Premier League · resolved market
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-12-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x58c9b0a78521745045a15edcd3fc6fdb2988518361964a511c5c621c694b91da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $727,969
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $921,708
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $727,969 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 364 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Yes | 22c | 125,746$28,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97,718.68 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 78c | 57,143$44,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,571.89 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 78c | 48,350$37,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,712.69 | 211 | 54.5%115 W · 96 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 78c | 43,417$33,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,865.63 | 359 | 41.5%149 W · 210 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 80c | 33,083$26,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,314.29 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf209…97e1backed Yes | 22c | 30,909$6,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,109.09 | 70 | 28.6%20 W · 50 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Yes | 22c | 30,000$6,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,400 | 126 | 42.9%54 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92b1…6695backed Yes | 30c | 29,315$8,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,586.33 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Yes | 68c | 23,956$16,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,727.68 | 277 | 50.9%141 W · 136 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 22c | 22,823$5,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,811.82 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 36c | 20,758$7,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,338.34 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Yes | 49c | 18,977$9,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,638.73 | 150 | 49.3%74 W · 76 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 51c | 17,500$8,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,925 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a3…c2f9backed No | 78c | 15,000$11,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,699.95 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked No | 49c | 11,483$5,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,626.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 78c | 10,000$7,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,800 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked No | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,199.99 | 106 | 36.8%39 W · 67 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 78c | 10,000$7,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,839.99 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ee…47c8backed Yes | 21c | 9,428$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,448.06 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 77c | 9,224$7,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,064.56 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb322…2179backed Yes | 23c | 8,315$1,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,421.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +289.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 72c | 7,694$5,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,517.08 | 292 | 53.4%156 W · 136 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 77c | 7,307$5,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,626.37 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 22c | 6,423$1,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,010 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yes | 49c | 5,740$2,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,927.19 | 308 | 51.3%158 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Yes | 8c | 5,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,600 | 110 | 29.1%32 W · 78 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked No | 77c | 4,800$3,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,695.99 | 219 | 65.3%143 W · 76 L | +20.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 50c | 4,142$2,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,070.98 | 111 | 62.2%69 W · 42 L | +10.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 21c | 4,016$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,162.98 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0521…cc4abacked No | 70c | 3,906$2,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,714.92 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 79c | 3,841$3,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,034.04 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 42c | 3,331$1,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,936.14 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…a36dbacked Yes | 22c | 3,142$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,442.29 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed Yes | 21c | 3,129$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,472.83 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +21.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 75c | 3,094$2,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.46 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 54c | 2,594$1,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,394.17 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 78c | 2,589$2,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,031.43 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 21c | 2,455$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,944.63 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 77c | 2,256$1,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,728.78 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1649…7d8abacked Yes | 23c | 2,174$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,673.91 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 50c | 2,126$1,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.74 | 413 | 44.8%185 W · 228 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 13c | 2,000$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740 | 346 | 28.6%99 W · 247 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 201 | 40.8%82 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed No | 78c | 2,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,559.99 | 85 | 31.8%27 W · 58 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9644…d03bbacked No | 77c | 2,000$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,539.97 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -73%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…317cbacked Yes | 20c | 1,962$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561.72 | 221 | 25.8%57 W · 164 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 76c | 1,920$1,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,456.15 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 25c | 1,862$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,397.76 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 22c | 1,858$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,451.76 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8944…41d5backed No | 51c | 1,500$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 32c | 1,438$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.25 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 14c | 1,429$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,228.57 | 252 | 25%63 W · 189 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed No | 78c | 1,400$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092 | 213 | 53.1%113 W · 100 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab4a…55aabacked No | 79c | 1,278$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed No | 79c | 1,266$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 77c | 1,252$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.03 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd878…398cbacked No | 50c | 1,200$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4795…0fb0backed Yes | 21c | 1,190$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.47 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Yes | 11c | 1,190$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.09 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39de…bae5backed Yes | 51c | 1,180$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed No | 76c | 1,120$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.2 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Yes | 27c | 1,097$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.83 | 182 | 59.3%108 W · 74 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 77c | 1,039$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.99 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Yes | 51c | 1,020$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.8 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfe…ab8dbacked Yes | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed No | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770 | 255 | 51.8%132 W · 123 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 18c | 1,000$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.33 | 258 | 36%93 W · 165 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb251…6f5bbacked No | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790 | 207 | 50.2%104 W · 103 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd371…4478backed Yes | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Yes | 48c | 999.99$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x468c…76f0backed Yes | 51c | 980$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5475…80cdbacked No | 51c | 960$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Yes | 22c | 909.09$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.09 | 198 | 26.3%52 W · 146 L | -14.0wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5993…33a2backed Yes | 22c | 909.09$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.09 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9d…992bbacked Yes | 22c | 909.09$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.09 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb92d…bbcabacked Yes | 20c | 816.43$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.43 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked No | 78c | 808.18$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.38 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Yes | 21c | 760$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.4 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa054…21b4backed No | 51c | 758.82$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a6…fa77backed No | 50c | 738$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 17c | 730.17$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.43 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3006…08b9backed Yes | 22c | 702.55$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28b5…a5e8backed Yes | 21c | 700$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 17cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9776…fc56backed Yes | 23c | 697.03$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.03 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed No | 65c | 665.32$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.33 | 432 | 41.9%181 W · 251 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 21c | 661.34$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.46 | 253 | 29.2%74 W · 179 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x132e…c724backed Yes | 30c | 640$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcf…146ebacked No | 74c | 634.26$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.93 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed No | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 77c | 598.58$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.38 | 292 | 59.2%173 W · 119 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Yes | 7c | 578.21$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.63 | 137 | 27%37 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Yes | 15c | 533.33$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.33 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked Yes | 16c | 500$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 22c | 460$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.8 | 365 | 63%230 W · 135 L | +32.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…b20cbacked Yes | 51c | 454.78$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.84 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc35b…28b6backed Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.55 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x277b…f52cbacked Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 10cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.55 | 360 | 36.1%130 W · 230 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfc…8b6ebacked Yes | 22c | 450$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +113.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aston Villa win on 2025-12-06?this page
- Will Arsenal win on 2025-12-06?No won
- Will Aston Villa vs. Arsenal end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.