TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc380…d34a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
62
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 56 out of 100; worst Champions League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST2437.5%9 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$40.65
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$26.39
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$42
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$107.88
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$92.5
Will Everton FC win on 2026-01-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$20.14
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+522%+$200.03
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$97.2
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$45.59
Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+104.1%+$156.14
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$11.99
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+300%+$438
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$199.22
Newcastle United FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+54.2%+$104.15
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+63.9%+$44.89
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+40.4%+$87.9
Will Cardiff City FC win on 2025-12-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$22.86
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+75.4%+$75.19
Will West Ham win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$24.4
Leeds United vs. Liverpool: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+78.6%+$69.93
Will Aston Villa vs. Arsenal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$43
Aston Villa vs. Arsenal: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+92.3%+$44.31
All 24 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ODI Series England vs India: England vs Indiabacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.17
Pakistan Super League: Islamabad United vs Quetta Gladiatorsbacked Islamabad United · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+150%+$30
Pakistan Super League: Multan Sultans vs Hyderabad Kingsmenbacked Multan Sultans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
ODI Series New Zealand vs South Africa Women: New Zealand vs South Africabacked South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.47
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Gujarat Titansbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.33
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+100%+$37.5
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+76.7%+$16.41
T20 World Cup: Australia vs Sri Lanka (Game 1)backed Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$100.75
T20 World Cup: England vs Italy (Game 1)backed Italy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$37
T20 World Cup: Afghanistan vs UAE (Game 1)backed UAE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$21
T20 World Cup: Namibia vs USA (Game 1)backed USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+37%+$26.51
T20 World Cup: Nepal vs West Indies (Game 1)backed Nepal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$48
All 13 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+50%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.40per pick35cpaid+110.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Naomi Osakabacked Elisabetta Cocciaretto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.48
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovicbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$60
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.38
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$25.14
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+92.3%+$90.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+29.9%+$19.68
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.