World Politics · resolved market
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92f925b3c8c2c17f2b250e5fc2bd2efc4ed73450ca4f503c658286627c63ce07
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $945,470
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,161,430
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $945,470 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 495 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x48f1…4d49backed Yes | 74c | 63,813$46,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,848.11 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…31abbacked Yes | 74c | 47,798$35,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,524.33 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ca…1705backed No | 25c | 30,458$7,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,747.65 | 71 | 29.6%21 W · 50 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26ea…357ebacked No | 1c | 27,765$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed No | 22c | 23,518$5,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,198.72 | 253 | 37.2%94 W · 159 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x784f…5df9backed No | 2c | 16,500$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.56 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed Yes | 69c | 16,007$11,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,976.94 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9af4…0597backed No | 1c | 14,111$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed9…fc35backed No | 0c | 12,285$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.54 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ff…d779backed No | 1c | 10,614$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.5 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked No | 1c | 9,433$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.43 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dca…3c13backed Yes | 57c | 8,779$5,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,753.04 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +11.4wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 22c | 6,898$1,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,512.46 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e3…6677backed No | 1c | 6,659$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.92 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | +6.1wins | +0.18per pick | 12cpaid | +167.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7664…2e50backed No | 31c | 6,000$1,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,859.99 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc03…804cbacked No | 25c | 5,333$1,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,326.61 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 1c | 5,134$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.59 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbd…784abacked No | 16c | 5,039$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.55 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a9…5a71backed No | 2c | 4,500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.5 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…a1dbbacked No | 27c | 4,390$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 25c | 4,377$1,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,084.32 | 42 | 21.4%9 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2c…2151backed No | 3c | 4,340$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 5cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf24f…cfb7backed No | 1c | 4,200$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 11cpaid | +152.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 16c | 3,961$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.68 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | -4.5wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -82.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x47f5…934dbacked No | 1c | 3,627$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.58 | 74 | 20.3%15 W · 59 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0702…2f3cbacked No | 28c | 3,434$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc01f…cd8ebacked No | 29c | 3,433$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fd…fe19backed No | 31c | 3,431$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.6 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9363…52cabacked No | 1c | 3,321$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.71 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | +12.4wins | +0.24per pick | 11cpaid | +385.3%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xee21…3721backed No | 28c | 3,274$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.87 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked No | 2c | 3,165$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.32 | 87 | 16.1%14 W · 73 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 53c | 3,133$1,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,462.07 | 170 | 37.6%64 W · 106 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed No | 18c | 3,112$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.65 | 117 | 41%48 W · 69 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed No | 24c | 3,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.99 | 121 | 29.8%36 W · 85 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a5…d228backed No | 1c | 2,800$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 11cpaid | +52%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2811…838abacked Yes | 79c | 2,602$2,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be5…c1b3backed No | 24c | 2,590$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.29 | 78 | 28.2%22 W · 56 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb839…b8dbbacked No | 3c | 2,529$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca7…04d4backed Yes | 65c | 2,483$1,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.01 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7734…4193backed Yes | 75c | 2,480$1,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.28 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 29cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 12c | 2,459$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.26 | 53 | 17%9 W · 44 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -71%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e26…2020backed No | 1c | 2,400$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.36 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +14.6wins | +0.34per pick | 24cpaid | +200.9%equal weight | 74+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x78a1…e6bdbacked No | 1c | 2,400$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +11.9wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +178.2%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…3134backed Yes | 77c | 2,338$1,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.12 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 10c | 2,325$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.34 | 150 | 26%39 W · 111 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed No | 23c | 2,246$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.36 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17e…0868backed Yes | 69c | 2,242$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.48 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73b8…f6b5backed No | 13c | 2,167$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.73 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf558…43eabacked No | 24c | 2,119$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed No | 2c | 2,088$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.87 | 44 | 13.6%6 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…4589backed No | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1238…0ff9backed No | 1c | 1,941$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea1…c38ebacked No | 29c | 1,936$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.03 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc03…f66fbacked No | 1c | 1,800$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +7.3wins | +0.30per pick | 11cpaid | +459.4%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked No | 1c | 1,791$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.91 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 36c | 1,709$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.92 | 371 | 17.8%66 W · 305 L | -18.9wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74c4…c3e6backed Yes | 78c | 1,677$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.3 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 30c | 1,672$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.58 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb727…cd6fbacked Yes | 29c | 1,610$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,148.07 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…65cebacked Yes | 64c | 1,565$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed No | 24c | 1,546$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.6 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf698…de39backed Yes | 70c | 1,492$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.09 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb18d…045abacked Yes | 79c | 1,469$1,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…5b3fbacked Yes | 73c | 1,446$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2362…6fd5backed No | 23c | 1,427$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecc…1d30backed Yes | 72c | 1,419$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.53 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed Yes | 71c | 1,400$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90f3…997abacked Yes | 77c | 1,277$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 25c | 1,268$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.96 | 322 | 55%177 W · 145 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked No | 7c | 1,226$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.73 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +4.4wins | +0.15per pick | 15cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x58ce…57c4backed No | 20c | 1,225$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed No | 25c | 1,175$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.09 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e9…bdacbacked Yes | 75c | 1,100$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a4…3ee9backed Yes | 69c | 1,100$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 37c | 1,081$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.98 | 463 | 30.2%140 W · 323 L | -20.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92d9…4c5ebacked Yes | 75c | 1,072$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.89 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed No | 3c | 1,053$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 380 | 23.9%91 W · 289 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb15c…c161backed No | 4c | 1,016$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.36 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 16cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb44…d3d2backed Yes | 65c | 1,000$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.87 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9797…c193backed No | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef28…2d50backed Yes | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19e1…976dbacked No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 1cpaid | +1,011.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Yes | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc230…3c59backed No | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60f4…9268backed No | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42f…a6a7backed No | 21c | 999.99$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc671…a37abacked Yes | 73c | 984.27$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked Yes | 78c | 962.06$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.04 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 67c | 958.34$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.25 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 10c | 929.99$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.85 | 284 | 34.2%97 W · 187 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e60…ae42backed No | 22c | 911.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed No | 2c | 842.01$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 476 | 6.5%31 W · 445 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed No | 24c | 800$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 148 | 34.5%51 W · 97 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…9080backed No | 4c | 800$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…82aebacked No | 20c | 799.98$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.33 | 227 | 25.1%57 W · 170 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc91a…6630backed No | 20c | 764.55$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.91 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…91d5backed Yes | 80c | 758.34$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.57 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…66edbacked Yes | 69c | 716.09$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.09 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f66…3a50backed Yes | 77c | 715.99$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.44 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…c40bbacked Yes | 79c | 709.99$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.4 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?this page
- Will Alfonso López Chau finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
- Will Carlos Espá finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
- Will Carlos Álvarez finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
- Will Jorge Nieto finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
- Will Marisol Pérez Tello finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
- Will Mesías Guevara finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
- Will Rafael Belaúnde Llosa finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
- Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
- Will Ricardo Belmont finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
- Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.