TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs SPARTA (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
SPARTAof Nuclear TigeRES, SPARTA
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$132,986
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$161,123

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $132,986 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 191 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6b97…8d30backed SPARTA29c7,774$2,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,504.5266851.8%346 W · 322 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1047…9036backed Nuclear TigeRES71c5,700$4,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0471346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ebc…a33dbacked SPARTA52c4,062$2,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,948.2663157.1%360 W · 271 L+40.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa009…fae7backed SPARTA75c3,090$2,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782.411250%6 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7460…de6ebacked Nuclear TigeRES54c3,000$1,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,619.9943951.7%227 W · 212 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Nuclear TigeRES46c2,770$1,261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,261.253,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa28e…1654backed SPARTA35c2,122$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,371.612030%6 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-21.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed Nuclear TigeRES67c1,883$1,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,263.651,62052.7%853 W · 767 L+57.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3f1…7535backed Nuclear TigeRES16c1,649$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.1913342.1%56 W · 77 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x051c…ca3fbacked Nuclear TigeRES60c1,622$973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97335847.5%170 W · 188 L-13.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked SPARTA31c1,606$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,109.071,01152.3%529 W · 482 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x022c…5ef0backed Nuclear TigeRES67c1,493$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa16b…b541backed Nuclear TigeRES53c1,445$766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$765.7843455.1%239 W · 195 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Nuclear TigeRES67c1,374$921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$920.515567.3%37 W · 18 L+7.0wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+25.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2f8e…0c69backed SPARTA38c1,316$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$816.0227438.3%105 W · 169 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed SPARTA34c1,311$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$858.831,03353.2%550 W · 483 L+64.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed SPARTA35c1,198$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784.35728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-22.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Nuclear TigeRES66c1,119$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.85,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fdc…8897backed Nuclear TigeRES1c1,107$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-56.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b96…4389backed Nuclear TigeRES68c999.99$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.9937557.3%215 W · 160 L-16.4wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked SPARTA33c952.42$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.1252636.5%192 W · 334 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Nuclear TigeRES67c933.05$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$625.1459755.4%331 W · 266 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7442…38b7backed SPARTA75c906.72$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.683855.3%21 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Nuclear TigeRES31c863.9$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.053,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Nuclear TigeRES61c853.24$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.641,84841.7%770 W · 1,078 L-69.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed SPARTA34c800$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52828843.1%124 W · 164 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Nuclear TigeRES49c791$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.592,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a2c…3c32backed Nuclear TigeRES63c788.72$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50019061.6%117 W · 73 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d93…fdefbacked Nuclear TigeRES39c778.29$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.112365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+16.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed SPARTA32c750$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51061948%297 W · 322 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked SPARTA33c736.98$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.781,49651.5%771 W · 725 L-7.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc22e…eab8backed SPARTA34c735.3$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.36937.7%26 W · 43 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-21.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked SPARTA36c723.72$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.188047.5%38 W · 42 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x832a…c94dbacked Nuclear TigeRES64c705.75$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.68862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+15.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d7e…2ef7backed Nuclear TigeRES59c696.52$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.1717759.9%106 W · 71 L+0.4wins0.00per pick60cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb17…c84bbacked Nuclear TigeRES71c684$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.642259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+39.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8fe…211ebacked Nuclear TigeRES15c673.63$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001338.5%5 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick28cpaid+36.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Nuclear TigeRES66c625.43$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.022,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Nuclear TigeRES25c600$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.971,57929.7%469 W · 1,110 L-86.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xec7b…917ebacked SPARTA36c589.35$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.5427740.8%113 W · 164 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbaa…a47fbacked Nuclear TigeRES75c578.45$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.152035%7 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-24.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed SPARTA33c536.14$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.0232844.8%147 W · 181 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed SPARTA32c530.84$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.9732344.3%143 W · 180 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbadb…31a7backed SPARTA33c500$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33512344.7%55 W · 68 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked SPARTA48c497.24$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.571,35252%703 W · 649 L+29.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54ac…47e6backed SPARTA42c493.65$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.5967372.2%486 W · 187 L+119.1wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+24.7%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x9267…869ebacked Nuclear TigeRES70c479.28$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.52755.6%15 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f8c…9a58backed Nuclear TigeRES65c467.08$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.835646.4%26 W · 30 L-6.1wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-26%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x646a…cd90backed SPARTA19c461.77$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.779353.8%50 W · 43 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+3.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed Nuclear TigeRES66c442$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.7274054.6%404 W · 336 L+15.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x212b…0ba5backed SPARTA34c441.2$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.199044.4%40 W · 50 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5dc8…e209backed SPARTA34c441.2$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.196741.8%28 W · 39 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Nuclear TigeRES59c430.02$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.8438454.2%208 W · 176 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb595…5922backed SPARTA25c424.16$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.2519953.8%107 W · 92 L+10.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed SPARTA34c414.22$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.7520856.3%117 W · 91 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfbf3…70e3backed SPARTA32c388.02$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.348641.9%36 W · 50 L-7.6wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-21.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd098…8d1cbacked Nuclear TigeRES71c380$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.83560%21 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd1f…3b4dbacked Nuclear TigeRES71c377.66$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.14714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.36per pick50cpaid-77%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa9a6…1c3fbacked Nuclear TigeRES71c359.07$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.94475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+28.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Nuclear TigeRES67c331.07$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.8246555.1%256 W · 209 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c1e…befebacked SPARTA34c328.88$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.066349.2%31 W · 32 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe453…256ebacked Nuclear TigeRES71c323.94$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2301838.9%7 W · 11 L-3.0wins-0.17per pick55cpaid-34.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Nuclear TigeRES41c321.08$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.742,47334.6%855 W · 1,618 L-188.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x3ffb…df76backed SPARTA33c303.03$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.0325252.8%133 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f41…260ebacked Nuclear TigeRES66c300$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.516550.3%83 W · 82 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e54…511ebacked SPARTA35c296.54$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.7538844.3%172 W · 216 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6cdf…58e1backed SPARTA34c294.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.117345.2%33 W · 40 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5317…9a3bbacked SPARTA32c259.79$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.492259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30dc…f26ebacked SPARTA19c258.96$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.9616236.4%59 W · 103 L-0.6wins0.00per pick37cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb88a…f6adbacked Nuclear TigeRES68c249$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.322630.8%8 W · 18 L-4.6wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-29.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x34b8…81afbacked SPARTA62c241.94$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.942100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8616…3bb0backed Nuclear TigeRES70c234.11$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.6255749.7%277 W · 280 L-12.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed SPARTA35c225.01$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.6348851.8%253 W · 235 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x203a…935fbacked Nuclear TigeRES67c222.78$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15028454.9%156 W · 128 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked SPARTA36c220.04$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.839848%47 W · 51 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+21.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed SPARTA33c216.33$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.7999148.3%479 W · 512 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked SPARTA43c216.16$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.052,34942.5%998 W · 1,351 L-72.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Nuclear TigeRES29c214$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.073,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Nuclear TigeRES66c210$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.5569445%312 W · 382 L-24.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked SPARTA59c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.532,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed SPARTA30c200$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.052,50841%1,029 W · 1,479 L-115.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x97f2…d56fbacked SPARTA29c200$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1423666.7%24 W · 12 L+4.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+29.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x20d7…2485backed SPARTA15c197.15$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.057915.2%12 W · 67 L-8.9wins-0.11per pick26cpaid-56.5%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x5a2a…8687backed SPARTA33c195.99$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.32560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+27.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b27…0635backed Nuclear TigeRES53c190$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.0831749.5%157 W · 160 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed44…4f76backed SPARTA50c188.98$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.7751942.2%219 W · 300 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-24.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked Nuclear TigeRES35c183$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.716311.7%19 W · 144 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-34.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Nuclear TigeRES48c169$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.095,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Nuclear TigeRES69c168$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.428648.8%42 W · 44 L-6.7wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5633…59bcbacked Nuclear TigeRES68c166$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.882839.3%11 W · 17 L-4.0wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-16.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Nuclear TigeRES54c154.54$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.120447.1%96 W · 108 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd8c…1b70backed Nuclear TigeRES71c152$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.92633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-33.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbc59…35f7backed SPARTA33c151.52$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.526942%29 W · 40 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed SPARTA53c150.85$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.334,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfdd…e70ebacked SPARTA34c147$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.0214335%50 W · 93 L-13.4wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-26%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa56e…1c76backed Nuclear TigeRES70c143.47$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.133554.3%19 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e47…bdbfbacked Nuclear TigeRES63c142.85$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9038469.5%267 W · 117 L+31.6wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xef30…e949backed Nuclear TigeRES56c129$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.95470.4%38 W · 16 L+5.6wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+15.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb697…5d0cbacked SPARTA33c127.27$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.274845.8%22 W · 26 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x14ca…8f43backed SPARTA38c125$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.513840.6%56 W · 82 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.