TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

World Politics · resolved market

Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$945,470
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,161,430

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $945,470 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 495 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in World Politics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x48f1…4d49backed Yes74c63,813$46,965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,848.111450%7 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-16.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x682d…31abbacked Yes74c47,798$35,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,524.335628.6%16 W · 40 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1ca…1705backed No25c30,458$7,748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,747.657129.6%21 W · 50 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-48.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x26ea…357ebacked No1c27,765$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33950%0 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed No22c23,518$5,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,198.7225337.2%94 W · 159 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x784f…5df9backed No2c16,500$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.567436.5%27 W · 47 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-2.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed Yes69c16,007$11,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,976.943943.6%17 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9af4…0597backed No1c14,111$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12760%0 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ed9…fc35backed No0c12,285$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.5460%0 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4ff…d779backed No1c10,614$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.560%0 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked No1c9,433$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.434440.7%3 W · 441 L-0.7wins0.00per pick1cpaid-87.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dca…3c13backed Yes57c8,779$5,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,753.046756.7%38 W · 29 L+11.4wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+26.1%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x75d1…7a5fbacked No22c6,898$1,512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,512.4615650%78 W · 78 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0e3…6677backed No1c6,659$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.923429.4%10 W · 24 L+6.1wins+0.18per pick12cpaid+167.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7664…2e50backed No31c6,000$1,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,859.993234.4%11 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-21.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc03…804cbacked No25c5,333$1,327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,326.613636.1%13 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed No1c5,134$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.596883.6%25 W · 663 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-59.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbbd…784abacked No16c5,039$783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782.5570%0 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x60a9…5a71backed No2c4,500$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.55527.3%15 W · 40 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+26.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e38…a1dbbacked No27c4,390$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2003033.3%10 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+62.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No25c4,377$1,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,084.324221.4%9 W · 33 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-66.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b2c…2151backed No3c4,340$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick5cpaid+63.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf24f…cfb7backed No1c4,200$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.12722.2%6 W · 21 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick11cpaid+152.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked No16c3,961$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644.683010%3 W · 27 L-4.5wins-0.15per pick25cpaid-82.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x47f5…934dbacked No1c3,627$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.587420.3%15 W · 59 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick16cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0702…2f3cbacked No28c3,434$961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96120%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc01f…cd8ebacked No29c3,433$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007027.1%19 W · 51 L+0.2wins0.00per pick27cpaid-36.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fd…fe19backed No31c3,431$1,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,063.62025%5 W · 15 L-3.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-66.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9363…52cabacked No1c3,321$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.715135.3%18 W · 33 L+12.4wins+0.24per pick11cpaid+385.3%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xee21…3721backed No28c3,274$907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906.872934.5%10 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a1f…1a9fbacked No2c3,165$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.328716.1%14 W · 73 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-33.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes53c3,133$1,671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,462.0717037.6%64 W · 106 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed No18c3,112$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554.6511741%48 W · 69 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-24.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd039…2532backed No24c3,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.9912129.8%36 W · 85 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+29.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1a5…d228backed No1c2,800$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.41323.1%3 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick11cpaid+52%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2811…838abacked Yes79c2,602$2,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4be5…c1b3backed No24c2,590$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630.297828.2%22 W · 56 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick33cpaid+1.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb839…b8dbbacked No3c2,529$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.4830%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbca7…04d4backed Yes65c2,483$1,614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$869.011040%4 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick30cpaid-14.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7734…4193backed Yes75c2,480$1,855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.281241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick29cpaid+50.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No12c2,459$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.265317%9 W · 44 L-5.2wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-71%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1e26…2020backed No1c2,400$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.364358.1%25 W · 18 L+14.6wins+0.34per pick24cpaid+200.9%equal weight74+0.21 edge/pick
0x78a1…e6bdbacked No1c2,400$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244250%21 W · 21 L+11.9wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+178.2%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0x99d7…3134backed Yes77c2,338$1,809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.12666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed No10c2,325$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.3415026%39 W · 111 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-28.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6bb5…a518backed No23c2,246$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.363534.3%12 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-39.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd17e…0868backed Yes69c2,242$1,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702.482532%8 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x73b8…f6b5backed No13c2,167$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.732729.6%8 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf558…43eabacked No24c2,119$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed No2c2,088$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.874413.6%6 W · 38 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-43.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ed3…4589backed No10c2,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-74.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1238…0ff9backed No1c1,941$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1320%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ea1…c38ebacked No29c1,936$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.032524%6 W · 19 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-59.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc03…f66fbacked No1c1,800$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.82441.7%10 W · 14 L+7.3wins+0.30per pick11cpaid+459.4%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked No1c1,791$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.91110%0 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b44…63fbbacked No36c1,709$623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.9237117.8%66 W · 305 L-18.9wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-32.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x74c4…c3e6backed Yes78c1,677$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.31136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-48.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No30c1,672$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.5888448.5%429 W · 455 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb727…cd6fbacked Yes29c1,610$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,148.07714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick29cpaid-50.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5453…65cebacked Yes64c1,565$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.98450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x814d…b842backed No24c1,546$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.64035%14 W · 26 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick29cpaid-9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf698…de39backed Yes70c1,492$1,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.09425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-64.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb18d…045abacked Yes79c1,469$1,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.36450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-36.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34c5…5b3fbacked Yes73c1,446$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.94333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-54.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2362…6fd5backed No23c1,427$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.65333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-39.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ecc…1d30backed Yes72c1,419$1,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.537044.3%31 W · 39 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2bc7…e411backed Yes71c1,400$997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4032759.3%16 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90f3…997abacked Yes77c1,277$983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No25c1,268$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.9632255%177 W · 145 L+14.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb8…f7debacked No7c1,226$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.733030%9 W · 21 L+4.4wins+0.15per pick15cpaid+51.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x58ce…57c4backed No20c1,225$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2453336.4%12 W · 21 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-44.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5968…3fc4backed No25c1,175$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.0911344.2%50 W · 63 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7e9…bdacbacked Yes75c1,100$822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2787761%47 W · 30 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+8.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd2a4…3ee9backed Yes69c1,100$756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3444645.7%21 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+17.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked No37c1,081$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.9846330.2%140 W · 323 L-20.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x92d9…4c5ebacked Yes75c1,072$804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.891741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick56cpaid-44.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcdbf…1926backed No3c1,053$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.7538023.9%91 W · 289 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb15c…c161backed No4c1,016$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.36185.6%1 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick16cpaid-80.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb44…d3d2backed Yes65c1,000$653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.873470.6%24 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick69cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9797…c193backed No23c1,000$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2303040%12 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef28…2d50backed Yes76c1,000$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2402236.4%8 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-27.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x19e1…976dbacked No1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10911.1%1 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick1cpaid+1,011.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Yes73c1,000$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2702343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-19%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc230…3c59backed No22c1,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60f4…9268backed No22c1,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf42f…a6a7backed No21c999.99$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21019742.6%84 W · 113 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc671…a37abacked Yes73c984.27$719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98d0…f14abacked Yes78c962.06$747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.0414947.7%71 W · 78 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick43cpaid-6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes67c958.34$642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.252317.4%4 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-32.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6291…cc47backed Yes10c929.99$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$835.8528434.2%97 W · 187 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e60…ae42backed No22c911.46$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001414.3%2 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.18per pick32cpaid-79.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1fc9…ace5backed No2c842.01$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.574766.5%31 W · 445 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed No24c800$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18814834.5%51 W · 97 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2bef…9080backed No4c800$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.8812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick14cpaid+27.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9163…82aebacked No20c799.98$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.3322725.1%57 W · 170 L+0.6wins0.00per pick25cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc91a…6630backed No20c764.55$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.912326.1%6 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-31.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x167a…91d5backed Yes80c758.34$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.576835.3%24 W · 44 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf836…66edbacked Yes69c716.09$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.091060%6 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f66…3a50backed Yes77c715.99$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.442040%8 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.15per pick55cpaid+59.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe11a…c40bbacked Yes79c709.99$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.42770.4%19 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick69cpaid-7.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.