World Politics · resolved market
Will Ricardo Belmont finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbaca6ec0fd213cd34c664e85e8142cf8b3944dc9a83ec7e1fdfc8dddca0bcc0b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $204,210
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $152,285
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $204,210 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0490…c81fbacked Yes | 5c | 15,631$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.1 | 143 | 30.8%44 W · 99 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +104.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbd…784abacked Yes | 10c | 11,985$1,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,181.27 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 0c | 10,800$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.45 | 89 | 2.2%2 W · 87 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 8c | 5,398$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.22 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d79…28bdbacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +239.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc01f…cd8ebacked Yes | 9c | 3,991$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7664…2e50backed Yes | 7c | 3,763$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.31 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed Yes | 8c | 3,628$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.22 | 180 | 36.7%66 W · 114 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Yes | 13c | 3,344$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.55 | 117 | 41%48 W · 69 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60a9…5a71backed Yes | 10c | 3,297$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.88 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc189…c9c5backed Yes | 46c | 3,296$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…e1ccbacked Yes | 9c | 3,091$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea1…c38ebacked Yes | 8c | 3,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 12c | 3,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 253 | 37.2%94 W · 159 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0414…be21backed Yes | 6c | 2,879$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.51 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…adc0backed Yes | 7c | 2,612$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.01 | 134 | 44.8%60 W · 74 L | +17.1wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x784f…5df9backed Yes | 5c | 2,176$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.39 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb727…cd6fbacked Yes | 11c | 2,144$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.07 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc03…804cbacked Yes | 10c | 2,011$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.09 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23ed…aebcbacked Yes | 1c | 1,883$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.83 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf42f…a6a7backed Yes | 7c | 1,796$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.1 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 6c | 1,730$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.79 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | -4.5wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -82.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 5c | 1,691$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.31 | 167 | 6.6%11 W · 156 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Yes | 6c | 1,606$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.51 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfec…9cccbacked Yes | 3c | 1,526$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.86 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +2,755.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 1,249$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 169 | 1.8%3 W · 166 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 3c | 1,223$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 135 | 7.4%10 W · 125 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 5c | 1,116$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.31 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd0…edc4backed Yes | 4c | 1,087$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.77 | 110 | 17.3%19 W · 91 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd91b…ac13backed Yes | 11c | 929.02$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 12c | 879.62$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.32 | 476 | 6.5%31 W · 445 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a0…c02ebacked Yes | 5c | 806.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.02 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed Yes | 8c | 760.86$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.63 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e4…2d2cbacked Yes | 1c | 730.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -80%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7154…6efcbacked Yes | 14c | 714.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 40c | 704.77$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.16 | 118 | 50.8%60 W · 58 L | +29.2wins | +0.25per pick | 26cpaid | +132.4%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 6c | 651.86$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.11 | 234 | 4.3%10 W · 224 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b9…b836backed Yes | 14c | 629.04$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.37 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaee…2ed9backed Yes | 4c | 593.37$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -50%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac87…f336backed Yes | 16c | 591.51$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 13c | 570.22$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.56 | 42 | 21.4%9 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17e…0868backed Yes | 27c | 559.76$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99ea…8a02backed Yes | 3c | 551.79$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a0…0e6cbacked Yes | 17c | 524.86$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd4…0568backed Yes | 19c | 516.59$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa56c…70f2backed Yes | 5c | 505.04$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc0…c3a5backed No | 80c | 500$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5506…669dbacked Yes | 19c | 497.67$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +267.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd632…8afbbacked Yes | 12c | 480.24$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.92 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…91d5backed Yes | 12c | 441.86$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.6 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21a6…7b46backed Yes | 14c | 429.49$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.84 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe261…60d1backed Yes | 11c | 425.53$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3209…bd48backed Yes | 9c | 408.81$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed Yes | 13c | 404.03$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.52 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf25b…82d0backed Yes | 7c | 400$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.53 | 55 | 5.5%3 W · 52 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -92.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d60…4ac1backed Yes | 14c | 339.21$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e9…5b91backed Yes | 17c | 332.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.94 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…82aebacked Yes | 18c | 300$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.9 | 227 | 25.1%57 W · 170 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9007…70d7backed Yes | 18c | 293$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.74 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74c4…c3e6backed Yes | 23c | 257.58$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d8…df70backed Yes | 7c | 253.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 79c | 243.99$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.11 | 170 | 37.6%64 W · 106 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa774…005fbacked Yes | 18c | 210$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.96 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2533…314cbacked Yes | 6c | 207.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9934…6078backed Yes | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa601…cad0backed Yes | 24c | 200$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 21cpaid | -77%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…7652backed Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 24cpaid | -85.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc7…e835backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44ac…dc9ebacked Yes | 13c | 198.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd230…9b80backed Yes | 14c | 198.64$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec03…466cbacked Yes | 5c | 193.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbd…6e72backed No | 44c | 189.88$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.88 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +18.2wins | +0.22per pick | 32cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…fdb8backed Yes | 6c | 181.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 44 | 6.8%3 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dca…3c13backed Yes | 6c | 173.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +11.4wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x416e…a47fbacked Yes | 17c | 172.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9b…43fabacked Yes | 10c | 163.02$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.51 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45c0…773fbacked Yes | 13c | 155.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdaf…eff6backed Yes | 9c | 150$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 9c | 136.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 990 | 17.2%170 W · 820 L | -148.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3ddb…5f1cbacked Yes | 8c | 133.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 32cpaid | -82%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb333…e295backed Yes | 13c | 124.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…05a6backed No | 41c | 121$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.39 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 37cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 444 | 28.8%128 W · 316 L | -67.6wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 17c | 88.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ab…f843backed Yes | 18c | 70.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1246…9fbdbacked No | 76c | 66.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.63 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…1b7ebacked Yes | 16c | 64.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 99 | 59.6%59 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 21c | 53.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 150 | 26%39 W · 111 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b0…d650backed No | 79c | 41.76$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 75 | 70.7%53 W · 22 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa912…297fbacked No | 77c | 34.3$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.02 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf47…e2b7backed No | 77c | 32.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.37 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x813a…2691backed No | 80c | 26.49$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a1…ec51backed No | 76c | 26.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.31 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71cf…52d1backed No | 77c | 23.62$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 75cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ricardo Belmont finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?this page
- Will Alfonso López Chau finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
- Will Carlos Espá finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
- Will Carlos Álvarez finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
- Will Jorge Nieto finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
- Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes won
- Will Marisol Pérez Tello finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
- Will Mesías Guevara finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
- Will Rafael Belaúnde Llosa finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
- Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
- Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.