Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club win on 2026-01-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46d3319633d7579c948f2df53509faee516f49d694b12ac2c1e406cd424214f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,950
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,088
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,950 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 76c | 5,059$3,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,195.36 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ec…351fbacked Yes | 4c | 4,521$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | +90.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 65c | 2,942$1,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.28 | 2,528 | 42.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L | +53.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5df…382dbacked Yes | 42c | 2,607$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 36c | 2,120$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.01 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 17c | 1,677$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.08 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 65c | 1,386$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.1 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 19c | 1,093$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.06 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 15c | 1,039$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.01 | 79 | 26.6%21 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked No | 42c | 949.03$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.44 | 131 | 53.4%70 W · 61 L | +14.1wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed Yes | 16c | 899.65$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.07 | 138 | 21%29 W · 109 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…bc89backed Yes | 16c | 895$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…fabcbacked Yes | 58c | 852.03$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.18 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed Yes | 18c | 851.56$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 17c | 816.8$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.17 | 236 | 33.5%79 W · 157 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe486…0c26backed Yes | 16c | 694.12$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 18c | 600$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.12 | 239 | 27.2%65 W · 174 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 48c | 314.6$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.34 | 1,035 | 41.6%431 W · 604 L | -33.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 8c | 296.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.86 | 294 | 25.2%74 W · 220 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Yes | 18c | 288.22$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.03 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Yes | 17c | 235.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…02aabacked No | 57c | 228.08$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.08 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…d8dcbacked Yes | 18c | 210.17$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.83 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed No | 55c | 203.48$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.81 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +11.5wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 58c | 192.52$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.86 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 73c | 185.09$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.79 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Yes | 21c | 184.5$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.37 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 44c | 170$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.8 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd47…8277backed Yes | 17c | 160.47$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.28 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42bf…30f7backed Yes | 19c | 158.51$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.35 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 17c | 147.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 31c | 140.19$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.82 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f77…724bbacked Yes | 18c | 137.77$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb42a…0156backed Yes | 16c | 137.18$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.07 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6a…c81cbacked Yes | 9c | 132$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 17c | 123$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…f101backed Yes | 17c | 118.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 17c | 117.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes | 17c | 117$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3801…83ddbacked Yes | 9c | 113.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 17c | 105$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 15c | 87.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 387 | 37.5%145 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 25c | 80.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 148 | 40.5%60 W · 88 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Yes | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 138 | 46.4%64 W · 74 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed No | 57c | 78.32$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.35 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Yes | 13c | 78.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec8…397bbacked No | 64c | 77$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.05 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 92 | 69.6%64 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…5fbbbacked Yes | 17c | 70.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -29%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 79c | 70$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.47 | 135 | 33.3%45 W · 90 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a58…149dbacked No | 73c | 65.13$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Yes | 21c | 59.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 72c | 50.13$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.17 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa785…acb6backed Yes | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc904…1e9abacked No | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…3128backed No | 63c | 46.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.21 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 67 | 86.6%58 W · 9 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 77cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a9…22c4backed Yes | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x640f…4cc0backed No | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x205b…d66abacked Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7202…e9b1backed Yes | 46c | 29.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Yes | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -28%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed No | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 75c | 13.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.44 | 307 | 50.8%156 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club win on 2026-01-14?this page
- Will Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club end in a draw?No won
- Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-01-14?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.