World Politics · resolved market
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4bb97d5995fd6e774deb800f347f07d5b448a09a49998917a62c1d1295581b24
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $386,271
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $212,124
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $386,271 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 174 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 36,000$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…e1ccbacked Yes | 3c | 22,140$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc631…d2b4backed Yes | 0c | 15,732$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 20cpaid | -85.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x122d…183cbacked Yes | 3c | 15,692$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Yes | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 44 | 13.6%6 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 3c | 14,485$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.25 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…e8a5backed Yes | 5c | 10,145$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe225…bffabacked Yes | 1c | 6,810$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed9…ca97backed Yes | 7c | 5,968$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.04 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…145cbacked Yes | 1c | 5,740$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.13 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -94.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a1…ec51backed Yes | 17c | 5,115$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x899b…3806backed Yes | 1c | 4,987$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.29 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a0…c02ebacked Yes | 7c | 4,498$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.45 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6996…cf9abacked Yes | 1c | 4,372$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.69 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c0…3acdbacked Yes | 3c | 4,329$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8f…c951backed Yes | 3c | 4,318$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 0c | 3,890$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.26 | 150 | 26%39 W · 111 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…4589backed Yes | 10c | 2,909$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab07…e6f1backed Yes | 1c | 2,846$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +87.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9af4…0597backed Yes | 1c | 2,828$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 8c | 2,636$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.05 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | -4.5wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -82.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x07ca…f2b6backed Yes | 1c | 2,542$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.47 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06ac…e483backed Yes | 8c | 2,524$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb1…834cbacked Yes | 6c | 2,483$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.81 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed Yes | 4c | 2,299$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 5c | 2,213$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.16 | 476 | 6.5%31 W · 445 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf9…7f7fbacked Yes | 6c | 1,854$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.45 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea7c…6c45backed Yes | 6c | 1,778$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5729…c06abacked Yes | 9c | 1,775$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Yes | 6c | 1,674$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.67 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | +5.4wins | +0.14per pick | 12cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb839…b8dbbacked Yes | 6c | 1,609$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21a6…7b46backed Yes | 8c | 1,559$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.11 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a17…5791backed Yes | 7c | 1,444$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95c4…db9fbacked Yes | 5c | 1,413$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74c4…c3e6backed Yes | 8c | 1,375$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.77 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 3c | 1,345$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.75 | 223 | 55.6%124 W · 99 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 3c | 1,338$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.39 | 42 | 21.4%9 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb06c…8022backed Yes | 2c | 1,262$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea1…c38ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,257$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25ad…6b75backed Yes | 32c | 1,247$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.05 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60a9…5a71backed Yes | 17c | 1,244$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.83 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 6c | 1,241$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.9 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65b8…bd68backed Yes | 8c | 1,197$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2074…c64ebacked Yes | 9c | 1,169$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd91b…ac13backed Yes | 9c | 1,151$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb15c…c161backed Yes | 3c | 1,136$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 16cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34cb…7588backed Yes | 6c | 1,131$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.13 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…995abacked Yes | 17c | 1,111$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.87 | 432 | 43.1%186 W · 246 L | +29.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e4…325cbacked Yes | 7c | 1,106$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d75…83e6backed Yes | 9c | 1,105$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf482…fe1bbacked Yes | 20c | 1,100$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc467…a8dbbacked Yes | 6c | 1,089$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…3578backed Yes | 10c | 1,046$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a88…eba5backed Yes | 5c | 1,045$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed No | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 6c | 949.35$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.41 | 234 | 4.3%10 W · 224 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb75…85fcbacked Yes | 6c | 938.61$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfab7…98a6backed Yes | 17c | 913.23$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 3c | 910.19$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.61 | 284 | 34.2%97 W · 187 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 12c | 860.65$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.19 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x309b…474abacked Yes | 4c | 854.88$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d1…523bbacked Yes | 1c | 834.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 37cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x892c…f2eabacked Yes | 7c | 830.4$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb34b…dd81backed Yes | 6c | 807.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafbe…d3babacked Yes | 6c | 795.25$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb9…9dd0backed No | 53c | 761.15$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.15 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x416e…a47fbacked Yes | 6c | 758.23$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.28 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc03…804cbacked No | 44c | 751.75$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.85 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf6…559dbacked Yes | 3c | 732$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.04 | 315 | 34%107 W · 208 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x791c…852dbacked Yes | 6c | 730.5$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 5c | 674.53$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.98 | 135 | 7.4%10 W · 125 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb067…8f74backed Yes | 10c | 623.92$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05eb…7c72backed Yes | 6c | 620.67$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d9…c016backed Yes | 20c | 606.13$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 6c | 590.15$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.23 | 211 | 7.1%15 W · 196 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…e7e7backed Yes | 3c | 565.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 69 | 27.5%19 W · 50 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0a…caf5backed Yes | 6c | 563.3$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.41 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb609…3c8ebacked Yes | 29c | 562.66$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.33 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -50%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05cb…672abacked Yes | 9c | 562.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5499…c615backed Yes | 6c | 517.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8b…973cbacked Yes | 7c | 506.81$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf25b…82d0backed Yes | 6c | 502.83$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.02 | 55 | 5.5%3 W · 52 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -92.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x859b…ce6fbacked Yes | 10c | 494.03$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03b8…ec93backed Yes | 6c | 491.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.26 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x102a…df8ebacked Yes | 7c | 488.58$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.28 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd1…1782backed Yes | 6c | 479.48$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14c9…68d0backed Yes | 8c | 466.95$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 8c | 461.2$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.14 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12c7…bef9backed Yes | 7c | 460.55$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x311e…189abacked Yes | 6c | 460.3$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 73c | 444.33$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.36 | 170 | 37.6%64 W · 106 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…691fbacked Yes | 23c | 434.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.14 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1a…e01fbacked Yes | 5c | 415$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 7c | 414.27$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.28 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe011…1dd5backed Yes | 10c | 399.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0a…91e1backed Yes | 4c | 391.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -81%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97c2…55d6backed No | 56c | 370.89$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.51 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeccc…71f5backed Yes | 26c | 368.25$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7c…cb5fbacked Yes | 28c | 360$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7491…ada0backed No | 72c | 360$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?this page
- Will Alfonso López Chau finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
- Will Carlos Espá finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
- Will Carlos Álvarez finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
- Will Jorge Nieto finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
- Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes won
- Will Marisol Pérez Tello finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
- Will Mesías Guevara finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
- Will Rafael Belaúnde Llosa finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
- Will Ricardo Belmont finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
- Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.