Cricket · resolved market
T20 World Cup: Namibia vs USA (Game 1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x61aa39e873558a208cf506fec2285114159d2ce7a71f9f32e705f14a7dcb10f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- USAof Namibia, USA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $813,683
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $939,786
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $813,683 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 360 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed USA | 71c | 55,614$39,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,347.29 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3d…4841backed USA | 77c | 54,374$41,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,548.58 | 153 | 35.3%54 W · 99 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Namibia | 23c | 53,681$12,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,169.51 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Namibia | 33c | 31,864$10,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,544.23 | 165 | 46.1%76 W · 89 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef51…c0d3backed Namibia | 3c | 23,363$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.93 | 163 | 49.7%81 W · 82 L | +10.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Namibia | 17c | 22,436$3,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,778.34 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.17per pick | 25cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Namibia | 17c | 22,340$3,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,735.27 | 154 | 29.9%46 W · 108 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5197…610fbacked Namibia | 30c | 21,789$6,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,536.85 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed USA | 77c | 20,565$15,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,663.55 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x169d…fb3dbacked Namibia | 2c | 19,600$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346 | 77 | 5.2%4 W · 73 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed USA | 75c | 15,526$11,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,934.87 | 296 | 31.1%92 W · 204 L | -16.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed Namibia | 19c | 15,317$2,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,901.81 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c1…9fe2backed Namibia | 32c | 15,306$4,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,870 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Namibia | 21c | 14,388$3,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,090.83 | 330 | 42.4%140 W · 190 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee1…9801backed Namibia | 5c | 12,661$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.12 | 132 | 27.3%36 W · 96 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed USA | 77c | 10,369$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,368.79 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Namibia | 17c | 9,740$1,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,674.48 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5271…0f95backed USA | 75c | 8,484$6,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,092.33 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e33…5825backed Namibia | 22c | 7,874$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,739.72 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed Namibia | 33c | 7,489$2,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,471.39 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ee…1686backed Namibia | 10c | 7,376$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.54 | 189 | 23.8%45 W · 144 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Namibia | 29c | 6,787$1,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,937.83 | 287 | 49.5%142 W · 145 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde67…bab9backed USA | 65c | 6,000$3,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,091.84 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed USA | 73c | 5,982$4,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,642.58 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked USA | 72c | 5,160$3,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,424.1 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34f1…8ff4backed USA | 76c | 5,062$3,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,197.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x327a…2381backed Namibia | 7c | 4,712$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.36 | 121 | 22.3%27 W · 94 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb3…d38ebacked USA | 70c | 4,383$3,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,296.17 | 131 | 51.9%68 W · 63 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…416ebacked Namibia | 23c | 4,281$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 14cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Namibia | 34c | 4,238$1,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440.9 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +107.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa03a…3778backed Namibia | 13c | 3,500$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked USA | 72c | 3,486$2,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.53 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97d1…7d7dbacked Namibia | 32c | 3,200$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.98 | 328 | 46.3%152 W · 176 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Namibia | 32c | 3,140$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.77 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed USA | 72c | 3,050$2,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.15 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Namibia | 32c | 3,045$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.17 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x490e…73adbacked Namibia | 16c | 3,010$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.48 | 261 | 30.7%80 W · 181 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Namibia | 21c | 2,906$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.2 | 763 | 51.6%394 W · 369 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed USA | 71c | 2,818$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.79 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Namibia | 11c | 2,748$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.3 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Namibia | 29c | 2,670$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.09 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x583f…2dabbacked Namibia | 2c | 2,500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd120…19fcbacked USA | 66c | 2,428$1,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.65 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1599…a8b6backed Namibia | 29c | 2,216$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.13 | 323 | 37.2%120 W · 203 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1501…a163backed Namibia | 19c | 2,214$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.48 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…7984backed Namibia | 33c | 2,051$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.7 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb92a…3453backed USA | 70c | 2,000$1,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x252e…69d9backed Namibia | 9c | 1,948$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.19 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a5…391cbacked Namibia | 30c | 1,946$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.3 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked Namibia | 30c | 1,700$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 145 | 46.2%67 W · 78 L | +16.9wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa42e…9a1cbacked Namibia | 31c | 1,683$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Namibia | 37c | 1,633$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.14 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked USA | 68c | 1,628$1,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.98 | 108 | 63.9%69 W · 39 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…de7dbacked Namibia | 20c | 1,600$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.17 | 144 | 31.9%46 W · 98 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Namibia | 5c | 1,584$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.83 | 679 | 31.4%213 W · 466 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59d0…d9b8backed USA | 74c | 1,513$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.7 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Namibia | 34c | 1,471$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +75.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe1e…2f7bbacked Namibia | 1c | 1,460$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 42 | 7.1%3 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc04…2cf4backed Namibia | 1c | 1,404$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8e…1d33backed USA | 69c | 1,400$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434 | 270 | 54.4%147 W · 123 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ffd…f5b4backed Namibia | 31c | 1,400$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01b5…8ccfbacked USA | 79c | 1,384$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b0…42cabacked USA | 76c | 1,311$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7c…8d4cbacked Namibia | 16c | 1,226$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked USA | 74c | 1,217$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.49 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Namibia | 31c | 1,203$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.26 | 141 | 29.1%41 W · 100 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b2…5047backed Namibia | 25c | 1,200$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 136 | 41.2%56 W · 80 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…17b4backed Namibia | 2c | 1,127$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.09 | 133 | 36.8%49 W · 84 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…dd30backed Namibia | 23c | 1,125$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.75 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Namibia | 29c | 1,072$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…044ebacked Namibia | 1c | 1,023$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed USA | 76c | 1,023$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.43 | 185 | 41.6%77 W · 108 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Namibia | 11c | 1,009$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.66 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa540…0b43backed Namibia | 24c | 1,006$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.17 | 66 | 9.1%6 W · 60 L | -10.5wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfecc…77dabacked USA | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7176…bc8cbacked Namibia | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c68…072dbacked Namibia | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb778…6492backed USA | 70c | 999.98$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8491…0089backed Namibia | 11c | 939.99$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdea7…9df8backed Namibia | 12c | 929.99$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.5 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2839…ea7fbacked USA | 75c | 902.39$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.57 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa34…6628backed Namibia | 32c | 861.82$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.03 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked USA | 68c | 852.3$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.47 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x087f…075ebacked USA | 77c | 847.39$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.4 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd3…b751backed Namibia | 3c | 845$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Namibia | 21c | 811.55$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.07 | 641 | 43.1%276 W · 365 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf734…5291backed Namibia | 4c | 758.82$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 99 | 27.3%27 W · 72 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb44a…8e18backed USA | 66c | 757.58$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.58 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee65…5067backed USA | 76c | 745.96$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.84 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe131…7594backed USA | 66c | 743.28$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.28 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Namibia | 6c | 740$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 25cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53ef…eeaabacked Namibia | 21c | 739.67$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.26 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfea9…4453backed USA | 75c | 715.97$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.33 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9797…1289backed USA | 78c | 708.17$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Namibia | 30c | 707.65$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.15 | 636 | 46.4%295 W · 341 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Namibia | 29c | 706.76$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9351…ef0fbacked Namibia | 37c | 699.97$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.99 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3d…189dbacked USA | 76c | 651.33$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.68 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9efd…e010backed Namibia | 21c | 642.87$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.55 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Namibia | 31c | 607.25$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.42 | 101 | 49.5%50 W · 51 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- T20 World Cup: Namibia vs USA (Game 1)this page
- T20 World Cup: Namibia vs USA (Game 1) - Who wins the toss?USA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.