CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs SPARTA - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd072708a56dbf6e0a220a8cdeb6392ad173036f58f891a41c6e8cc2fc625b064
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SPARTAof Nuclear TigeRES, SPARTA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,629
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,451
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,629 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x051c…ca3fbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 49c | 2,792$1,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,355.46 | 368 | 47.6%175 W · 193 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed SPARTA | 54c | 1,281$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.04 | 522 | 42.5%222 W · 300 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fe…211ebacked SPARTA | 36c | 833.36$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.36 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8e…0c69backed SPARTA | 38c | 796.26$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.26 | 286 | 37.8%108 W · 178 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked SPARTA | 39c | 697.89$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.29 | 211 | 46%97 W · 114 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked SPARTA | 42c | 629.73$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.75 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked SPARTA | 31c | 614.02$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.13 | 238 | 47.9%114 W · 124 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 66c | 506.07$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.2 | 634 | 57.1%362 W · 272 L | +40.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked SPARTA | 31c | 340.9$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.33 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…bdbfbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 30c | 332.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.83 | 394 | 69.3%273 W · 121 L | +31.6wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xadd6…8efebacked SPARTA | 26c | 306.86$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.21 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Nuclear TigeRES | 67c | 300$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.53 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed SPARTA | 51c | 272$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.86 | 2,393 | 46.7%1,118 W · 1,275 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed SPARTA | 37c | 250$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.5 | 318 | 43.1%137 W · 181 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c42…b792backed Nuclear TigeRES | 63c | 250$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.5 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c81…5518backed Nuclear TigeRES | 65c | 239.99$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.5 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ac…47e6backed Nuclear TigeRES | 69c | 220.37$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.73 | 681 | 72.2%492 W · 189 L | +120.9wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x604e…2cb1backed SPARTA | 15c | 206.08$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.25 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 434 | 37.6%163 W · 271 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…0635backed Nuclear TigeRES | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.8 | 330 | 50%165 W · 165 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b4…9f6fbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 68c | 193.17$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.58 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb84…59d2backed Nuclear TigeRES | 54c | 184.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 77.5%31 W · 9 L | +5.9wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked SPARTA | 50c | 163.56$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.83 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2363…ed78backed SPARTA | 37c | 162.16$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.16 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Nuclear TigeRES | 78c | 150$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.25 | 3,236 | 51.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L | +88.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Nuclear TigeRES | 75c | 125$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.75 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked SPARTA | 27c | 123$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.13 | 2,530 | 34.6%876 W · 1,654 L | -193.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked SPARTA | 11c | 122.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.89 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed SPARTA | 37c | 122$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.86 | 498 | 43%214 W · 284 L | -16.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Nuclear TigeRES | 24c | 110$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.74 | 569 | 38.1%217 W · 352 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5275…9379backed SPARTA | 47c | 107$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.57 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf247…d8cabacked Nuclear TigeRES | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed SPARTA | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.81 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe53b…fe03backed Nuclear TigeRES | 35c | 99.85$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.95 | 423 | 71.9%304 W · 119 L | +24.4wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed SPARTA | 29c | 97.75$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.97 | 1,121 | 42.5%476 W · 645 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 76c | 93.53$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.32 | 2,397 | 42.7%1,023 W · 1,374 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked SPARTA | 34c | 91.37$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.67 | 2,143 | 47.3%1,013 W · 1,130 L | -61.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed SPARTA | 33c | 86.31$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.18 | 131 | 42.7%56 W · 75 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed SPARTA | 33c | 85$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.91 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked SPARTA | 39c | 80$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.8 | 393 | 38.2%150 W · 243 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd30…9a01backed Nuclear TigeRES | 25c | 79.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 296 | 61.1%181 W · 115 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked SPARTA | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 248 | 35.1%87 W · 161 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed SPARTA | 28c | 73.37$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.68 | 2,474 | 24.7%611 W · 1,863 L | -316.9wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 56c | 69.2$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.44 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0868…efe8backed SPARTA | 36c | 69$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.23 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Nuclear TigeRES | 64c | 66.78$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.74 | 2,365 | 45.4%1,074 W · 1,291 L | -58.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed Nuclear TigeRES | 26c | 65.6$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 617 | 54%333 W · 284 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f98…cb91backed SPARTA | 40c | 65$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.09 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 76c | 58.17$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.04 | 1,142 | 54.4%621 W · 521 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed SPARTA | 28c | 57.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.14 | 773 | 46.1%356 W · 417 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…f571backed SPARTA | 37c | 51.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.35 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa56e…1c76backed SPARTA | 51c | 49.12$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.12 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 70c | 42.1$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.38 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 67c | 40$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 1,397 | 52.4%732 W · 665 L | +30.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf53…ca3bbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 66c | 39.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8195…3fedbacked SPARTA | 50c | 28.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Nuclear TigeRES | 62c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 2,223 | 47.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L | -5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0c…a691backed Nuclear TigeRES | 57c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 224 | 50.9%114 W · 110 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29fa…0eeebacked Nuclear TigeRES | 67c | 17.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -6.2wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs SPARTA - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs SPARTA (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group StageSPARTA won
- Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs SPARTA - Map 1 WinnerNuclear TigeRES won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: NTR (-1.5) vs SPARTA (+1.5)SPARTA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.