TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6b3f…9b74

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
125
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Premier League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 56 out of 100; worst Middle East at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3613.9%5 W · 31 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick22cpaid-65%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+580.3%+$580.27
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$8,109Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$4,561.44
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$53.57
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$673Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$673.03
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Saudi Arabia to score first vs. Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.5
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.5
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2910.3%3 W · 26 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick20cpaid-75.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,341Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+32.3%+$754.86
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+51.8%+$258.99
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will the US next strike Iran on January 31, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Iran strike on US military by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$90
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+317.1%+$317.08
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$288.06
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$160
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will the US next strike Iran on January 27, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will the US next strike Iran on January 26, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will the US next strike Iran on January 25, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will the US next strike Iran on January 24, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$50
US strikes Iran by January 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$50
US strikes Iran by January 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Iran Strike on Israel by January 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$100
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will the US strike Iran next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$100
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$20
US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT1752.9%9 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+17.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Bucks (-2.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$257Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$256.97
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$127.27
Spread: Rockets (-7.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$432Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+122.2%+$528.23
Clippers vs. Rocketsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$163.51
Spread: Knicks (-11.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+88.7%+$177.36
Heat vs. Bullsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+47.1%+$41.73
Nuggets vs. Bucksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+257.1%+$51.43
Rockets vs. Pistonsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+156.4%+$312.82
Rockets vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+163.2%+$86.06
Nuggets vs. Wizardsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+47.1%+$94.12
Clippers vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Trail Blazers vs. Warriorsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$114.02
Suns vs. Heatbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Nuggets vs. Pelicansbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+88.7%+$88.68
Celtics vs. Pacersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$300
All 17 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick33cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+433.2%+$86.64
Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 46.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$754Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+85.2%+$642.22
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+45.9%+$105.65
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$10.48
Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$313Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$313.28
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$93.69
Spread: Patriots (-5.5)backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+72.4%+$53.93
Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+88.7%+$192.43
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+69.5%+$138.98
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 13 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+61.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+23.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+75.4%+$75.44
Wild vs. Maple Leafsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+96.1%+$192.16
Oilers vs. Predatorsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$300
All 3 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hannover 96 win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+70%+$139.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+66.9%+$87
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the winner of Beast Games: Season 2 be Strong or Smart?backed Smart · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$60
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$1,119.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$92.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Girona FC win on 2026-01-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.