Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbaf6f37f81a64f1cba7b6bb677c29314d9fdca1aef68558ca85f8bb64fb27264
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof Team Falcons, Aurora
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,303,331
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,486,303
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,303,331 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 503 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Team Falcons | 49c | 417,169$206,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211,117.15 | 287 | 48.8%140 W · 147 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Aurora | 56c | 267,146$150,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150,000 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Aurora | 54c | 250,205$135,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135,830.55 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffe9…a70ebacked Team Falcons | 41c | 53,367$21,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,486.37 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0286…f61dbacked Team Falcons | 41c | 49,428$20,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,162.33 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Aurora | 50c | 40,156$20,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,157.07 | 174 | 52.3%91 W · 83 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Team Falcons | 30c | 32,333$9,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,632.96 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Team Falcons | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 271 | 53.5%145 W · 126 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Team Falcons | 43c | 19,664$8,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,143.23 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Aurora | 28c | 17,871$4,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,959.98 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Aurora | 45c | 15,293$6,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,937.37 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Team Falcons | 34c | 14,342$4,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,423.53 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed Team Falcons | 43c | 14,160$6,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,076.54 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Team Falcons | 41c | 13,897$5,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,130 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5054…0aafbacked Team Falcons | 44c | 11,699$5,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,516.04 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Falcons | 40c | 11,291$4,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,821.24 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Aurora | 74c | 10,905$8,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,027.93 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd525…1815backed Aurora | 53c | 9,718$5,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,119.41 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Aurora | 51c | 9,168$4,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,653 | 223 | 40.4%90 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked Aurora | 53c | 8,507$4,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,468.77 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97fd…3313backed Team Falcons | 42c | 8,452$3,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,902.23 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Aurora | 60c | 8,168$4,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,905.33 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Aurora | 60c | 7,921$4,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,750.55 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed Team Falcons | 71c | 7,746$5,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,248.56 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed Aurora | 51c | 7,595$3,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,851.3 | 303 | 36.6%111 W · 192 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a46…8112backed Aurora | 51c | 7,231$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,700 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Team Falcons | 47c | 7,000$3,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,679.98 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Falcons | 50c | 6,754$3,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,377 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3601…44fbbacked Aurora | 52c | 5,732$3,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,001 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed Aurora | 59c | 5,723$3,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,354.66 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f4…cddbbacked Aurora | 51c | 5,367$2,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,735.1 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.5wins | -0.27per pick | 58cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Falcons | 37c | 5,348$1,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,370.97 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed Aurora | 57c | 5,085$2,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,918.56 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…a71dbacked Aurora | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 201 | 59.7%120 W · 81 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Aurora | 35c | 4,805$1,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,681.33 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Aurora | 49c | 4,715$2,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,310.13 | 125 | 60%75 W · 50 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed Team Falcons | 24c | 4,637$1,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,535.12 | 334 | 53%177 W · 157 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…c89ebacked Team Falcons | 50c | 4,588$2,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,298.47 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Aurora | 45c | 4,528$2,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,017.94 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a6…03abbacked Aurora | 46c | 4,505$2,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,078.2 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6373…a0b7backed Team Falcons | 45c | 4,446$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,445.88 | 148 | 25%37 W · 111 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Falcons | 35c | 4,379$1,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,841.09 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Team Falcons | 40c | 4,187$1,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,511.51 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Falcons | 35c | 4,074$1,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,655.97 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e62…f6ffbacked Team Falcons | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,119.99 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Aurora | 54c | 3,992$2,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,164.02 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Team Falcons | 55c | 3,799$2,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,704.36 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d2b…afc5backed Team Falcons | 33c | 3,776$1,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,531.71 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Team Falcons | 34c | 3,759$1,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,478.89 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…19abbacked Aurora | 1c | 3,500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 115 | 3.5%4 W · 111 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -88.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…6ed0backed Team Falcons | 80c | 3,435$2,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.33 | 19 | 89.5%17 W · 2 L | +4.5wins | +0.24per pick | 66cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfe7d…1382backed Aurora | 56c | 3,136$1,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,755.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked Team Falcons | 56c | 3,012$1,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,336.42 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Team Falcons | 43c | 3,009$1,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,714.87 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Aurora | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,559.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Aurora | 63c | 2,998$1,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,898.73 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed Team Falcons | 58c | 2,995$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,244.77 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Aurora | 32c | 2,624$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.46 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Aurora | 68c | 2,579$1,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,753.87 | 191 | 48.7%93 W · 98 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82da…da33backed Team Falcons | 74c | 2,555$1,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.23 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Aurora | 66c | 2,500$1,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,655 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Team Falcons | 28c | 2,391$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,719.21 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Aurora | 50c | 2,100$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked Team Falcons | 49c | 2,055$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,055.23 | 359 | 51.3%184 W · 175 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc714…d152backed Aurora | 58c | 2,043$1,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,186.11 | 211 | 58.3%123 W · 88 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Team Falcons | 38c | 2,033$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250.59 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc214…105dbacked Team Falcons | 37c | 2,015$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,265.09 | 488 | 43.6%213 W · 275 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked Aurora | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Team Falcons | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Team Falcons | 44c | 1,900$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,057.99 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Team Falcons | 40c | 1,892$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.94 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Aurora | 51c | 1,885$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.29 | 520 | 46.5%242 W · 278 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…e7dabacked Team Falcons | 43c | 1,870$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.69 | 310 | 55.2%171 W · 139 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked Aurora | 50c | 1,860$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa14c…23a1backed Team Falcons | 45c | 1,816$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.06 | 351 | 51.3%180 W · 171 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Team Falcons | 39c | 1,811$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.82 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Team Falcons | 26c | 1,763$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,296.87 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Aurora | 58c | 1,750$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.99 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Team Falcons | 14c | 1,749$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500.35 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Team Falcons | 73c | 1,728$1,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.32 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…cf14backed Team Falcons | 50c | 1,716$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.27 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Team Falcons | 36c | 1,709$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,093.91 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Falcons | 7c | 1,702$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,580.58 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…65cebacked Aurora | 59c | 1,683$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed Team Falcons | 55c | 1,621$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.3 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc327…c72abacked Aurora | 63c | 1,575$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.99 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…f5eebacked Aurora | 52c | 1,574$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.06 | 134 | 42.5%57 W · 77 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Team Falcons | 56c | 1,559$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.99 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cac…1744backed Team Falcons | 37c | 1,510$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.51 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Aurora | 57c | 1,500$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Team Falcons | 42c | 1,495$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.07 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d1…2bb3backed Aurora | 59c | 1,450$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.68 | 172 | 48.3%83 W · 89 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94f4…77a2backed Aurora | 51c | 1,443$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.62 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed Team Falcons | 35c | 1,431$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.43 | 305 | 34.4%105 W · 200 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed Aurora | 56c | 1,420$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.16 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Team Falcons | 49c | 1,399$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.94 | 134 | 56%75 W · 59 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Team Falcons | 39c | 1,378$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.77 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdd…73a5backed Aurora | 36c | 1,366$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.23 | 157 | 39.5%62 W · 95 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed Team Falcons | 46c | 1,304$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.35 | 363 | 43.3%157 W · 206 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Aurora | 55c | 1,288$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.04 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam PlayoffsAurora won
- Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora - Game 2 WinnerAurora won
- Game Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Team Falcons (+1.5)Team Falcons won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.