CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: NTR (-1.5) vs SPARTA (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6226c0da018df5bde79198923125e8d1b56130833aa93242300e28744d128cd2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SPARTAof Nuclear TigeRES, SPARTA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,198
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,293
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,198 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed SPARTA | 56c | 1,393$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.1 | 668 | 51.8%346 W · 322 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked SPARTA | 57c | 1,037$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.56 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 333 | 40.2%134 W · 199 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Nuclear TigeRES | 39c | 705$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.95 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Nuclear TigeRES | 43c | 697.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 323 | 44.3%143 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdccf…faeabacked SPARTA | 61c | 490.25$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.2 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b49…d827backed Nuclear TigeRES | 42c | 293.69$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.81 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed Nuclear TigeRES | 44c | 276.36$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.6 | 358 | 39.4%141 W · 217 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…4605backed Nuclear TigeRES | 41c | 262.03$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.43 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83c4…3212backed SPARTA | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 317 | 61.2%194 W · 123 L | +22.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x203a…935fbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 39c | 76.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 284 | 54.9%156 W · 128 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xece0…7dc9backed SPARTA | 61c | 73.77$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.77 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc800…4117backed Nuclear TigeRES | 18c | 72.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 101 | 29.7%30 W · 71 L | -10.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked SPARTA | 71c | 51.75$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.01 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed Nuclear TigeRES | 26c | 44.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 220 | 53.2%117 W · 103 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe34c…ca55backed Nuclear TigeRES | 42c | 25.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -13.4wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x94e8…f707backed Nuclear TigeRES | 58c | 20.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: NTR (-1.5) vs SPARTA (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs SPARTA (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group StageSPARTA won
- Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs SPARTA - Map 1 WinnerNuclear TigeRES won
- Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs SPARTA - Map 2 WinnerSPARTA won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.