TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xee65…5067

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
205
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 54 out of 100; worst Cricket at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT9051.1%46 W · 44 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 90 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.04
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.63
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
France vs. England: England O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$67
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.38
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.83
Jude Bellingham: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$55
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$45.59
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.31
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.75
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.4
Norway vs. England: Norway 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$51.2
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.85
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+75.9%+$65.43
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$39
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$53
France vs. Morocco: Morocco 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$52.04
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+148.7%+$102.92
Showing 25 of 90 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT4332.6%14 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-40.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titansbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.7
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.19
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titansbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.6
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.8
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.57
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$776Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+93.3%+$724
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+180.4%+$77.2
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+37.1%+$15.36
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Royal Challengers Bengalurubacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Gujarat Titansbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.91
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$225
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$44.4
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$251Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+39.4%+$98.94
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$40.6
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Punjab Kingsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+52.8%+$18.78
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+61%+$15.38
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.4
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.14
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.73
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+76.8%+$27.4
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Punjab Kingsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.5
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.39
T20 World Cup: England vs Indiabacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20.52
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT2642.3%11 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs SPARTA (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group Stagebacked SPARTA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+203%+$20.77
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs FORZE Reload (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group Stagebacked FORZE Reload · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+165.4%+$33.91
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$18.6
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group Stagebacked RUSTEC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+150%+$16.5
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 - Map 1 Winnerbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$14.75
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.4
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs AM Gaming (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked AM Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Counter-Strike: CHAOS vs WRAITH PCIFIC (BO3) - United21 Group Dbacked WRAITH PCIFIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$29.2
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+133.8%+$31.58
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs 1WIN (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Playoffsbacked Johnny Speeds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$19.58
Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs INOX Division (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked Betclic Apogee Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs RUSTEC (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked RUSTEC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.79
Counter-Strike: Fire Flux Esports vs Arch (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffsbacked Arch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs BIG Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #4 Group Dbacked BIG Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$17.36
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked SPARTA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Lynn Vision · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs Lilmix (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #4 Group Cbacked Lilmix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs MANA eSports (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Group Bbacked MANA eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.15
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs KOLESIE (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked KOLESIE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.75
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick56cpaid-8.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$447Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+30.6%+$136.78
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$30.05
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$107.99
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$66
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,038Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,037.86
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$628Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+27.4%+$172
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$19.8
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+35.1%+$36.4
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$70.99
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+29.9%+$33.35
All 11 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$49.4
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,402Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,401.83
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+101.6%+$251.44
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,648Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+79.6%+$1,312.28
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$954Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+71.3%+$680.3
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$640Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$639.97
Over $30M committed to the Gensyn public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+26.6%+$42
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$482Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+78.3%+$377.62
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.4
All 9 picks, newest first.
Valorantlast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-41.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: DetonatioN FocusMe vs ZETA DIVISION (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-Inbacked ZETA DIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.35
Valorant: MIBR vs Team Envy (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked Team Envy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Valorant: Team Envy vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked Team Envy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$27.86
Valorant: Fennel vs IGZIST (BO3) - VCL Japan Main Stagebacked IGZIST · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.59
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked Dragon Ranger Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.4
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Valorant: BOOM Esports vs Sharper Esport (BO3) - VCL Southeast Asia: Playoffsbacked BOOM Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.1
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs G2 Esports (BO5) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$10.22
All 8 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+24.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+98.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,005Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+98.9%+$994.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maryland Terrapins vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knightsbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+61.3%+$7.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+33.3%+$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hawks vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+33.3%+$5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Play-Inbacked Kiwoom DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Apple announce the iPhone 17e by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$112
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Udinese Calcio vs. AS Roma: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$33
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.