Tennis · resolved market
Will Coco Gauff win the 2026 women's singles tournament at the Miami Open?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba1a4b50b6a7a79d22b075e2154245642792b42aadda2c33b5489b6d750a202f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,586
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,222
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,586 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed Yes | 25c | 2,027$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.86 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -7.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Yes | 27c | 953.25$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.99 | 757 | 48.6%368 W · 389 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 14c | 815.93$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.13 | 246 | 34.1%84 W · 162 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 9c | 537$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.33 | 194 | 11.9%23 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb15c…c161backed Yes | 9c | 508.56$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked No | 79c | 499.97$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8575…87febacked No | 70c | 464.89$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 33c | 363.39$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.92 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 72c | 307.62$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.76 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 465 | 56.1%261 W · 204 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 68c | 218.76$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8e…21b7backed Yes | 28c | 206.27$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.6 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5c…9e02backed Yes | 28c | 178.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.89 | 118 | 51.7%61 W · 57 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b6…d7cebacked Yes | 29c | 177.75$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.07 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…5cfebacked Yes | 29c | 177.2$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.05 | 151 | 47.7%72 W · 79 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1259backed Yes | 29c | 176.71$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.05 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea8…077dbacked Yes | 29c | 176.71$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.05 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8de4…67a8backed Yes | 29c | 176.65$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.03 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 70c | 145.14$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.91 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 30c | 144$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.86 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…8b33backed Yes | 29c | 133.65$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.61 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 19c | 126.93$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 381 | 47%179 W · 202 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 21c | 124.69$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 72c | 117.88$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.29 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 80c | 99.69$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 65c | 93.82$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd7…1d26backed Yes | 16c | 92.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83e8…7b89backed Yes | 14c | 78.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0115…ac79backed No | 67c | 65.67$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | -8.1wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -16%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x076f…dc12backed No | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked No | 76c | 23.91$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 701 | 48.2%338 W · 363 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e58…fb5abacked No | 71c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Coco Gauff win the 2026 women's singles tournament at the Miami Open?this page
- Will Amanda Anisimova win the 2026 women's singles tournament at the Miami Open?No won
- Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 women's singles tournament at the Miami Open?Yes won
- Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 women's singles tournament at the Miami Open?No won
- Will Jaqueline Cristian win the 2026 women's singles tournament at the Miami Open?No won
- Will Jessica Pegula win the 2026 women's singles tournament at the Miami Open?No won
- Will Karolina Muchova win the 2026 women's singles tournament at the Miami Open?No won
- Will Victoria Mboko win the 2026 women's singles tournament at the Miami Open?No won
- Will Xinyu Wang win the 2026 women's singles tournament at the Miami Open?No won
- Will Zeynep Sonmez win the 2026 women's singles tournament at the Miami Open?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.