NBA · resolved market
Nuggets vs. Pelicans
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1da39ae9608dc662d02016239d93682d2151c6f2dee884737f02716c5c4589b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Nuggets, Pelicans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,796,046
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,864,387
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,796,046 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Pelicans | 45c | 1,014,595$451,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451,713.77 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Nuggets | 55c | 911,691$505,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406,375.99 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Nuggets | 55c | 387,811$213,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174,275.33 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Pelicans | 44c | 164,231$73,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73,056.85 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e6…d504backed Pelicans | 44c | 136,363$60,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,999.68 | 210 | 57.1%120 W · 90 L | +20.3wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Pelicans | 46c | 124,309$57,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,524.04 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Pelicans | 46c | 50,000$23,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,199.8 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Nuggets | 53c | 46,480$24,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,695.68 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Pelicans | 52c | 36,666$19,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,058.23 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Pelicans | 45c | 31,393$14,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,235.75 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Pelicans | 44c | 30,000$13,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,200 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Nuggets | 56c | 29,131$16,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,817.71 | 176 | 46%81 W · 95 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Nuggets | 54c | 28,733$15,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,217.17 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Nuggets | 56c | 28,322$15,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,477.25 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe258…2330backed Nuggets | 53c | 25,294$13,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,888.18 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Pelicans | 43c | 25,000$10,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,750 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9285…749ebacked Nuggets | 40c | 25,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,000 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Pelicans | 46c | 22,107$10,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,184.2 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5227…f9bdbacked Pelicans | 45c | 22,000$9,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,900 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Pelicans | 46c | 21,833$10,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,049.55 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pelicans | 52c | 18,415$9,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,487.08 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Nuggets | 56c | 17,572$9,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,767.56 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Pelicans | 47c | 17,000$7,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,970 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Pelicans | 43c | 15,620$6,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,764.01 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedc8…cca9backed Pelicans | 47c | 15,300$7,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,191 | 205 | 51.2%105 W · 100 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Pelicans | 46c | 14,379$6,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,580.82 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03a9…37babacked Nuggets | 57c | 13,554$7,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,828.42 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Nuggets | 54c | 13,548$7,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,207.95 | 352 | 35.8%126 W · 226 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nuggets | 62c | 12,803$7,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,844.3 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Nuggets | 76c | 11,693$8,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,772.05 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Pelicans | 43c | 11,628$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Nuggets | 56c | 11,111$6,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,888.8 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Nuggets | 54c | 11,000$5,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,060.03 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0364…f19bbacked Pelicans | 43c | 10,465$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500.15 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Pelicans | 42c | 10,261$4,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,289.82 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Nuggets | 49c | 10,160$4,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,176.45 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Pelicans | 42c | 10,000$4,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,185.94 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…28b4backed Pelicans | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,600 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Nuggets | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,600 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45f0…f120backed Pelicans | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,499.95 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe12a…67efbacked Pelicans | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,699.89 | 158 | 41.1%65 W · 93 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Pelicans | 48c | 9,296$4,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,497.69 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Pelicans | 53c | 9,203$4,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,843.58 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Nuggets | 55c | 8,086$4,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,641.51 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fd…90c0backed Nuggets | 57c | 7,961$4,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,389.82 | 284 | 39.8%113 W · 171 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Nuggets | 55c | 7,573$4,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,420.73 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5993…33a2backed Nuggets | 51c | 7,446$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,646.17 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Pelicans | 42c | 7,265$3,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,068.4 | 367 | 41.4%152 W · 215 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1997…2e36backed Nuggets | 54c | 6,666$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,066.36 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Pelicans | 47c | 6,000$2,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,820 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…819ebacked Nuggets | 62c | 5,977$3,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,297.29 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x936f…d171backed Pelicans | 42c | 5,907$2,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,509.96 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Nuggets | 50c | 5,883$2,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,933.57 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Nuggets | 53c | 5,865$3,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,756.53 | 286 | 49.7%142 W · 144 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Nuggets | 55c | 5,824$3,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,620.59 | 346 | 54%187 W · 159 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Pelicans | 45c | 5,538$2,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,473.36 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Pelicans | 44c | 5,527$2,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,423.68 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8d22backed Nuggets | 54c | 5,506$2,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,516.99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.28per pick | 56cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x478f…f5d9backed Nuggets | 56c | 5,396$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,395.56 | 220 | 35.5%78 W · 142 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Pelicans | 46c | 5,163$2,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,365.1 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Pelicans | 46c | 5,000$2,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,320 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x832d…d420backed Pelicans | 15c | 5,000$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.21 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Pelicans | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350 | 297 | 48.1%143 W · 154 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4137…586cbacked Nuggets | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,199.96 | 470 | 43.8%206 W · 264 L | -22.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Nuggets | 55c | 4,968$2,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,210.87 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9333…3fa5backed Nuggets | 57c | 4,871$2,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,104.91 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Nuggets | 41c | 4,797$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,837.58 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Pelicans | 47c | 4,500$2,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,094.98 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Nuggets | 56c | 4,466$2,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,965.03 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9b…6611backed Nuggets | 57c | 4,386$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,885.96 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5165…175bbacked Nuggets | 50c | 4,252$2,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,145.8 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Pelicans | 44c | 4,200$1,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,848 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…7b92backed Pelicans | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880 | 181 | 42%76 W · 105 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Nuggets | 56c | 4,000$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Nuggets | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,840 | 320 | 39.4%126 W · 194 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Nuggets | 50c | 3,963$1,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,998.02 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b49…d0dfbacked Nuggets | 55c | 3,948$2,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,778.51 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefa5…3d34backed Nuggets | 46c | 3,767$1,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,029.85 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Nuggets | 56c | 3,735$2,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,632.81 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d26…1c15backed Nuggets | 57c | 3,715$2,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,597.41 | 224 | 59.4%133 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pelicans | 43c | 3,682$1,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,585.54 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Pelicans | 45c | 3,633$1,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,617.87 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e1…f855backed Nuggets | 53c | 3,500$1,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,645 | 287 | 42.9%123 W · 164 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa051…54ebbacked Pelicans | 44c | 3,409$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 154 | 35.7%55 W · 99 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36c8…53a9backed Nuggets | 52c | 3,395$1,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,640.11 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Pelicans | 44c | 3,179$1,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,408.65 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3084…c1d6backed Nuggets | 55c | 3,164$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,423.8 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +27%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Pelicans | 43c | 3,140$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350.2 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Nuggets | 54c | 3,083$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,402.68 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Nuggets | 49c | 3,065$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,565.88 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Nuggets | 52c | 3,045$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,464.97 | 258 | 47.3%122 W · 136 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Pelicans | 47c | 3,032$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,424.99 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Nuggets | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 587 | 40%235 W · 352 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Pelicans | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 315 | 38.1%120 W · 195 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Nuggets | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,379.99 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Pelicans | 39c | 3,000$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,169.99 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Pelicans | 47c | 2,988$1,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,404.32 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6089…00e2backed Pelicans | 3c | 2,924$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +119.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3a…df40backed Pelicans | 61c | 2,888$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,749.77 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…95d8backed Nuggets | 57c | 2,807$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,207.02 | 153 | 55.6%85 W · 68 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nuggets vs. Pelicansthis page
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-1.5)Pelicans won
- Nuggets vs. Pelicans: 1H MoneylinePelicans won
- Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 232.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 235.5Over won
- Spread: Nuggets (-1.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)Nuggets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.