TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 232.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$249,828
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$250,565

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $249,828 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbf42…d698backed Under46c124,524$57,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57,274.9517031.8%54 W · 116 L-24.9wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-31.5%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Over54c116,394$62,853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53,541.151,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91cf…7ea0backed Under51c41,000$20,910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,910333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2420…32dabacked Under51c30,000$15,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,300333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45e4…b056backed Under51c22,000$11,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,220450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4ac…efe9backed Over49c6,726$3,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,430.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc928…6792backed Over49c6,663$3,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,398.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b4d…f9dfbacked Over49c5,960$2,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,039.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over53c5,698$3,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,671.79,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3550…18f8backed Over49c5,200$2,548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6521100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb85b…9194backed Over49c5,074$2,486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,587.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x824c…d2bbbacked Over50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5004238.1%16 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9add…0994backed Over49c4,994$2,447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,546.94250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcea2…05b9backed Over49c4,748$2,327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,421.48250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc54…d1e4backed Over49c4,441$2,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,264.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92c4…c602backed Over49c4,277$2,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,181.272100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+113.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Under48c4,158$1,993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,99341649.8%207 W · 209 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbcf6…2817backed Over49c4,024$1,972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,052.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bdd…ed45backed Over49c3,943$1,932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,010.93250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbef…7b56backed Over49c3,820$1,872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,948.22100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+113.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb10a…77d1backed Over49c3,687$1,807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,880.37250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb2b…75cabacked Over49c3,524$1,727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,797.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x231c…3de9backed Over49c3,524$1,727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,797.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9885…ad58backed Over49c3,521$1,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,795.712100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+113.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over52c3,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4401,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a53…616bbacked Over49c2,997$1,469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,528.47475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+43.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xedb1…819ebacked Over52c2,885$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,384.6215855.7%88 W · 70 L-9.8wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-10.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under47c2,453$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,150.313,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadd6…5271backed Over49c2,413$1,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,230.632100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+113.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Over52c2,161$1,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,037.2658449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98a9…676ebacked Under48c2,100$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0082250%11 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfb9…2396backed Over52c2,100$1,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0082864.3%18 W · 10 L+3.7wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+30.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x088b…bce1backed Under48c2,100$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0082147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc898…e5b3backed Over52c2,100$1,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0082759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1a97…99bebacked Over49c2,072$1,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,056.72683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick49cpaid+71.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3032…d047backed Over49c1,984$972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,011.84366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.35per pick31cpaid+42.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under48c1,907$915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$915.51,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaea7…7248backed Over49c1,777$871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$906.272100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+113.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x511c…a76dbacked Over49c1,510$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$770.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94f1…fe4fbacked Over49c1,273$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under44c1,063$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.74,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x049e…f900backed Over49c1,042$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.42425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-49%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e0d…feedbacked Over49c1,001$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.512100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+113.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d82…73fabacked Over49c805$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c54…76d6backed Over49c717$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.67250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under46c686.02$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.572,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under42c676$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.168,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over52c620.36$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.9884150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Over55c600$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27022846.1%105 W · 123 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa009…a6efbacked Over52c576.92$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.9214742.2%62 W · 85 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Over52c571$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.0820638.3%79 W · 127 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c39…90cbbacked Over49c515$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Under49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2451,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2496…50a5backed Over54c462.96$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.965547.3%26 W · 29 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under46c393$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.785,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1df…16c1backed Over53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.366552.3%34 W · 31 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8efc…89e7backed Over49c374$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.742100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+113.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x162f…585abacked Over53c295.92$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.088961.8%55 W · 34 L+8.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4e48…c9fdbacked Over49c291$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.41425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-49%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x542c…9536backed Over48c287.35$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.428348.2%40 W · 43 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Under48c267$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.1650241.2%207 W · 295 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under48c246.45$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.885,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under50c245.04$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.522,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under49c236.04$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.662,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Over51c203.52$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.981,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921,19838.8%465 W · 733 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under48c179.13$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.982,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x740b…1d47backed Over56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.579458.5%55 W · 39 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x203e…a646backed Over52c147$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.56366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+18.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Over52c125$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.8388845.7%406 W · 482 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2938…5240backed Over49c106.92$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.532100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+115.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x69ed…2b21backed Under48c104.63$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.092343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3461…4629backed Over67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336752.2%35 W · 32 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xed85…bfacbacked Over56c89.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.385062%31 W · 19 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+12.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdca6…9a97backed Under49c50.95$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.768556.5%48 W · 37 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5007…119dbacked Over54c46.39$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.392718.5%5 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-61.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x73b7…35b6backed Over55c45.45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.451560%9 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30a8…3c7cbacked Over56c44.64$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.641136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-42.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b7f…7aecbacked Under48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2043647.9%209 W · 227 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedb5…ce8ebacked Over53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7421756.7%123 W · 94 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9331…0951backed Over53c37.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.54252.4%22 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb914…8303backed Over54c37.13$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.13333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-38.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc29d…3352backed Over54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0415959.1%94 W · 65 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf67…be5bbacked Over54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.041172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.17per pick56cpaid+28.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x480e…a98bbacked Over56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.718450%42 W · 42 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under46c32.82$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.12,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under45c31.67$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3559141.8%247 W · 344 L-26.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Under50c30.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1531745.4%144 W · 173 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7216…0d67backed Under46c29.58$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.518339.3%72 W · 111 L-13.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-18.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Over56c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1171245.8%326 W · 386 L+1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under50c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.53,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under50c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.549351.7%255 W · 238 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd62d…02ccbacked Over53c22.64$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.649957.6%57 W · 42 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.