TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 women's singles tournament at the Miami Open?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$36,823
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$30,803

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,823 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9712…0c47backed Yes28c8,158$2,303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,303.38344.6%37 W · 46 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No72c3,068$2,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845.528640.7%35 W · 51 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed No71c2,897$2,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$853.1872452.6%381 W · 343 L+34.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…d83abacked Yes18c2,141$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.3613135.9%47 W · 84 L+0.4wins0.00per pick36cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0ce…0a8ebacked Yes25c2,136$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.772334.8%8 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-19.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x168a…da29backed No78c1,778$1,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.798854.5%48 W · 40 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb15c…c161backed Yes23c1,741$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.4410340.8%42 W · 61 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes23c1,597$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.298226.8%22 W · 60 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-47.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Yes28c1,168$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.9524634.1%84 W · 162 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b9c…7e44backed Yes27c1,025$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No74c799.98$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2106726.9%18 W · 49 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-30.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdf40…38b8backed No79c691.84$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.91666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Yes24c670.91$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.9986835.4%307 W · 561 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa070…1af3backed No76c600$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1442055%11 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes22c526.68$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.661,09035.9%391 W · 699 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc302…7409backed Yes31c485.34$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ac9…cf1abacked Yes24c419.88$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040264.4%259 W · 143 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f57…503dbacked Yes28c354.51$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed31…d9c8backed Yes11c327$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.447032.9%23 W · 47 L-7.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-30.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb4ec…1cc8backed Yes32c317.07$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10032333.4%108 W · 215 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Yes22c300$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6646556.1%261 W · 204 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60c…d2e2backed No74c295.99$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.964351.2%22 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes15c293.36$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.81,24533.9%422 W · 823 L-5.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a8f…5259backed No75c269.33$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.3318957.1%108 W · 81 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes5c257.8$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.771,87016%299 W · 1,571 L-314.3wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-65.6%equal weight32-0.17 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Yes23c239.09$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.8375748.6%368 W · 389 L+16.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c26…6e31backed No75c234.09$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.741250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe44b…6e0abacked Yes24c218$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.2522039.1%86 W · 134 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x993f…35cbbacked No80c207.93$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.68540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-42.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d8e…3d55backed Yes34c199.29$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$671838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-34.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb333…e295backed Yes32c193.55$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes22c186$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.773324.2%8 W · 25 L-4.2wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-52.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb8f6…4f7fbacked No75c171.15$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8334148.1%164 W · 177 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd950…ad1bbacked Yes15c169.94$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.496526.2%17 W · 48 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-36.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2cfe…e4debacked Yes23c165$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.823514.3%5 W · 30 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-39.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f8e…21b7backed Yes19c156.49$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.343756.8%21 W · 16 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x544c…7029backed Yes34c147.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9795…bfbfbacked Yes28c139.77$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes20c136.96$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.6133650.9%171 W · 165 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a0d…c27bbacked Yes29c133.69$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.771747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2099…3024backed Yes11c131.23$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.934415.9%7 W · 37 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f34…2f50backed No79c129.24$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.171060%6 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes27c110.52$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4538147%179 W · 202 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x87e1…57b5backed Yes24c104.71$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7583…0469backed Yes29c103.65$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.9wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+67.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7ad4…fa20backed Yes19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1920%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed No73c86.98$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.751,15148.7%560 W · 591 L+8.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14b7…a035backed Yes24c83.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2023554.5%128 W · 107 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e02…b178backed Yes17c80.22$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.33349.6%32 W · 302 L-16.7wins-0.05per pick15cpaid-48.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x669d…3a77backed No72c79$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.124055%22 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5982…fd3ebacked Yes25c78.72$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.48425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-54.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb5b…0037backed Yes29c75$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.75333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No76c73.75$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.74032.5%13 W · 27 L-4.8wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-28%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcd20…b5f6backed Yes34c73.53$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfa3…0d9abacked Yes34c73.53$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-47.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3df4…9723backed Yes32c67.95$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972e…f602backed Yes29c65.19$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1420%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb996…038cbacked No75c62.66$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.661833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.9wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-46.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd362…9bc4backed No78c59.94$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.09742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2a96…b382backed No75c57$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.2513557.8%78 W · 57 L+11.6wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+19.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb0c5…b613backed No75c57$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.2550259%296 W · 206 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a6d…1d0abacked No67c54$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.82366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2185…b40cbacked No76c53$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7218156.9%103 W · 78 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf95…7865backed Yes21c51.79$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.881631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65d8…bac6backed Yes30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152040%8 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-21.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc47a…68e6backed No74c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137557.3%43 W · 32 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e43…bfc4backed Yes29c45$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f45…8a34backed Yes29c44.4$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.94650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84a9…dbc4backed Yes34c42.37$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1408…b4f8backed No73c42.11$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.53742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-14.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8575…87febacked No73c42$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.34450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-30%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41b4…3931backed No75c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick59cpaid+43%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc9ae…7274backed Yes26c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes28c38.09$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.630%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x197c…544bbacked No74c32$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.329369.9%65 W · 28 L+8.3wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+15.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4f04…6a54backed No74c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.83732.4%12 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcd8…09cabacked No72c29.04$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ee…37a2backed No75c25.26$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.43475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+23.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x18c6…a4dbbacked No71c25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.252250%11 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f65…38bfbacked No76c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.613466.4%89 W · 45 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.