Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6ea129b775455355b4046339f8cbb2f7168742e095403d2c9055911e14adeb5b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Auroraof Team Falcons, Aurora
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,560,074
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,580,635
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,560,074 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 792 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Aurora | 55c | 136,169$75,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,868.97 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed Team Falcons | 1c | 107,647$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.97 | 315 | 47.6%150 W · 165 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Team Falcons | 60c | 86,679$52,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,096.65 | 125 | 60%75 W · 50 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf50…2dd8backed Team Falcons | 0c | 80,700$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.7 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Aurora | 40c | 69,277$27,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,588.25 | 287 | 48.8%140 W · 147 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Aurora | 67c | 67,655$45,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,367.71 | 174 | 52.3%91 W · 83 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Aurora | 61c | 54,802$33,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,356.22 | 281 | 59.8%168 W · 113 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Team Falcons | 33c | 45,144$14,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,897.62 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Team Falcons | 36c | 42,059$15,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,072.72 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Team Falcons | 33c | 39,630$13,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,192.82 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Team Falcons | 57c | 34,206$19,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,658.36 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed Aurora | 60c | 33,000$19,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,199.99 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Team Falcons | 36c | 32,242$11,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,706.8 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc04e…75d9backed Aurora | 46c | 30,000$13,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,100.91 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Aurora | 65c | 26,412$17,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,292.08 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffe9…a70ebacked Aurora | 48c | 22,181$10,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,619.25 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Team Falcons | 40c | 21,229$8,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,468.25 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Aurora | 66c | 19,851$13,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,841.45 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Falcons | 37c | 18,496$6,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,762.38 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed Team Falcons | 38c | 18,228$6,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,997.14 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…a71dbacked Aurora | 64c | 17,286$11,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,158.04 | 201 | 59.7%120 W · 81 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Team Falcons | 32c | 16,480$5,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,277.76 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd1…285dbacked Aurora | 40c | 15,699$6,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,478.19 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Team Falcons | 34c | 15,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Aurora | 61c | 15,000$9,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,849.96 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed Team Falcons | 4c | 13,900$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed Aurora | 67c | 12,840$8,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,281.48 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6e…fa6fbacked Aurora | 61c | 12,564$7,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900.02 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc62d…74fcbacked Team Falcons | 24c | 12,422$2,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,950 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Team Falcons | 45c | 11,947$5,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,339.49 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Team Falcons | 47c | 11,880$5,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,580.82 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Team Falcons | 28c | 10,739$2,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,955.34 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Team Falcons | 39c | 10,500$4,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,119.99 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Team Falcons | 35c | 10,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x790e…b82dbacked Team Falcons | 36c | 10,000$3,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,550 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2670…1bedbacked Team Falcons | 65c | 10,000$6,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,499.97 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Team Falcons | 38c | 9,885$3,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,776.73 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Team Falcons | 0c | 9,700$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.45 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Team Falcons | 58c | 8,964$5,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,219.04 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5054…0aafbacked Team Falcons | 34c | 8,787$2,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,986.65 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Team Falcons | 40c | 8,333$3,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,333 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1437…3553backed Aurora | 53c | 7,876$4,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,670.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +87.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Falcons | 29c | 7,667$2,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,220.37 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed Team Falcons | 37c | 7,000$2,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,590 | 290 | 42.1%122 W · 168 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Aurora | 74c | 7,000$5,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,844.98 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Team Falcons | 29c | 6,534$1,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,914.9 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97fd…3313backed Team Falcons | 39c | 6,334$2,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,470.31 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Team Falcons | 32c | 6,328$2,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,025 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83a0…eabbbacked Team Falcons | 40c | 6,008$2,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,403.26 | 77 | 28.6%22 W · 55 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8d…a7a8backed Team Falcons | 36c | 6,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.32per pick | 41cpaid | -83.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f4…cddbbacked Aurora | 68c | 5,685$3,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,825.71 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.5wins | -0.27per pick | 58cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0d…90c0backed Team Falcons | 42c | 5,661$2,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,377.62 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Team Falcons | 22c | 5,379$1,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,176.24 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x930e…38cfbacked Team Falcons | 33c | 5,357$1,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,764.53 | 370 | 18.9%70 W · 300 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Team Falcons | 33c | 5,224$1,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,723.92 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Team Falcons | 33c | 5,200$1,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,735.19 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c7…d601backed Aurora | 39c | 5,176$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,175.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e62…f6ffbacked Team Falcons | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Team Falcons | 37c | 5,000$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Aurora | 80c | 5,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd3…6c9abacked Team Falcons | 24c | 4,979$1,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,176.28 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Aurora | 60c | 4,972$2,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,988.89 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Team Falcons | 38c | 4,935$1,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,895.21 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18f0…3d5ebacked Team Falcons | 9c | 4,783$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.89 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef8…8712backed Team Falcons | 31c | 4,723$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked Team Falcons | 38c | 4,518$1,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,703.3 | 378 | 11.1%42 W · 336 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked Team Falcons | 35c | 4,500$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,559.95 | 145 | 15.2%22 W · 123 L | -16.5wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3601…44fbbacked Aurora | 62c | 4,442$2,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,679.63 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…9cc3backed Team Falcons | 63c | 4,135$2,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,625.5 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Team Falcons | 40c | 3,985$1,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,588.78 | 520 | 46.5%242 W · 278 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed Aurora | 70c | 3,941$2,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,181.18 | 334 | 53%177 W · 157 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed Team Falcons | 41c | 3,921$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Falcons | 41c | 3,898$1,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,604.82 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd525…1815backed Team Falcons | 57c | 3,721$2,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,114.88 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked Aurora | 65c | 3,528$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.6 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed Aurora | 69c | 3,517$2,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,097.36 | 537 | 58.8%316 W · 221 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…19abbacked Team Falcons | 1c | 3,500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 115 | 3.5%4 W · 111 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -88.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x018c…9794backed Aurora | 60c | 3,333$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.33 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…65cebacked Aurora | 39c | 3,309$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,009.26 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa83f…b857backed Team Falcons | 29c | 3,226$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.43 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Aurora | 67c | 3,181$2,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.88 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb4…00eabacked Team Falcons | 64c | 3,125$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Aurora | 50c | 2,981$1,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,483.55 | 191 | 48.7%93 W · 98 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf055…02b5backed Aurora | 64c | 2,799$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.53 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0cc…ce77backed Team Falcons | 39c | 2,744$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Team Falcons | 10c | 2,719$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.17 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x15e4…7ba4backed Team Falcons | 40c | 2,668$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.82 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked Team Falcons | 16c | 2,508$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.32 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Team Falcons | 35c | 2,500$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Team Falcons | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 134 | 56%75 W · 59 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb665…ed24backed Aurora | 64c | 2,500$1,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Team Falcons | 39c | 2,464$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.96 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x952a…bdc8backed Aurora | 36c | 2,451$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,568.82 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked Aurora | 61c | 2,449$1,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.18 | 291 | 60.1%175 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…9ccdbacked Aurora | 61c | 2,415$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.98 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +39%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdac8…1d09backed Aurora | 36c | 2,383$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,525.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Aurora | 55c | 2,350$1,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,057.5 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Team Falcons | 24c | 2,302$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.64 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb24f…3432backed Team Falcons | 27c | 2,300$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked Team Falcons | 33c | 2,264$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747 | 195 | 47.7%93 W · 102 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora - Game 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora - Game 2 WinnerAurora won
- Game Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Team Falcons (+1.5)Team Falcons won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.