Premier League · resolved market
Will Aston Villa vs. Arsenal end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe7a33966fb3e7f8b11786a8c67685bd6499e6229d1f9fde62d72ae83ed9655a4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $257,387
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $258,102
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $257,387 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 202 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Yes | 28c | 123,315$34,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,842 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 72c | 50,000$36,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,999.99 | 211 | 54.5%115 W · 96 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 71c | 18,818$13,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,457.23 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 72c | 18,230$13,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,104.33 | 359 | 41.5%149 W · 210 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 38c | 10,384$3,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,425.94 | 292 | 53.4%156 W · 136 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 67c | 8,616$5,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,876.25 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ee…47c8backed Yes | 28c | 8,414$2,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,368 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 28c | 8,275$2,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,317.01 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked No | 72c | 7,760$5,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,172.86 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 71c | 7,317$5,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,121.93 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf209…97e1backed Yes | 28c | 6,674$1,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,897.1 | 70 | 28.6%20 W · 50 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 45c | 6,451$2,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,917.73 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 36c | 6,337$2,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,067.35 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 36c | 5,617$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,617.12 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac9b…d4c5backed Yes | 28c | 5,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 72c | 4,902$3,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,372.48 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 72c | 4,090$2,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,145.29 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Yes | 27c | 3,333$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.91 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Yes | 32c | 3,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 126 | 42.9%54 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe045…c149backed No | 72c | 3,000$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 73c | 3,000$2,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 28c | 2,153$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.84 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 69c | 2,061$1,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.8 | 111 | 62.2%69 W · 42 L | +10.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 72c | 2,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 71c | 2,000$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 466 | 51.9%242 W · 224 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yes | 60c | 1,990$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | -10.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…37e4backed No | 73c | 1,644$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 72c | 1,500$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.13 | 308 | 51.3%158 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 56c | 1,030$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.21 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec8b…152bbacked No | 72c | 1,011$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.11 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe952…bde4backed No | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 71c | 957.75$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.75 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 72c | 929.93$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.05 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 71c | 882.97$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.33 | 292 | 59.2%173 W · 119 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe82b…91d3backed Yes | 33c | 790.04$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +22%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa19…fb67backed No | 69c | 749.98$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.49 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53b8…0ee6backed Yes | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Yes | 64c | 703.56$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.57 | 219 | 65.3%143 W · 76 L | +20.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…317cbacked Yes | 32c | 680.88$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 221 | 25.8%57 W · 164 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcddb…0d22backed No | 73c | 606.9$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.86 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8276…1204backed No | 73c | 582.19$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.19 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x813e…5ed9backed Yes | 28c | 571.43$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0594…6d4dbacked Yes | 58c | 551.72$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…1081backed Yes | 28c | 535.71$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked No | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -35%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca3…590fbacked No | 73c | 516.64$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.49 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…fabcbacked Yes | 39c | 513.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.2 | 52 | 80.8%42 W · 10 L | +13.0wins | +0.25per pick | 56cpaid | +57%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed Yes | 79c | 506.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 71c | 501.61$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.47 | 255 | 51.8%132 W · 123 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83d…3324backed Yes | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74e1…e6a2backed Yes | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 39c | 494.89$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.21 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 39c | 451$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.47 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9a…dcbebacked Yes | 28c | 446.43$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 150 | 25.3%38 W · 112 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bae…55b5backed Yes | 28c | 400$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4125…b55dbacked Yes | 65c | 398.51$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x347c…525abacked Yes | 28c | 357.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes | 28c | 350.59$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.89 | 360 | 36.1%130 W · 230 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…0febbacked No | 71c | 350$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.5 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0df…8f41backed No | 71c | 343$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.16 | 71 | 76.1%54 W · 17 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 69cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b1…815bbacked Yes | 3c | 325$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa231…a91ebacked Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf91e…7e0bbacked Yes | 29c | 320.69$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed No | 38c | 314.74$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.93 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f7d…aecabacked Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4417…01eebacked Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8913…541cbacked No | 73c | 300$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked No | 66c | 299.99$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 177 | 48%85 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 67c | 278$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.63 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Yes | 28c | 256$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.68 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 47c | 255.24$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.9 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9d…992bbacked Yes | 28c | 250$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 27c | 232$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.68 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked Yes | 31c | 229.03$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 185 | 62.2%115 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe351…e48dbacked No | 72c | 224.21$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.78 | 153 | 50.3%77 W · 76 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a53…8c81backed Yes | 31c | 216.13$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68e…663cbacked Yes | 31c | 210$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0909…833dbacked Yes | 32c | 203.13$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x621c…1192backed Yes | 28c | 201.61$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x154b…4917backed No | 72c | 200.01$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed No | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 185 | 51.9%96 W · 89 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcab9…675bbacked Yes | 73c | 200$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6673…8a4cbacked Yes | 28c | 190$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Yes | 54c | 185.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed Yes | 60c | 180$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2937…ad07backed Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2d…6db9backed Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd659…4abbbacked Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7350…9dc0backed Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 182 | 39.6%72 W · 110 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6524…dbbbbacked Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -66%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee7…0ba8backed No | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 35c | 165.45$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.53 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d34…dba8backed Yes | 30c | 160$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2702…2640backed Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc380…d34abacked Yes | 28c | 153.57$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6b…7b61backed No | 69c | 150$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ea…0b14backed Yes | 28c | 150$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8439…11c0backed Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdedc…8bcabacked Yes | 32c | 146.88$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2387…adadbacked Yes | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aston Villa vs. Arsenal end in a draw?this page
- Will Arsenal win on 2025-12-06?No won
- Will Aston Villa win on 2025-12-06?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.