Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x55617b4e11d54a16938fde03144824f258de464451928cb4f5eace2f212ea77e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,192
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,298
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,192 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c5e…7952backed Yes | 3c | 12,128$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 78c | 1,410$1,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.87 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 23c | 1,329$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.67 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe390…73ffbacked Yes | 1c | 1,250$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Yes | 22c | 1,046$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.7 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 77c | 923.33$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed No | 56c | 880.94$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.83 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 21c | 812.07$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.18 | 79 | 26.6%21 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Yes | 23c | 782.59$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 89 | 30.3%27 W · 62 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 73c | 751.56$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.83 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200b…65f7backed Yes | 45c | 581.4$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed No | 58c | 551.18$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.01 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 60c | 460.44$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.28 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 33c | 400$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 43c | 398$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.91 | 238 | 45.8%109 W · 129 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4597…272bbacked Yes | 22c | 327.27$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed No | 80c | 304$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.8 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed No | 79c | 220$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 69c | 212.54$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.44 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 77c | 205.64$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.31 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 64c | 186$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.79 | 135 | 33.3%45 W · 90 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 76c | 182$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.61 | 396 | 55.8%221 W · 175 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Yes | 22c | 181.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…f101backed Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…4e57backed Yes | 23c | 163.04$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed No | 77c | 163.04$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +4.3wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2977…6efcbacked Yes | 19c | 150$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 33c | 149.58$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.36 | 125 | 35.2%44 W · 81 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Yes | 33c | 139.82$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.19 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe486…0c26backed Yes | 31c | 139.53$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.25 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a88…fd6cbacked Yes | 79c | 138.42$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked No | 38c | 131.77$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.77 | 103 | 44.7%46 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 63c | 115.85$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.82 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3b…f1c5backed Yes | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 78c | 107.65$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.68 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed No | 72c | 107.5$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.19 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…243cbacked No | 79c | 105$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 38c | 102.43$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.92 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 52c | 97$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.82 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948d…cc6bbacked Yes | 63c | 94.59$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 22c | 89.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 239 | 27.2%65 W · 174 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…3daebacked Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb14…0da7backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 22cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…dd64backed Yes | 32c | 68.75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f77…724bbacked Yes | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7676…ada4backed Yes | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad4…fdc3backed Yes | 22c | 66.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70c8…006cbacked Yes | 41c | 65.57$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 18c | 57.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.95 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb5…998abacked Yes | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed No | 78c | 49$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 42c | 48.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.41 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9735…09d0backed Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +151.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3c…615dbacked Yes | 67c | 45.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 30c | 42.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 387 | 37.5%145 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 37c | 42.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.79 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 49c | 40.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.84 | 294 | 25.2%74 W · 220 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 56c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 77c | 37.97$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.73 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Yes | 55c | 35.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7202…e9b1backed Yes | 52c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 77c | 32.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 67 | 86.6%58 W · 9 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 77cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d9…86e4backed Yes | 62c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf01e…aed4backed Yes | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff7…3a9dbacked Yes | 60c | 28.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed No | 67c | 26.92$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.01 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed No | 67c | 22.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Yes | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc436…b27fbacked Yes | 53c | 19.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x017f…16b8backed No | 61c | 19.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.66 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…b497backed Yes | 67c | 18.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdeb…4d84backed Yes | 68c | 15.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 67c | 15.15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club end in a draw?this page
- Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-01-14?Yes won
- Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club win on 2026-01-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.