Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa866c705547a365bb85f33e50357462524b9f83d33ccb3c28d64a72d5991723c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Auroraof Team Falcons, Aurora
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,119,905
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,236,556
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,119,905 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 434 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Aurora | 61c | 338,121$207,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130,427.74 | 287 | 48.8%140 W · 147 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Team Falcons | 38c | 271,001$104,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104,269.59 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Aurora | 60c | 125,859$76,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,859.18 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf50…2dd8backed Team Falcons | 0c | 81,110$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.11 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0286…f61dbacked Team Falcons | 39c | 76,446$29,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,823.82 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Team Falcons | 38c | 54,558$20,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,786.29 | 281 | 59.8%168 W · 113 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6373…a0b7backed Team Falcons | 6c | 26,066$1,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,563.5 | 148 | 25%37 W · 111 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Aurora | 62c | 25,000$15,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,500 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Aurora | 62c | 21,258$13,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,090.5 | 198 | 47%93 W · 105 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Team Falcons | 41c | 20,000$8,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,200 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Aurora | 73c | 17,066$12,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,663.96 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Falcons | 37c | 16,400$6,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,039.45 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Team Falcons | 38c | 16,078$6,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,109.65 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Aurora | 60c | 15,958$9,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,383.09 | 125 | 60%75 W · 50 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed Team Falcons | 39c | 14,615$5,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,708.04 | 303 | 36.6%111 W · 192 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Team Falcons | 40c | 14,444$5,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,783.63 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Team Falcons | 39c | 12,691$4,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,908.54 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffe9…a70ebacked Aurora | 61c | 12,254$7,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,778.92 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Team Falcons | 34c | 12,037$4,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,040.76 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Aurora | 60c | 11,111$6,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,488.91 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc04e…75d9backed Aurora | 62c | 10,806$6,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,130.66 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Team Falcons | 38c | 10,000$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,799.99 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa41c…fadebacked Team Falcons | 36c | 10,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,599.99 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Aurora | 62c | 9,528$5,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,575.08 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Team Falcons | 39c | 7,844$3,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,028 | 223 | 40.4%90 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Falcons | 40c | 7,798$3,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,106 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Team Falcons | 41c | 7,000$2,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,870 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6e…b0e0backed Team Falcons | 38c | 7,000$2,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,660 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Team Falcons | 38c | 6,853$2,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,627.64 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Team Falcons | 42c | 6,069$2,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,538.29 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd525…1815backed Team Falcons | 39c | 6,037$2,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,376.61 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x410d…d831backed Team Falcons | 2c | 6,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Team Falcons | 36c | 5,973$2,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,130.13 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc714…d152backed Aurora | 63c | 5,950$3,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,201.42 | 211 | 58.3%123 W · 88 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Team Falcons | 31c | 5,485$1,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,690.36 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a8…246dbacked Team Falcons | 40c | 5,160$2,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,064 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.22per pick | 47cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5054…0aafbacked Aurora | 62c | 5,025$3,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,909.5 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Aurora | 62c | 5,000$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Aurora | 63c | 5,000$3,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,837.5 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed Team Falcons | 37c | 5,000$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,849.98 | 290 | 42.1%122 W · 168 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed Aurora | 74c | 4,931$3,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299.84 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Team Falcons | 41c | 4,878$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.99 | 134 | 56%75 W · 59 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Aurora | 63c | 4,745$2,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,746.94 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed Team Falcons | 21c | 4,269$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Aurora | 59c | 4,080$2,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,672.8 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd3…6c9abacked Team Falcons | 21c | 4,006$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.83 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf055…02b5backed Team Falcons | 40c | 3,750$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Aurora | 62c | 3,735$2,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,415.01 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc214…105dbacked Team Falcons | 39c | 3,728$1,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,455 | 488 | 43.6%213 W · 275 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Aurora | 77c | 3,697$2,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.56 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Aurora | 61c | 3,601$2,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,388.74 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…19abbacked Team Falcons | 1c | 3,500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 115 | 3.5%4 W · 111 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -88.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e62…f6ffbacked Team Falcons | 23c | 3,500$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Aurora | 73c | 3,444$2,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.69 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Team Falcons | 36c | 3,391$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224.71 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Team Falcons | 44c | 3,372$1,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,473.75 | 191 | 48.7%93 W · 98 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b3…b86cbacked Team Falcons | 30c | 3,294$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +6.2wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked Aurora | 62c | 3,250$2,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,235 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Team Falcons | 37c | 3,174$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188.25 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…a71dbacked Aurora | 68c | 3,174$2,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.8 | 201 | 59.7%120 W · 81 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed Aurora | 60c | 3,139$1,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,255.68 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Aurora | 61c | 3,052$1,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176.38 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked Team Falcons | 33c | 3,007$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.11 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Team Falcons | 21c | 2,939$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.3 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Team Falcons | 10c | 2,843$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.42 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…65cebacked Aurora | 67c | 2,698$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Team Falcons | 39c | 2,658$1,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,038.78 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Aurora | 67c | 2,624$1,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.9 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Aurora | 60c | 2,621$1,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.85 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x483a…01d6backed Team Falcons | 39c | 2,594$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.49 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed Aurora | 70c | 2,590$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.78 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked Aurora | 77c | 2,528$1,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.25 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Team Falcons | 41c | 2,500$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Team Falcons | 29c | 2,462$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.94 | 520 | 46.5%242 W · 278 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…9cc3backed Aurora | 59c | 2,357$1,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.2 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Aurora | 61c | 2,311$1,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.75 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3601…44fbbacked Team Falcons | 41c | 2,196$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.96 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7e…3248backed Team Falcons | 10c | 2,157$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.51 | 87 | 26.4%23 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Aurora | 60c | 2,150$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x790e…b82dbacked Team Falcons | 35c | 2,055$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.55 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Team Falcons | 37c | 2,030$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.98 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d2b…afc5backed Aurora | 71c | 2,021$1,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.58 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Team Falcons | 31c | 2,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 201 | 45.3%91 W · 110 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddc6…13c4backed Team Falcons | 30c | 1,977$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed Aurora | 67c | 1,782$1,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.42 | 363 | 43.3%157 W · 206 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31f4…bb20backed Team Falcons | 11c | 1,752$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.4 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -61%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29e8…091cbacked Team Falcons | 22c | 1,739$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8a…f907backed Team Falcons | 38c | 1,720$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.6 | 141 | 36.9%52 W · 89 L | -13.3wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Team Falcons | 25c | 1,704$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked Team Falcons | 3c | 1,700$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 378 | 11.1%42 W · 336 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Aurora | 77c | 1,690$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.9 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…c89ebacked Aurora | 73c | 1,676$1,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.59 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa14c…23a1backed Aurora | 63c | 1,616$1,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.11 | 351 | 51.3%180 W · 171 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Team Falcons | 39c | 1,615$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.35 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2662…3f84backed Aurora | 76c | 1,606$1,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.62 | 145 | 62.1%90 W · 55 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebe…5e6fbacked Aurora | 65c | 1,600$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.88 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Aurora | 63c | 1,587$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.19 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…febfbacked Aurora | 63c | 1,579$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.98 | 216 | 50.9%110 W · 106 L | -25.3wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Aurora | 59c | 1,554$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.05 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Team Falcons | 41c | 1,553$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.73 | 357 | 37%132 W · 225 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam PlayoffsAurora won
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora - Game 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Game Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Team Falcons (+1.5)Team Falcons won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.