TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-01-14?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$312,047
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$339,469

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $312,047 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 244 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd0b4…fed6backed No40c137,228$54,913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54,913.183961.5%24 W · 15 L+4.5wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+24.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Yes59c75,000$44,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,7503844.7%17 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Yes60c45,365$27,219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,1461127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-50.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No40c27,893$11,212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,212.071838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-30.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes63c15,000$9,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,5503946.2%18 W · 21 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed No39c11,166$4,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,310.5120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7516…8bebbacked Yes59c9,067$5,349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,717.37771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick47cpaid+42.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No21c7,946$1,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,629.9920132.3%65 W · 136 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-40.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No58c7,526$4,363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,363.191,03541.6%431 W · 604 L-33.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes42c7,462$3,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,324.5113641.9%57 W · 79 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes62c6,851$4,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,633.871,09843.8%481 W · 617 L-14.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes62c6,567$4,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,464.3623633.5%79 W · 157 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes75c6,111$4,591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,519.982,52842.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L+53.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Yes61c6,000$3,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3401100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No59c5,311$3,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,110.813533.3%45 W · 90 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No41c5,000$2,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0503652.8%19 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes61c4,046$2,486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,560.525949.2%29 W · 30 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No60c3,830$2,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,291.775,96346%2,744 W · 3,219 L+46.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes29c3,793$1,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,696.2917753.1%94 W · 83 L+17.3wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed No1c3,498$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.366743.3%29 W · 38 L+9.9wins+0.15per pick29cpaid+82%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xe1c3…7d73backed No60c3,226$1,928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,927.65850%29 W · 29 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Yes37c3,044$1,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,917.72633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e73…c4ecbacked No1c3,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30922.2%2 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick12cpaid-44.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No40c2,782$1,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,110.1927540.7%112 W · 163 L+0.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8a9…35fcbacked Yes59c2,738$1,615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,122.582564%16 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc0ac…fd51backed No40c2,481$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Yes54c2,393$1,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,100.848155.6%45 W · 36 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd1a8…1b66backed Yes59c2,386$1,406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979.791060%6 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5df…382dbacked Yes65c2,115$1,378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$737.741050%5 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+25.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes59c2,022$1,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$826.551,25451.4%644 W · 610 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Yes59c2,000$1,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$820333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Yes60c2,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8001560%9 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked Yes40c2,000$798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,201.6113153.4%70 W · 61 L+14.1wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+22.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4ba4…8a89backed Yes57c2,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$859.991136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No37c1,762$652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651.933647.2%17 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccdb…ffa9backed Yes59c1,695$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Yes41c1,557$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925.277926.6%21 W · 58 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x07bc…393abacked Yes59c1,500$885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6151637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-35.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fdd…23d8backed No1c1,460$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6540%2 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick24cpaid+51.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x176e…8f96backed Yes60c1,411$848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.524055%22 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedb1…819ebacked No73c1,370$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00020%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Yes59c1,350$797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.58930.3%27 W · 62 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40a5…f0a8backed Yes61c1,225$747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.59862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes63c1,100$693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40726749.4%132 W · 135 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No40c1,075$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43579435.1%279 W · 515 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No41c1,000$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4102842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked Yes61c996.39$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.592356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No41c960.73$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.0462349.1%306 W · 317 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked No39c846.23$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.034755.3%26 W · 21 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed Yes60c750$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+22.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed No48c665$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.4914447.9%69 W · 75 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5754…9238backed Yes63c590.38$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.44850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed No70c582.03$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.966546.2%30 W · 35 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-23.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3973…2b2abacked Yes61c573.77$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.772100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+80%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes62c545.64$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.3420138.3%77 W · 124 L-1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No38c544$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.728046.3%37 W · 43 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Yes63c505$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.856056.7%34 W · 26 L+6.9wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+45.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Yes62c500$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1901241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4366…c73ebacked Yes60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+34%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe2d0…6078backed Yes59c470$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.7333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Yes63c458.97$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.728156.8%46 W · 35 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0e6…84a8backed Yes59c400$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1663751.4%19 W · 18 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a46…ba91backed Yes63c383.51$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.519248.9%45 W · 47 L-7.9wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-20.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed No41c350$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1423650%18 W · 18 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe486…0c26backed Yes41c348.94$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.94128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick17cpaid-79.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4597…272bbacked Yes61c327.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.872240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Yes60c322.59$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.923073.3%22 W · 8 L+4.3wins+0.14per pick59cpaid+27.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc1df…16c1backed Yes63c319.85$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Yes56c319.21$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.679141.8%38 W · 53 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes61c300$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1171,31956.7%748 W · 571 L+64.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3759…6b3bbacked Yes60c300$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1202544%11 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes22c274.42$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.721250%6 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+45.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes30c267.71$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.0829425.2%74 W · 220 L-14.3wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3789…e42fbacked Yes46c260.87$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.87450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed No40c255$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.951163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick55cpaid-9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Yes39c253.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.528446.4%39 W · 45 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+17.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed No33c237.7$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.713842.1%16 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-23%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes61c237$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.433650%18 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x203e…a646backed Yes62c237$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No61c231.35$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.2484347.7%402 W · 441 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd056…f1bebacked Yes63c222.22$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.22862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+21.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes46c217.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.573259.4%19 W · 13 L+5.4wins+0.17per pick42cpaid+38.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6b3f…9b74backed Yes60c217$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$871100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x919d…60e1backed Yes59c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-39.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x476b…30a0backed Yes61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+47%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4300…5c69backed Yes64c200$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$723933.3%13 W · 26 L-4.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-25.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0cb1…5286backed Yes47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.35442.6%23 W · 31 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+19.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Yes63c200$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$748814.8%13 W · 75 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-47%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x216b…d5e6backed Yes61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-36.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7018…290abacked Yes37c200$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1261136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked No40c199.99$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8016746.1%77 W · 90 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38d0…899bbacked Yes61c196.72$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.72475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+18.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No40c189.99$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.176940.6%28 W · 41 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-25.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2109…55bfbacked Yes61c177.67$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.291118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.26per pick44cpaid-64.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x29de…02aabacked Yes56c177.65$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.651560%9 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+27.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa785…acb6backed Yes58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.411957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5151…4e57backed Yes61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.933158.1%18 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a52…45e7backed Yes62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.292100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9735…09d0backed Yes38c154.44$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.95366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick34cpaid+151.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe105…1efbbacked Yes58c153$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.171346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.