NBA · resolved market
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a8d296d49ba0fcd9cef88d13bfb1cd6f8b0b62b93638e44d6a2e9e6857547cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $486,023
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $486,354
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $486,023 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Under | 52c | 433,621$225,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225,356.33 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Over | 48c | 266,711$128,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138,689.86 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Over | 48c | 149,980$71,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77,989.6 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Over | 49c | 23,892$11,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,141.67 | 155 | 45.8%71 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Under | 50c | 6,364$3,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,182.23 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccdb…ffa9backed Over | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 38 | 84.2%32 W · 6 L | +10.8wins | +0.29per pick | 56cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Under | 51c | 4,902$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Under | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Over | 48c | 3,918$1,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,056.95 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 3,234$1,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,654.95 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cce…5c2fbacked Under | 51c | 3,222$1,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,643 | 162 | 54.3%88 W · 74 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Over | 51c | 3,005$1,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,472.27 | 175 | 54.9%96 W · 79 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe2a…8bd8backed Under | 51c | 2,714$1,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,384 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 49c | 2,521$1,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,297.3 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb48f…d015backed Under | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Over | 53c | 1,851$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.02 | 245 | 49%120 W · 125 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 1,398$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.32 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 53c | 1,375$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.05 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd2…7a7fbacked Under | 51c | 1,326$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Over | 49c | 1,200$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612 | 228 | 45.2%103 W · 125 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 52c | 1,191$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.12 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Under | 51c | 1,175$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599 | 357 | 49.6%177 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 46c | 1,141$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.72 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 48c | 1,005$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.6 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 49c | 1,004$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.01 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 51c | 907.42$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.78 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x628e…1d80backed Over | 50c | 769.33$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.48 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 48c | 547$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.44 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Under | 30c | 507.99$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.6 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Under | 10c | 423.24$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.54 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadec…88fdbacked Over | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1b…e0e5backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 51c | 392$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.92 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1a…d9abbacked Over | 51c | 352.94$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.94 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 194 | 35.1%68 W · 126 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03c4…01bdbacked Over | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…0eccbacked Under | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 245 | 56.3%138 W · 107 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe92d…bffcbacked Over | 54c | 259.26$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.26 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x260c…7130backed Over | 50c | 240$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c10…829bbacked Over | 55c | 209$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.05 | 102 | 70.6%72 W · 30 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Under | 47c | 197.6$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.87 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -17.6wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 50c | 169.68$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.84 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 49c | 164.24$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.2 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 50c | 155$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3888…0755backed Over | 54c | 148.15$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.15 | 250 | 58.4%146 W · 104 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Over | 51c | 129.41$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.41 | 289 | 49.1%142 W · 147 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Over | 48c | 125.62$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.32 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Over | 49c | 125.46$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.98 | 166 | 58.4%97 W · 69 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Over | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Under | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 269 | 56.1%151 W · 118 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed Under | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 173 | 53.2%92 W · 81 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8123…268cbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +4.3wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xed85…bfacbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe47b…1b4bbacked Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 357 | 39.8%142 W · 215 L | -25.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Under | 46c | 99.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 354 | 44.6%158 W · 196 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad62…c7dfbacked Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6125…1b5fbacked Under | 24c | 86.09$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.66 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…0523backed Under | 52c | 85.38$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.31 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed Under | 47c | 73.02$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.32 | 139 | 43.2%60 W · 79 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…5590backed Over | 49c | 72.22$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.83 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Under | 17c | 60.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Over | 49c | 58.45$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.81 | 244 | 54.1%132 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfedd…32c4backed Under | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a0…d84fbacked Over | 51c | 53.78$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 412 | 51%210 W · 202 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Under | 51c | 47.96$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.46 | 397 | 56.7%225 W · 172 L | +21.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 49c | 45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.85 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x780c…7921backed Over | 51c | 41.16$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -6.0wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdca6…9a97backed Over | 48c | 41.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.33 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11a5…2fa8backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 185 | 60.5%112 W · 73 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 522 | 46.6%243 W · 279 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b71…0e06backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x345c…e4debacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33c…6006backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +37%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07bc…393abacked Over | 48c | 37.91$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.71 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…e14fbacked Under | 52c | 35.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Under | 49c | 31.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 183 | 39.3%72 W · 111 L | -13.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Under | 48c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x10a3…ae13backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed6…8683backed Over | 50c | 26.96$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under | 53c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb8…846ebacked Over | 50c | 23.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba2…8f7cbacked Over | 49c | 21.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ba…4d28backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…55a0backed Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab3…35f3backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5this page
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-1.5)Pelicans won
- Nuggets vs. PelicansNuggets won
- Nuggets vs. Pelicans: 1H MoneylinePelicans won
- Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 232.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 235.5Over won
- Spread: Nuggets (-1.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)Nuggets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.