Premier League · resolved market
Will Arsenal win on 2025-12-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x832d57abff152c2df8deed1b65178135f855b0946dce6d84c365e53b9c68e397
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,439,680
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,572,470
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,439,680 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 857 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 52c | 100,780$52,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,173.09 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a8…14f8backed Yes | 53c | 93,695$49,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,207.58 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed No | 49c | 80,000$39,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,799.91 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 57c | 58,277$33,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,882.97 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 48c | 52,845$25,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,479.37 | 359 | 41.5%149 W · 210 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 57c | 45,798$25,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,800.39 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Yes | 51c | 42,995$21,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,927.65 | 150 | 49.3%74 W · 76 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 48c | 40,928$19,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,204.78 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Yes | 46c | 39,333$18,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,289.42 | 106 | 36.8%39 W · 67 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 53c | 37,078$19,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,342.46 | 292 | 53.4%156 W · 136 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 48c | 36,363$17,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,747.25 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 51c | 35,000$17,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,850 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 47c | 30,000$14,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,799.96 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa136…d555backed Yes | 20c | 29,896$5,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,979.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 49c | 29,208$14,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,022.82 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb744…5210backed No | 49c | 28,126$13,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,344.02 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 49c | 25,000$12,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,749.9 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 53c | 23,703$12,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,535.95 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 49c | 23,435$11,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,952.07 | 211 | 54.5%115 W · 96 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked No | 53c | 21,355$11,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,013.55 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 65c | 20,000$12,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,100 | 308 | 51.3%158 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Yes | 51c | 19,978$10,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,188.89 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed No | 80c | 19,290$15,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,858.02 | 138 | 29%40 W · 98 L | -13.5wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb90c…9a6abacked Yes | 51c | 16,000$8,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,160 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…a36dbacked Yes | 51c | 12,745$6,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,500 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…afefbacked No | 50c | 12,662$6,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,331 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 62c | 10,153$6,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,898.4 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd836…ea78backed Yes | 51c | 10,000$5,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,050 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5fa…5b59backed Yes | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,099.98 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed No | 48c | 9,502$4,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,940.91 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed No | 68c | 9,500$6,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,035.58 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 26c | 8,669$2,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,233.33 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 28c | 8,518$2,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,414.18 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -11.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked No | 49c | 8,170$3,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,191.81 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked No | 51c | 7,403$3,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,627.23 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 62c | 7,292$4,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,801.17 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 49c | 7,120$3,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,631.33 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 49c | 7,056$3,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,598.5 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed Yes | 23c | 6,479$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,490.1 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed No | 50c | 6,005$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,005.38 | 107 | 68.2%73 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked No | 49c | 6,000$2,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,060 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeba9…7ec3backed Yes | 52c | 5,803$3,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,017.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65b8…aca8backed Yes | 52c | 5,337$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750.48 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17cb…3ab8backed Yes | 41c | 5,327$2,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,172.26 | 138 | 34.1%47 W · 91 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa07c…11a0backed No | 49c | 5,306$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,706.12 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 62c | 5,286$3,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,996.73 | 182 | 59.3%108 W · 74 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0c…cfc9backed Yes | 46c | 5,286$2,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,427.18 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed No | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,549.99 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Yes | 11c | 5,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 110 | 29.1%32 W · 78 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,599.97 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac9b…d4c5backed Yes | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,549.97 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed No | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,549.88 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc3…fce2backed Yes | 60c | 4,515$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +8.1wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4124…3291backed No | 49c | 4,500$2,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,295 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x723f…c7d3backed No | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefbd…8086backed Yes | 36c | 4,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 175 | 44%77 W · 98 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 27c | 4,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.83 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06df…3b05backed No | 49c | 3,800$1,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,937.99 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd570…3b72backed Yes | 52c | 3,200$1,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,664 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed Yes | 50c | 3,000$1,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,510 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4954…23d6backed Yes | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +21.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,589.98 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe045…c149backed No | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,559.93 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc864…97dfbacked No | 49c | 2,992$1,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,525.84 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +19%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked No | 54c | 2,966$1,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,355.15 | 219 | 65.3%143 W · 76 L | +20.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 51c | 2,961$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d3…c5afbacked Yes | 52c | 2,900$1,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,508 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -8.3wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5c92…b9c9backed No | 49c | 2,800$1,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,415.74 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4acb…87babacked No | 49c | 2,800$1,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,428 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 48c | 2,783$1,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,446.92 | 465 | 51.8%241 W · 224 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4d…794cbacked No | 49c | 2,700$1,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,385.05 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0425…9b90backed Yes | 52c | 2,700$1,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,404 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d5…e1e2backed Yes | 51c | 2,700$1,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,377 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa8…a55abacked Yes | 19c | 2,626$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.94 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 33cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 27c | 2,598$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.17 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 47c | 2,525$1,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,338.31 | 168 | 48.8%82 W · 86 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Yes | 39c | 2,500$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299.99 | 1,179 | 50%590 W · 589 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceda…1bd9backed Yes | 52c | 2,352$1,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,222.97 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfc…0085backed Yes | 52c | 2,300$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,196 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 44c | 2,273$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e10…5721backed Yes | 45c | 2,269$1,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 60c | 2,244$1,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.74 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 48c | 2,173$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.72 | 111 | 62.2%69 W · 42 L | +10.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed No | 49c | 2,103$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,072.48 | 258 | 36%93 W · 165 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…39fcbacked No | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.33 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked No | 50c | 2,008$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.58 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed No | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 138 | 32.6%45 W · 93 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked No | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 344 | 28.8%99 W · 245 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked No | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1233…c333backed Yes | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf814…17febacked No | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Yes | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.99 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb30…302abacked Yes | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -4.2wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Yes | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Yes | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Arsenal win on 2025-12-06?this page
- Will Aston Villa vs. Arsenal end in a draw?No won
- Will Aston Villa win on 2025-12-06?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.