TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe9d1…3a4a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
226
Categories scored
27
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 57 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT4654.3%25 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$507Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+48.8%+$247.45
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$81.48
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$267Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+266.7%+$711.7
Will MegaETH launch a token by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$428Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+84%+$359.59
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$732Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$731.56
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+60.1%+$114.15
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$28
EdgeX FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+67.1%+$45.82
EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$287Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+27%+$77.44
Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+203%+$24.25
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$176.25
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Opinion FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+72.8%+$88.65
Flying Tulip FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+49.3%+$20.79
Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+150%+$60
Flying Tulip FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$49.5
Aztec FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+100%+$15
Sentient FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+71.8%+$19.8
Trove FDV above $20M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$51
Owlto FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+88.7%+$36.62
Owlto FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+94.8%+$56.87
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3151.6%16 W · 15 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+29.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$20.3
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+553.6%+$84.7
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+223.3%+$227.72
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.09
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.1
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.96
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Saudi Arabia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Will Uruguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$47.5
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
João Félix: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Bruno Fernandes: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$21.59
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$12
Spread: France (-2.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Harry Kane: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$23.22
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$16.91
Bernardo Silva: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)backed Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$27.62
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+73%+$16.88
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$159.71
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Trail Blazers vs. Warriors: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Bulls vs. Rockets: O/U 224.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Suns vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Lakers vs. Kings: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$12
76ers vs. Raptorsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+72.4%+$10.86
Rockets vs. Kings: O/U 222.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+96.1%+$14.41
76ers vs. Raptorsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 220.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+100%+$15
76ers vs. Magicbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+66.7%+$10
Mavericks vs. Jazz: O/U 241.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+100%+$12
Lakers vs. Pelicansbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+49.3%+$7.39
Warriors vs. Trail Blazersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
All 16 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+25%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.5
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$30
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+102%+$101
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$39
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$38.87
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.34
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.94
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+127.3%+$25.45
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+108.3%+$54.17
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+502.6%+$196
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 14 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST1442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-20.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+122.2%+$14.67
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$12.4
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+75.4%+$26.4
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+66.7%+$10
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$11.8
Will SC Preußen Münster win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+96.1%+$14.7
Will 1. FC Magdeburg win on 2026-01-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf win on 2026-01-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$12.2
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-01-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+85.2%+$10.22
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-10-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$9.19
All 14 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-42.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+66.7%+$8.13
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$28.8
Ipswich Town FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+92.3%+$11.08
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+69.5%+$8.2
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+56.3%+$5.63
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 12 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+18.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$27.8
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$54.86
Burgos CF vs. SD Huesca: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$15
AD Ceuta FC vs. Real Valladolid CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Sevilla FC vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$12.3
Cádiz CF vs. Real Sporting de Gijón: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+96.1%+$14.41
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+100%+$13
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Valencia CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+132.6%+$17.23
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+72.4%+$10.86
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-28.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.4
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$21
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+72.4%+$12.6
Will Bodø/Glimt advance to the round of 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$21.38
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+122.2%+$14.67
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Qairat FK vs. Club Brugge KV: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+47.1%+$7.06
All 10 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.25per pick48cpaid-61.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
NFL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid+135.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST70%0 W · 7 L-3.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+47.4%+$24.16
Will Eight die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+42.9%+$5.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$22.93
Will FK Crvena zvezda win on 2026-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-01-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-01-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+150%+$30
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+72.4%+$10.86
Club Puebla vs. Mazatlán FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gen.G win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$8.81
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
All 2 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+118.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hyperliquid dip to $52 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+118.1%+$79.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gençlerbirliği SK win on 2026-01-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+69.5%+$8.34
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.