TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$222,898
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$225,122

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $222,898 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9165…5b98backed Under53c92,667$49,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,387.7825248.4%122 W · 130 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over47c55,169$26,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,990.669,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over48c38,751$18,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,120.512,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Under54c24,917$13,341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,341.021,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under51c18,451$9,469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,468.872,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over46c15,000$6,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,1002,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over47c11,702$5,538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,163.942,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Under49c10,000$4,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,9001,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over47c9,518$4,472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,045.855,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over47c8,116$3,848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,268.013,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Under53c6,718$3,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,560.3137954.1%205 W · 174 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over47c6,000$2,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,1801,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Under50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50077348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Under53c4,442$2,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,364.8666853.4%357 W · 311 L+22.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Under50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00047856.7%271 W · 207 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under51c2,924$1,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,485.454,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under48c2,398$1,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,163.14,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Over47c2,237$1,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,185.6415545.8%71 W · 84 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Over47c1,947$915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,031.9158449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed Over46c1,909$878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,030.8658951.3%302 W · 287 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe405…bf91backed Under53c1,889$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00148448.8%236 W · 248 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Under54c1,882$1,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,016.545348.1%218 W · 235 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over51c1,873$955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$917.772,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Over46c1,714$788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925.5113248.5%64 W · 68 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over48c1,664$792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$872.52,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over46c1,254$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$677.162,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over46c1,204$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645.868,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Over48c1,202$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6251,29448.1%623 W · 671 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Over46c1,200$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64856043.9%246 W · 314 L-31.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Over52c1,181$614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.745850.4%231 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc529…438fbacked Under50c1,116$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55820%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Over47c1,105$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.5920638.3%79 W · 127 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Over53c1,014$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.9791050.9%463 W · 447 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Under55c1,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55061740.7%251 W · 366 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Over48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52049142.6%209 W · 282 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x46f4…5bc0backed Under54c1,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5405658.9%33 W · 23 L+5.5wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Over46c926.52$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.3224151.9%125 W · 116 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over47c800$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42484342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x919d…60e1backed Over47c700$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3715450%27 W · 27 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e80…f17abacked Under8c700$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548511.8%10 W · 75 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick10cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over51c680$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.322,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over50c678$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3391,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over48c672.94$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.092,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Over49c620.98$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.721858.7%128 W · 90 L+17.1wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x162f…585abacked Over47c584.09$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.578961.8%55 W · 34 L+8.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over47c556.98$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.22,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Under54c500$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.721,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa408…d831backed Over49c408.18$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.1714647.9%70 W · 76 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Over47c403$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.5540146.9%188 W · 213 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Over51c400$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19659144.5%263 W · 328 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Over50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20066046.8%309 W · 351 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x83c8…26f0backed Under8c400$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309515.8%15 W · 80 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick11cpaid+45.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x27ae…bf54backed Under54c400$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21616053.1%85 W · 75 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over50c387$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.51,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Under54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under51c361.01$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.153,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6e7…caa8backed Under5c350$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171587%11 W · 147 L+0.7wins0.00per pick7cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over48c320$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16834451.5%177 W · 167 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3759…6b3bbacked Over47c300$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1609850%49 W · 49 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over47c289.47$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.062,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Under34c278.02$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.3863745.8%292 W · 345 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x005d…7f3cbacked Under50c270$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over47c262.56$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.991,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over47c240$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.21,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ca9…a291backed Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005933.9%20 W · 39 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x55ac…9955backed Under5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103818.4%7 W · 31 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick10cpaid+85.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1081,19838.8%465 W · 733 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14f8…d47abacked Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fdb…0b12backed Under54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1081154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x588d…3f41backed Over46c190.61$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.93250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Over50c180.1$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.133442.8%143 W · 191 L-17.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under53c163.38$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.592,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked Over47c160$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Over49c160$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.466143.4%287 W · 374 L-32.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under50c158$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.571,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over47c157.64$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.1884150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44bd…8b0ebacked Over51c156.86$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.863345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb29…ea29backed Under49c148.06$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.5513943.2%60 W · 79 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6c8…d7c5backed Over47c140.99$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.722356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f65…cdd3backed Over47c120$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Over49c105$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.5523153.2%123 W · 108 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over46c100.72$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.3987453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.587647.5%416 W · 460 L+3.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3504…e042backed Over45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556844.1%30 W · 38 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b3f…b49cbacked Under54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Under50c99.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5668940.2%277 W · 412 L-54.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8d14…1eb4backed Under54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5037352%194 W · 179 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over49c84$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8462349.6%309 W · 314 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over49c84$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8471747.6%341 W · 376 L+18.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over49c84$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8431754.6%173 W · 144 L+16.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed Over48c80$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.642143.7%184 W · 237 L-0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed Over47c72$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.412545.6%57 W · 68 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Over48c71.81$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.3153043.8%232 W · 298 L-25.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over49c66$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.6634053.8%183 W · 157 L+16.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over49c66$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.6634254.1%185 W · 157 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7656…194bbacked Over48c62.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.5757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdca6…9a97backed Over47c60.59$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.248556.5%48 W · 37 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Over49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.673445.5%334 W · 400 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.633147.4%157 W · 174 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.