Token Launches · resolved market
Will MegaETH launch a token by May 31, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a1dae2f2b3eb1ec0b8ae721cfb6c021da85cf129ccd1b573c8a0e636f7f7920
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $453,488
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $439,617
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $453,488 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 165 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x34ab…3eb5backed No | 1c | 34,854$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff04…d971backed No | 0c | 15,477$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.64 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.24per pick | 11cpaid | +995.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked No | 0c | 15,351$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.06 | 171 | 2.9%5 W · 166 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec24…2965backed No | 0c | 13,361$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7a…f429backed No | 0c | 11,720$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed88…0dfdbacked No | 0c | 11,444$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.98 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 0c | 11,111$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked No | 9c | 9,103$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3863…9dd3backed No | 1c | 7,763$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47ba…bf77backed No | 0c | 6,705$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeae5…0720backed No | 1c | 6,079$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.55 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb67…d696backed Yes | 58c | 6,072$3,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,540.3 | 72 | 70.8%51 W · 21 L | +20.9wins | +0.29per pick | 42cpaid | +190%equal weight | 74+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0xab54…da9fbacked No | 4c | 5,548$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d26…a7d1backed No | 37c | 5,176$1,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,936.87 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 1c | 5,156$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.17 | 206 | 1.9%4 W · 202 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1897…051cbacked Yes | 54c | 4,600$2,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,096.99 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +192.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7b64…707bbacked No | 1c | 4,400$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08f5…6b06backed No | 4c | 4,394$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d3…13d7backed No | 2c | 4,299$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.67 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 20cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7afe…6620backed No | 3c | 4,139$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.92 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8caf…79d2backed No | 0c | 3,500$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…dda5backed No | 15c | 3,398$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9c7…d9e8backed No | 12c | 3,263$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4641…500fbacked No | 11c | 3,010$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8250…ddd0backed No | 13c | 2,988$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 4c | 2,742$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.24 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70ef…e25dbacked No | 33c | 2,535$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94e…8270backed Yes | 67c | 2,488$1,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +146.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6789…ac37backed No | 49c | 2,033$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +5.7wins | +0.33per pick | 37cpaid | +698%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xcc29…7774backed No | 25c | 2,020$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf3…1dd9backed No | 1c | 2,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25dc…e33bbacked No | 37c | 1,922$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.29 | 145 | 48.3%70 W · 75 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8d…6790backed Yes | 57c | 1,900$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c78…34c0backed No | 17c | 1,699$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf65…178abacked No | 37c | 1,684$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.78 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd292…3fb2backed Yes | 60c | 1,670$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…8766backed No | 12c | 1,667$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x003b…3177backed Yes | 70c | 1,647$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7621…ef40backed No | 36c | 1,558$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 1c | 1,526$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 237 | 7.2%17 W · 220 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd88…4037backed No | 5c | 1,500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f47…e18bbacked Yes | 50c | 1,491$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +177.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32b8…9fbdbacked No | 8c | 1,408$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.53 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -63%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94df…2dcebacked Yes | 79c | 1,300$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c7d…5f7ebacked No | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc2…d2afbacked No | 16c | 1,222$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.81 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 4c | 1,200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.97 | 154 | 1.9%3 W · 151 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce1d…1b9bbacked Yes | 71c | 1,129$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.11 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe64b…51bcbacked Yes | 49c | 1,030$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +294%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed No | 2c | 1,009$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.01 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…4f44backed No | 2c | 1,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 51 | 0%0 W · 51 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c37…d40fbacked No | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 40 | 0%0 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf7…68e3backed No | 16c | 997.81$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6452…30a1backed No | 20c | 989.85$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +12.0wins | +0.19per pick | 32cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xcf07…c770backed No | 50c | 971.93$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.83 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61be…804dbacked No | 2c | 955.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x177d…33eebacked No | 25c | 946.49$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c1…825fbacked No | 4c | 924$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.96 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.19per pick | 12cpaid | +180.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc456…8996backed Yes | 51c | 900$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441 | 195 | 43.1%84 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6417…d43ebacked No | 49c | 873.3$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.52 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +4.5wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7e34…63f7backed No | 17c | 850.1$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.31 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fdf…28a2backed No | 60c | 839.52$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d1…3a4abacked Yes | 54c | 787.66$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.59 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd3…30c5backed No | 25c | 722.14$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.41 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…d5f4backed No | 48c | 625$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4417…20ffbacked No | 45c | 623.99$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf3…5c30backed No | 49c | 612$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.76 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x705c…7393backed No | 50c | 498.99$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe95e…61f2backed No | 21c | 470$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.7 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9732…59f6backed Yes | 59c | 459.91$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.07 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +246.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…b94abacked No | 45c | 457.57$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.51 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 25cpaid | -90.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d3…76d1backed No | 48c | 436$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6416…54d6backed No | 58c | 434.36$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd20…fe62backed No | 47c | 420$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9187…abb5backed No | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf58b…5f34backed Yes | 80c | 400$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2220…5db4backed No | 48c | 399.99$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9797…c193backed No | 43c | 380.4$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 36cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd66…c54cbacked Yes | 58c | 344.93$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 37cpaid | +169.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3290…f4bdbacked No | 20c | 341.05$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 14cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 14c | 337.95$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.09 | 349 | 5.7%20 W · 329 L | -25.3wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x537b…f0a0backed No | 42c | 337.2$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.48 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f6…f699backed Yes | 80c | 333.62$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.72 | 238 | 41.2%98 W · 140 L | +25.1wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbf…4953backed No | 47c | 323.94$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.82 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…a1bfbacked No | 25c | 302.96$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb03…46dcbacked No | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x61e3…7827backed No | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7776…491bbacked No | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53a3…e5afbacked No | 8c | 278.96$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.15 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -5.4wins | -0.24per pick | 28cpaid | -93.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x20aa…38c5backed No | 45c | 264.98$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87cc…7971backed No | 31c | 264.38$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d00…b0c2backed No | 13c | 258.64$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf382…be0ebacked No | 41c | 249.99$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…7c02backed No | 41c | 245.59$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 119 | 42%50 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e5…4482backed No | 15c | 238.19$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.09 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 31cpaid | +52%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x894c…1c16backed No | 6c | 220$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0785…ecb4backed Yes | 80c | 220$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked No | 10c | 216.56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9149…eaefbacked No | 24c | 208$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6f…b760backed No | 47c | 206.77$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will MegaETH launch a token by May 31, 2026?this page
- Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?Yes won
- Will MegaETH launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes won
- Will MegaETH launch a token by June 30, 2026?Yes won
- Will MegaETH launch a token by March 31, 2026?No won
- Will MegaETH launch a token by September 30, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.