Token Launches · resolved market
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc517b6dcbae1b769dcd81a56c5bdde73ee5bf9b91e60c6dc5ebb1e6f2445a6d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,824,219
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,782,397
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,824,219 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 762 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6872…876fbacked No | 3c | 108,026$3,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,549.04 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -73.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…47cebacked No | 35c | 83,538$28,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,916.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Yes | 20c | 78,346$15,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62,578.51 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x003b…3177backed Yes | 18c | 59,235$10,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,367.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 66c | 47,803$31,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,647.64 | 167 | 40.7%68 W · 99 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50e4…fb34backed No | 1c | 45,824$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d5…1119backed No | 78c | 38,004$29,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,643.19 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 3c | 35,377$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.95 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4012…a72dbacked No | 67c | 34,521$23,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,202.01 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe714…d510backed No | 34c | 32,997$11,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,082.4 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34ab…3eb5backed No | 3c | 30,024$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb67…d696backed Yes | 17c | 29,539$5,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,456.29 | 72 | 70.8%51 W · 21 L | +20.9wins | +0.29per pick | 42cpaid | +190%equal weight | 74+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked No | 4c | 26,514$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110.13 | 171 | 2.9%5 W · 166 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba2d…23dcbacked Yes | 51c | 26,099$13,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,888.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0267…50a1backed Yes | 48c | 22,539$10,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,811.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +91.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31b6…f8b5backed Yes | 18c | 20,689$3,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,948.04 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +181.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0272…c77fbacked No | 6c | 20,000$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1897…051cbacked Yes | 26c | 19,251$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,151.1 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +192.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6f47…e18bbacked Yes | 28c | 18,243$5,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,124.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +177.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…db2dbacked Yes | 29c | 17,621$5,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,460.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +241.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa37a…a9e7backed Yes | 23c | 16,227$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,427.37 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +161.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5148…5ddcbacked Yes | 20c | 15,661$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,561.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +405.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc953…01bfbacked No | 6c | 15,254$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0f…1d59backed No | 73c | 15,202$11,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,035.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1a…f0bcbacked Yes | 6c | 14,433$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,531.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.94per pick | 6cpaid | +1,500.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x086d…8f95backed Yes | 28c | 14,209$3,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,210.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +255.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbee7…de5ebacked No | 68c | 13,953$9,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,513.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1192…6544backed No | 73c | 13,577$9,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,896.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8661…cc59backed No | 8c | 12,500$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50c6…2c1cbacked No | 25c | 12,345$3,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,065.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a1…cd45backed Yes | 24c | 12,070$2,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,125.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +310%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204b…6a5cbacked No | 1c | 12,000$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb86…1a3abacked No | 7c | 11,999$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x523a…8e28backed No | 10c | 11,938$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174.6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37fd…7101backed No | 66c | 11,902$7,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,840.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0f…c81fbacked No | 2c | 11,870$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f6…f699backed No | 64c | 11,806$7,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,554.87 | 238 | 41.2%98 W · 140 L | +25.1wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc713…3f8dbacked Yes | 13c | 11,622$1,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,096.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.87per pick | 13cpaid | +662.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…815ebacked Yes | 14c | 11,210$1,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,623.78 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 33cpaid | +105.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaec8…516dbacked No | 10c | 10,996$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf579…9989backed Yes | 78c | 10,825$8,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,408.75 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked No | 5c | 10,643$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.32 | 79 | 19%15 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a9…ccc6backed Yes | 22c | 10,384$2,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,066.52 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +203.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c38…e372backed No | 78c | 10,351$8,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,049.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed No | 8c | 10,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea5…dc51backed No | 7c | 10,000$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe64b…51bcbacked Yes | 17c | 9,874$1,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,177 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +294%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x136e…3819backed No | 72c | 9,455$6,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,848.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a33…c087backed Yes | 21c | 9,400$2,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,387.96 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +5.1wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb07f…3c41backed No | 4c | 9,375$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed No | 21c | 9,308$1,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,963.95 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05b5…b5e0backed Yes | 16c | 9,175$1,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,688.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +208.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x001e…b3afbacked Yes | 78c | 9,150$7,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,990.05 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c4…978fbacked No | 8c | 8,688$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…b3b1backed No | 71c | 8,476$5,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,999.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 69cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…366bbacked Yes | 21c | 8,190$1,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,484.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +380.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf928…8016backed No | 79c | 8,184$6,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,500.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75d…8fd4backed Yes | 25c | 8,094$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,093.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +304.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9522…904fbacked Yes | 28c | 7,947$2,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,730.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +258.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc456…8996backed No | 29c | 7,800$2,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,267.31 | 195 | 43.1%84 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cd4…8ed6backed No | 73c | 7,778$5,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,645.95 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…f441backed Yes | 52c | 7,646$3,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,649.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff04…d971backed No | 7c | 7,568$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.66 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.24per pick | 11cpaid | +995.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xed88…0dfdbacked No | 0c | 7,348$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.82 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad58…7624backed No | 7c | 7,300$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 6c | 7,293$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.49 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6606…1338backed No | 36c | 7,000$2,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,517.08 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 1c | 6,973$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.45 | 206 | 1.9%4 W · 202 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…cb10backed Yes | 47c | 6,805$3,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,602.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e37…cccbbacked No | 77c | 6,599$5,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,112.02 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ca…b27abacked No | 9c | 6,506$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.39 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8188…0667backed No | 7c | 6,415$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…9db0backed No | 3c | 6,323$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9732…59f6backed Yes | 19c | 6,319$1,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,110.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +246.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2336…9e65backed No | 77c | 6,300$4,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,847.98 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e5b…073bbacked No | 58c | 6,095$3,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,526.26 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4377…cd61backed No | 6c | 5,970$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked No | 25c | 5,946$1,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,510.92 | 103 | 36.9%38 W · 65 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeae5…0720backed No | 27c | 5,854$1,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,595.58 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b89…1fd0backed No | 5c | 5,667$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…9810backed No | 70c | 5,617$3,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,917.83 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf38…5799backed No | 69c | 5,505$3,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,806.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e07…6a8ebacked No | 52c | 5,473$2,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,844.08 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41ab…6473backed No | 77c | 5,256$4,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,028.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…006fbacked Yes | 21c | 5,242$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,141.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +204%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d2…7048backed No | 11c | 5,183$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.16 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -62%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x969c…5266backed Yes | 52c | 5,141$2,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,456.4 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +4.4wins | +0.36per pick | 47cpaid | +159.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcda8…e2ffbacked Yes | 20c | 5,033$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,013.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 21cpaid | +147.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a7…0af9backed No | 7c | 5,000$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 37cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…3b03backed No | 9c | 5,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe182…b624backed No | 4c | 5,000$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.5 | 112 | 25.9%29 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x597e…cd70backed No | 6c | 5,000$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f88…a1f0backed Yes | 23c | 5,000$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,849.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +196.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x413f…47f3backed Yes | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,449.99 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c78…34c0backed No | 57c | 4,930$2,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,821.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…a926backed No | 77c | 4,820$3,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,696.81 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac1…0389backed No | 57c | 4,750$2,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,707.49 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0593…ca26backed Yes | 39c | 4,724$1,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,889.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +101.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bca…ff06backed Yes | 13c | 4,621$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,026.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.87per pick | 13cpaid | +677.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc135…21b0backed No | 44c | 4,562$2,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,009.34 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +8.0wins | +0.17per pick | 27cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?this page
- Will MegaETH launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes won
- Will MegaETH launch a token by June 30, 2026?Yes won
- Will MegaETH launch a token by March 31, 2026?No won
- Will MegaETH launch a token by May 31, 2026?Yes won
- Will MegaETH launch a token by September 30, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.