%108 W · 81 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f0…c9e4backed No58c319$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.0211659.5%69 W · 47 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Yes37c299.6$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.7546556.1%261 W · 204 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076f…dc12backed Yes47c298.73$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.733764.9%24 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf95…7865backed Yes65c272.62$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.021631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ac9…cf1abacked Yes37c269.69$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.6940264.4%259 W · 143 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb996…038cbacked No58c258$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.641833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.9wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-46.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb89b…a39dbacked No61c246$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.064163.4%26 W · 15 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+17.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1c26…6e31backed No41c232$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.131250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2185…b40cbacked No58c218$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.0418156.9%103 W · 78 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f8e…21b7backed Yes57c206.77$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.713756.8%21 W · 16 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa3ad…0e3cbacked Yes74c205.47$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f4f…728abacked Yes38c204$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.48475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick42cpaid+63.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3f6…bab8backed No57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1142450%12 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ae0…910cbacked Yes67c199.99$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661973.7%14 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick63cpaid+30%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdf40…38b8backed No64c199.99$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.99666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9528…8c40backed Yes74c197.95$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16da…5afabacked Yes34c177.05$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d24…9c89backed No58c175$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.515748.4%76 W · 81 L-13.2wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-16.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6814…d83abacked No59c173.59$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.3813135.9%47 W · 84 L+0.4wins0.00per pick36cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4d9…c125backed No58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001850%9 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x215a…254cbacked Yes41c169.49$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+23.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6df…588cbacked No58c160$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.813860.9%84 W · 54 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xce3a…2477backed No58c160$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.8955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec38…ca10backed No58c159.97$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.788848.9%43 W · 45 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xed67…7122backed Yes73c158.14$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.141275%9 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x342d…608cbacked No59c153$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.27757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x540f…92bebacked No59c151$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.092548%12 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Yes72c147.38$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.621,67850.8%852 W · 826 L+30.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ba3…9cabbacked Yes72c121.08$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.67650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+90.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No28c119.76$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.711,87016%299 W · 1,571 L-314.3wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-65.6%equal weight32-0.17 edge/pick
0x2755…fef0backed Yes59c117.94$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.9422634.5%78 W · 148 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec56…1259backed No40c111.02$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.265048%24 W · 26 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No31c110.56$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.432770.4%19 W · 8 L+4.1wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+23.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe13c…1159backed Yes46c108.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.49558.9%56 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4993…2e40backed Yes40c107.5$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+109.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4451…fcbebacked Yes71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293652.8%19 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9615…60ddbacked Yes73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271266.7%8 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed No53c99.99$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.625226.9%14 W · 38 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-42.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc45…14bcbacked Yes39c99.15$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.489245.7%42 W · 50 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc2b6…d7cebacked No41c96.46$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.715749.1%28 W · 29 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f5c…9e02backed No37c95.9$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.1711851.7%61 W · 57 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d8e…3d55backed No59c83.24$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.951838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-34.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeeb9…6f7abacked No44c79.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.0920%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0115…ac79backed Yes72c74.85$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.068154.3%44 W · 37 L-8.1wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-16%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0642…8c68backed No58c70$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.664358.8%378 W · 265 L+13.4wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x990a…a9cebacked No58c68.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8311953.8%64 W · 55 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0c5…b613backed No58c64$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.1250259%296 W · 206 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4025…8a80backed No58c63.79$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ca7…e965backed No59c62$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.582147.6%10 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-23.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x197c…544bbacked No58c62$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.249369.9%65 W · 28 L+8.3wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+15.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa415…6fb9backed No59c62$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5858453.1%310 W · 274 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1408…b4f8backed No24c60.26$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.39742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-14.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0828…5cfebacked No41c60$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5215147.7%72 W · 79 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a96…b382backed No55c58$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.913557.8%78 W · 57 L+11.6wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+19.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x14b7…a035backed Yes35c57.14$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.1423554.5%128 W · 107 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes35c56.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.842,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x41b4…3931backed No58c55.17$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick59cpaid+43%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc9a4…3926backed Yes37c54.05$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.0559366.8%396 W · 197 L-0.6wins0.00per pick67cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc47a…68e6backed No57c52.63$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307557.3%43 W · 32 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e58…fb5abacked No57c52$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.643961.5%24 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes43c50.1$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.5633650.9%171 W · 165 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed No32c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1644423.9%106 W · 338 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed No29c49$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.212516%4 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick15cpaid+17.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked Yes77c48.93$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3663144.1%278 W · 353 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No57c46$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.281963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x899e…0863backed No66c45.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304050%20 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1736…688cbacked Yes45c44.12$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.351540%6 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-35.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2099…3024backed Yes42c40.54$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.344415.9%7 W · 37 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56e4…6ee4backed No59c40$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.616152.8%85 W · 76 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8f6…4f7fbacked No61c39.17$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9434148.1%164 W · 177 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83e8…7b89backed Yes59c37.45$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.521540%6 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x418c…4a41backed No59c37$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.821877.8%14 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.14per pick64cpaid+21.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.